Vast-Basement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

Trades

287

lifetime

Volume

$14.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$51

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 05-19 05:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

62% 0% $-1

Politics

31% 100% +$24

Crypto

5% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	21	$1.1K	1,067	1,067	+0	open	—	04-12 17:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	9	$567	750	750	+0	open	—	05-10 21:41
Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	9	$469	384	384	+0	open	—	04-26 05:40
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	9	$336	790	790	+0	open	—	05-12 15:56
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	8	$318	171	171	+0	No	+$2	05-01 22:02
Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026?	5	$310	411	411	+0	open	—	04-21 14:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	6	$299	301	301	+0	No	+$3	05-08 08:05
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	2	$272	144	144	+0	open	—	04-13 22:42
will la u win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	2	$271	136	136	+0	open	—	04-14 08:56
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	4	$269	202	202	+0	open	—	04-20 16:25
will shane lowry win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$267	135	135	+0	open	—	04-05 21:50
will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$266	141	141	+0	open	—	04-07 04:08
will adam scott win the 2026 masters tournament	6	$266	269	269	+0	open	—	04-04 06:58
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	2	$265	136	136	+0	open	—	04-03 09:16
will jason day win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$265	134	134	+0	open	—	04-04 15:51
will fabiano caruana win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	2	$262	137	137	+0	open	—	04-08 11:48
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 300 319	3	$261	133	133	+0	open	—	04-03 03:38
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 19 2026	2	$259	132	132	+0	open	—	04-18 17:40
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 200 219	3	$258	138	138	+0	open	—	03-31 13:49
will the uk join the board of peace	2	$255	129	129	+0	open	—	03-30 15:54
will xrp reach 1pt8 in march 2026	2	$254	129	129	+0	open	—	03-25 17:55
will fidesz kdnp win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	3	$254	130	130	+0	open	—	04-11 09:54
will gold gc hit low 3600 by end of march	2	$253	128	128	+0	open	—	03-26 02:18
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 200 219	3	$253	131	131	+0	open	—	03-18 07:40
will solana reach 110 in march 2026	2	$252	128	128	+0	open	—	03-26 16:01
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$250	127	127	+0	open	—	03-27 21:15
will iowa win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$250	127	127	+0	open	—	03-28 22:15
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	3	$249	130	130	+0	open	—	03-20 13:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	7	$248	454	454	+0	No	+$1	05-10 07:22
military action against iran ends on march 27 2026	3	$247	126	126	+0	open	—	03-24 08:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 05:24:35	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	No	BUY	45	5¢	$2	0x7b3257…
05-19 05:24:35	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	No	BUY	54	5¢	$3	0x3be653…
05-19 05:24:33	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	No	BUY	16	5¢	$1	0xf97bb0…
05-18 22:25:59	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	BUY	41	96¢	$39	0x78bd25…
05-13 23:30:09	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	103	96¢	$99	0x55f4fe…
05-13 23:30:09	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	96¢	$28	0x0df4d8…
05-13 14:47:45	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	BUY	103	1¢	$1	0xdbef7e…
05-13 03:24:49	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	43	99¢	$42	0xfda94c…
05-13 03:24:47	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	79	99¢	$78	0x2fb7b7…
05-13 00:37:48	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	122	98¢	$120	0x51c88e…
05-12 15:56:27	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	186	5¢	$10	0xaeba3c…
05-12 15:56:27	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	111	5¢	$6	0x964543…
05-12 15:56:27	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	71	5¢	$4	0x754654…
05-12 12:23:04	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	368	5¢	$20	0xbff817…
05-11 14:21:51	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	139	94¢	$130	0xa3adc6…
05-11 10:04:01	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	139	94¢	$130	0x6ca243…
05-11 09:11:27	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	246	6¢	$16	0x8c2775…
05-11 09:11:27	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	37	6¢	$2	0x1d8e92…
05-11 04:56:02	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	283	6¢	$18	0x6fee85…
05-10 21:41:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	184	1¢	$1	0x85fe79…
05-10 19:37:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	97	1¢	$1	0x53c77b…
05-10 19:37:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	87	1¢	$1	0x0b4d7b…
05-10 15:12:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	280	1¢	$4	0x0851af…
05-10 14:51:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	280	2¢	$4	0xfc5da4…
05-10 07:22:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	116	96¢	$112	0x3658c5…
05-10 05:38:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	110	96¢	$106	0xc300c5…
05-10 05:38:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x3ac855…
05-09 13:54:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	93	4¢	$4	0xefc7f1…
05-09 13:54:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	128	4¢	$5	0xacb6b1…
05-09 13:54:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	117	4¢	$4	0x399cc1…
05-09 10:26:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	338	4¢	$12	0x58d967…
05-08 23:44:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	149	98¢	$145	0x0a33a1…
