Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$33.5K

Unrealized P&L

+$205

Hit rate

40.2%

Resolved

3,208

Trades

5,132

lifetime

Volume

$181.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$35

Open exposure

$364

1 position

First seen

2026-06-18

last 11-01 14:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 85 days

Categories

Crypto

78% 45% -$10,063

Other

17% 11% -$16,751

Politics

4% 0% -$6,725

Sports

0% 0% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 559 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	No		+13,229	$159	3¢	$364	+$205	11-01 14:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	45	$6.3K	112,668	112,668	+0	Yes	-$5,454	11-01 10:39
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	2	$2.5K	2,222	2,222	+0	Yes	+$1,672	07-07 17:59
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	1	$2.3K	6,219	0	+6,219	No	-$2,317	07-14 18:13
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 spread away 1pt5	2	$1.4K	4,081	4,081	+0	Mexico	-$47	07-05 19:19
fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 spread home 2pt5	2	$1.1K	750	750	+0	Portugal	+$413	06-23 18:30
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	1	$1.0K	20,056	0	+20,056	Yes	-$1,000	09-22 13:21
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 spread home 1pt5	1	$1000	5,499	0	+5,499	Spain	-$1,000	07-14 18:10
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?	1	$895	1,755	0	+1,755	No	-$895	06-18 16:02
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$791	17,743	17,743	+0	No	-$10	06-21 21:41
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Spain?	1	$787	33,234	0	+33,234	No	-$787	07-14 14:24
fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 spread away 3pt5	1	$700	4,375	0	+4,375	Paraguay	-$700	07-04 20:12
fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 spread away 2pt5	1	$684	2,010	0	+2,010	Paraguay	-$684	07-04 20:13
fifwc che col 2026 07 07 spread away 1pt5	2	$640	3,200	0	+3,200	Switzerland	-$640	07-07 18:54
fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 spread home 2pt5	2	$638	1,643	0	+1,643	Ghana	-$638	06-23 11:04
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 spread home 2pt5	1	$618	4,752	0	+4,752	Norway	-$618	07-05 19:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	77	$592	33,806	0	+33,806	Down	-$567	08-13 19:15
fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 spread away 4pt5	1	$500	6,570	0	+6,570	Paraguay	-$500	07-04 20:12
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 spread home 1pt5	1	$500	6,250	0	+6,250	Spain	-$500	07-06 18:45
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	1	$500	1,190	0	+1,190	No	-$500	07-07 18:53
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?	2	$490	2,883	0	+2,883	No	-$490	07-04 13:05
fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 spread away 1pt5	4	$410	845	0	+845	Brazil	+$435	06-24 21:32
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Belgium?	1	$403	13,448	0	+13,448	No	-$403	07-06 23:07
fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 spread home 1pt5	3	$400	8,000	0	+8,000	Morocco	-$400	07-04 12:58
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 spread home 2pt5	1	$400	1,877	0	+1,877	Egypt	-$400	07-07 16:20
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?	2	$400	964	0	+964	Yes	+$564	06-22 23:37
fifwc cvi ksa 2026 06 26 spread home 1pt5	3	$400	2,667	0	+2,667	Saudi Arabia	-$400	06-26 21:53
fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 spread away 2pt5	4	$400	1,468	0	+1,468	Brazil	+$1,068	06-24 21:32
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 spread home 2pt5	4	$397	1,171	402	+769	Paraguay	-$204	06-29 20:20
fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 spread away 3pt5	3	$384	2,178	0	+2,178	Panama	-$384	06-27 21:29
fifwc ury cvi 2026 06 21 spread home 3pt5	1	$369	3,692	0	+3,692	Cabo Verde	-$369	06-21 21:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 14:34:00	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	No	BUY	13,224	1¢	$159	0x132e24…
11-01 14:16:13	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x047adc…
11-01 10:39:06	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	80,636	0¢	$161	0xf81003…
11-01 10:38:31	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	30,211	0¢	$91	0x1effbe…
11-01 09:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x6eceb9…
11-01 03:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfa1373…
10-31 21:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	13	67¢	$9	0x63b8ea…
10-31 16:19:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xad94b1…
10-31 15:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	108	5¢	$5	0xa796bc…
10-31 13:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	42	4¢	$2	0x1a6586…
10-31 10:34:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	17	22¢	$4	0xa3188c…
10-31 06:24:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x3a00e3…
10-30 00:18:07	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	554	5¢	$29	0x11cf6d…
10-30 00:00:31	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	38	5¢	$2	0x9b86ed…
10-30 00:00:24	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	38	5¢	$2	0x0858f0…
10-29 23:48:03	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	113	5¢	$6	0x865672…
10-29 23:44:15	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	179	5¢	$9	0xa7696c…
10-29 23:42:31	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	78	5¢	$4	0x6a494d…
10-29 21:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7f5fda…
10-29 11:10:02	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	1,147	3¢	$36	0x427a0b…
10-29 11:09:53	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x8e143b…
10-29 09:55:16	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	3,795	3¢	$118	0x7aad08…
10-29 09:50:13	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	1,025	3¢	$32	0x0ba5d7…
10-29 09:37:16	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	3,229	3¢	$100	0x18a186…
10-29 08:24:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	21	16¢	$3	0x3e9261…
10-29 00:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x6b9ee4…
10-28 19:07:23	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	4,118	4¢	$156	0xc38eeb…
10-28 18:55:14	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x2c7257…