05-08 21:43:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	149	98¢	$145	0x16ab4b…
05-08 12:34:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	137	96¢	$132	0xec6e4e…
05-08 10:17:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	137	96¢	$132	0x411d14…
05-08 08:05:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	148	98¢	$145	0xc99b4c…
05-08 06:49:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	148	98¢	$144	0x636dc3…
05-07 20:44:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	149	4¢	$6	0xf34dc7…
05-07 20:44:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	4¢	$0	0xa59ba1…
05-07 19:38:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	3¢	$1	0xeb4ec5…
05-07 19:38:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	3¢	$3	0x9c86d0…
05-06 12:13:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	143	10¢	$14	0xd5de02…
05-06 12:13:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	129	10¢	$13	0x5ea461…
05-06 07:45:58	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	272	3¢	$8	0x1cc6d0…
05-03 06:40:30	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	324	4¢	$14	0x251e5e…
05-03 04:37:04	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	324	4¢	$14	0x9936be…
05-01 22:02:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	57	92¢	$53	0x7720e6…
05-01 22:02:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	65	92¢	$60	0x3463b1…
05-01 18:53:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xf97916…
05-01 18:53:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	120	92¢	$110	0x0f37c6…
05-01 08:46:30	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0xfed7db…
05-01 08:46:30	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	45	96¢	$43	0x12a0ec…
05-01 05:37:02	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xd0fab5…
05-01 05:37:02	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	44	94¢	$41	0x8414cb…
04-30 20:34:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	123	99¢	$122	0x0d384e…
04-30 18:59:38	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	123	99¢	$122	0x928133…
04-30 13:28:36	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	No	SELL	31	98¢	$30	0x83c6fc…
04-30 12:13:52	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x689b7d…
04-29 21:33:26	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	125	98¢	$122	0x4f76d2…
04-29 19:04:40	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	125	97¢	$121	0xb2440a…
04-29 15:15:54	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	60	2¢	$1	0x0fda12…
04-29 11:54:08	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$2	0x86beb6…
04-27 23:50:14	Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	No	SELL	80	97¢	$78	0xf287ef…
04-27 23:50:14	Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	No	SELL	34	97¢	$33	0x9e668a…
04-27 18:46:38	Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	No	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x872b3d…
04-27 18:46:36	Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	No	BUY	83	96¢	$80	0xa766df…
04-27 15:54:44	Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	307	1¢	$2	0xd3607e…
04-27 12:05:20	Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	307	1¢	$4	0x729a75…
04-27 08:07:34	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	Yes	SELL	96	3¢	$2	0xdb5610…
04-27 08:07:34	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	Yes	SELL	284	3¢	$7	0xa5436d…
04-27 04:20:10	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	Yes	BUY	380	3¢	$10	0x062871…
04-26 22:12:22	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	116	1¢	$1	0x7a14e8…
04-26 22:12:22	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	19	1¢	$0	0x453a49…
04-26 19:21:32	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	135	1¢	$1	0x2087ff…
04-26 05:40:14	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	147	2¢	$3	0x31379d…
04-26 03:39:24	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	73	2¢	$2	0x866283…
04-26 03:39:24	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	2¢	$2	0x056310…
04-26 00:33:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	240	4¢	$9	0xeb166d…
04-26 00:33:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	65	4¢	$2	0x662f84…
04-25 22:18:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	305	4¢	$11	0xb8f4a0…
04-25 15:10:02	Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	117	1¢	$1	0x8668d5…
04-25 13:13:12	Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	35	1¢	$0	0x7cb32d…
04-25 13:13:12	Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	82	1¢	$1	0x70d10d…
04-25 09:33:08	Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	72	95¢	$69	0xa43dfa…
04-25 09:33:08	Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	45	95¢	$43	0x4487c9…
04-25 05:31:40	Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	117	95¢	$111	0xb63496…
04-25 05:05:14	Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xc12645…
04-25 05:05:14	Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	57	2¢	$1	0x8d3cfe…
04-25 05:05:14	Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	83	2¢	$1	0x035fc5…
04-25 00:07:50	Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	145	2¢	$3	0x8c4ff5…
04-24 19:18:38	Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	121	2¢	$2	0xda6382…
04-24 19:18:38	Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	169	2¢	$3	0x53769c…
04-24 15:21:16	Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	290	2¢	$6	0xf33452…
04-24 03:17:54	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	55	98¢	$54	0x954b18…
04-24 03:17:52	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	61	98¢	$60	0xd32037…
04-24 00:22:44	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	116	98¢	$113	0x93f295…
04-23 19:07:20	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	Yes	SELL	156	4¢	$6	0x801fdb…
04-23 17:06:32	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	Yes	BUY	38	4¢	$1	0xa7686a…
04-23 17:06:32	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	Yes	BUY	118	4¢	$4	0x2a2195…
04-23 12:47:56	Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0x221e2f…