10-28 18:53:55	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x4d44ca…
10-28 18:53:50	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x027127…
10-28 18:53:49	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	102	4¢	$4	0x7556ed…
10-28 18:53:49	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	3,000	4¢	$114	0x28e32a…
10-28 18:49:11	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x344559…
10-28 18:44:11	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	25,000	4¢	$950	0x9fe3e4…
10-28 18:43:37	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	20,313	4¢	$772	0xe1fab1…
10-28 18:38:25	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x6f0dde…
10-28 18:35:01	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	5,037	4¢	$191	0x26a982…
10-28 18:19:02	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	21	4¢	$1	0x2ce1d8…
10-28 18:17:52	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x708691…
10-28 18:02:52	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x67bcd8…
10-28 17:55:26	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xb84ac7…
10-28 17:51:17	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	2,148	4¢	$82	0xc6c636…
10-28 17:51:17	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	217	4¢	$8	0x5ba91f…
10-28 17:44:47	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x34a95d…
10-28 17:39:31	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	5,765	4¢	$213	0x6823ac…
10-28 17:35:50	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	74	4¢	$3	0x1c7312…
10-28 17:32:53	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	2,634	4¢	$97	0x7764d2…
10-28 17:30:37	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x773d11…
10-28 17:28:16	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	3,699	4¢	$137	0xe7b499…
10-28 17:28:16	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	126	4¢	$5	0xbb6811…
10-28 17:25:08	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	362	4¢	$13	0x4b23e3…
10-28 16:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0x72909f…
10-28 15:44:17	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	5,799	3¢	$200	0x396abc…
10-28 09:09:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb06550…
10-28 07:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x423549…
10-28 02:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x0b2cae…
10-27 17:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xadd1a4…
10-27 16:22:51	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	6,667	6¢	$400	0xacee1f…
10-27 16:22:24	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	8,333	6¢	$500	0x41b43e…
10-27 13:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9fde7f…
10-27 12:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0x58e7a1…
10-27 10:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x09033c…
10-27 07:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xae252f…
10-27 05:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x390f1d…
10-26 23:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xc49d79…
10-26 22:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf8f0dd…
10-26 17:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xaa3941…
10-26 17:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x707793…
10-26 15:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	12¢	$2	0x5d6177…
10-26 00:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb6ea15…
10-25 23:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xfbe48a…
10-25 17:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x17805e…
10-24 01:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x1e99e2…
10-21 12:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x7787f3…
10-21 07:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0xf7b3ca…
10-20 18:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x998c2f…
10-06 05:54:36	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	No	BUY	1,014	7¢	$71	0x7ad1d6…
10-05 21:24:05	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	No	BUY	1,424	7¢	$100	0x3fe04a…
10-05 21:21:29	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	No	BUY	1,481	7¢	$100	0xab9f48…
10-05 20:04:43	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	2,290	17¢	$400	0x73dd2d…
10-05 19:21:50	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	6,860	17¢	$1,200	0x166910…
10-04 19:41:08	Will Israel win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	BUY	2,075	6¢	$124	0x7b5f92…
10-04 19:40:32	israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 31	No	SELL	821	16¢	$131	0xb8c157…
10-03 19:16:18	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	821	19¢	$156	0xb81dfa…
09-27 18:43:15	Spread: Israel (-2.5)	Israel	BUY	1,676	6¢	$100	0x5e91c0…
09-26 08:13:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 08:10 UTC	Down	BUY	247	96¢	$237	0xcfc257…
09-26 08:09:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 08:05 UTC	Down	BUY	749	40¢	$300	0xfe8451…
09-26 07:57:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 07:55 UTC	Up	BUY	319	94¢	$300	0xbc5cff…
09-26 07:48:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	349	86¢	$300	0xcbf33f…
09-26 07:28:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 07:25 UTC	Down	BUY	448	67¢	$300	0x7e1d62…
09-26 06:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	253	67¢	$169	0x77d493…
09-26 06:58:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 06:55 UTC	Up	BUY	196	67¢	$131	0x90c59f…
09-26 06:42:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 06:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1,077	28¢	$300	0xcf4d3a…
09-26 06:37:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 06:35 UTC	Down	BUY	14	96¢	$14	0x379c8b…
09-26 06:37:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 06:35 UTC	Down	BUY	301	95¢	$286	0xe07844…
09-26 06:33:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	309	97¢	$300	0xe05770…
09-26 06:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	715	42¢	$300	0x835fd9…
09-26 06:18:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	334	90¢	$300	0x02d808…
09-26 06:09:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	244	97¢	$236	0x5a94d6…
09-26 06:03:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	79	96¢	$76	0x4ece2e…