Absolute-Side — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.11K

Unrealized P&L

+$14

Hit rate

47.6%

Resolved

199

Trades

1,504

lifetime

Volume

$21.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-18

last 08-12 06:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 54 days

Categories

Other

58% 38% +$2,052

Tech

20% 45% -$211

Politics

19% 33% +$293

Sports

2% 29% -$1

Crypto

1% 0% -$28

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-12).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes		+0	-$14	13¢	$0	+$14	07-24 22:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	25	$1.3K	2,424	1,443	+981	Yes	+$532	06-15 03:52
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	51	$1.2K	2,284	1,287	+997	Yes	+$1,171	05-28 14:31
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 2?	18	$907	1,525	1,525	+0	Up	-$109	06-02 12:13
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?	17	$806	1,800	1,800	+0	open	—	07-03 10:33
will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	20	$725	933	1,033	-100	Yes	+$10	06-05 13:55
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 29?	15	$656	878	878	+0	Down	+$141	05-29 14:40
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	20	$638	4,310	4,310	+0	Yes	-$80	07-25 07:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	8	$580	1,600	1,600	+0	No	-$8	06-14 17:51
will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	9	$515	800	800	+0	Yes	+$269	07-08 08:41
will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	19	$477	8,327	2,827	+5,500	Yes	-$81	06-09 17:05
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?	21	$439	846	804	+42	Yes	-$18	06-10 20:00
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	16	$430	1,214	1,214	+0	Yes	+$31	06-30 13:09
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	9	$364	1,350	1,350	+0	No	+$11	06-10 15:06
will wti crude oil wti hit low 75 in june 987	10	$343	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	-$13	06-06 05:10
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	32	$328	2,200	2,200	+0	No	-$83	06-12 18:49
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	16	$308	792	491	+300	Yes	-$28	06-07 12:42
will 9z qualify to stage 3 at iem cologne major 2026	2	$299	200	200	+0	Yes	+$11	06-07 12:42
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 17	3	$290	300	300	+0	Yes	-$14	06-12 15:28
will a chinese company have one of the top 5 ai models by december 31	6	$283	300	300	+0	Yes	-$1	07-12 16:15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	10	$280	1,000	1,000	+0	No	$0	05-30 12:12
will wti crude oil wti hit high 115 in june	8	$275	700	700	+0	No	-$13	06-04 18:37
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	27	$268	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	05-19 04:08
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 1?	16	$267	477	570	-93	Up	+$40	06-01 13:03
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	7	$260	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	07-24 22:35
will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	22	$245	806	805	+0	Yes	-$18	06-09 18:18
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on June 11?	37	$236	414	107	+307	No	-$171	06-11 21:47
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?	8	$236	710	710	+0	No	-$5	06-13 21:45
will wti reach 85 in july 2026	15	$228	694	694	+0	Yes	+$122	07-12 22:00
will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	31	$227	730	730	+0	Yes	+$14	06-09 12:19
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	3	$222	400	400	+0	No	+$2	06-06 13:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 06:41:42	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 2–3%?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x572ef2…
08-12 06:21:13	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 2–3%?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa9ee22…
08-12 05:12:24	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0xbffbbb…
08-12 05:11:51	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x46fccc…
08-12 03:58:46	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–2%?	Yes	SELL	80	5¢	$4	0xd55cb1…
08-12 03:50:31	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–2%?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x4cbcc2…
08-12 03:40:06	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 2–3%?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x90326f…
08-12 03:31:37	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 6%?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x639942…
08-12 03:28:37	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 5–6%?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xbe0280…
08-12 03:28:30	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 6%?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x63a03d…
08-12 03:28:21	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 5–6%?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe3b669…
08-12 03:24:00	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 6%?	Yes	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x7acd29…
08-12 02:59:28	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 6%?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0xe7da80…
08-12 02:53:33	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 6%?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xb9a776…
07-25 07:33:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	SELL	500	5¢	$24	0x6aaa98…
07-25 06:44:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	300	3¢	$10	0xc09c49…
07-25 06:44:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	28	3¢	$1	0xf9a8e0…
07-25 06:15:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	SELL	200	5¢	$9	0xbfcb39…
07-25 05:58:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0x6aa6b1…
07-25 05:25:43	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	SELL	2,610	6¢	$157	0xf69348…
07-25 05:16:46	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	800	8¢	$64	0x36dbbd…
07-25 04:58:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	400	8¢	$32	0xbb0b6e…
07-25 04:48:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	701	9¢	$63	0x5e3601…
07-25 04:31:04	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xee5e9a…
07-25 04:28:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x7284f4…
07-25 04:27:10	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0x7ce97d…
07-25 04:24:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	18	9¢	$2	0x3cd72a…
07-25 04:21:43	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x3a8f11…
07-25 04:19:31	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	259	9¢	$23	0x4f3728…
07-25 03:13:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0x979e7e…
07-25 03:05:52	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x3246c8…
07-25 02:51:49	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	SELL	1,000	9¢	$90	0xd83d25…
07-25 01:57:22	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	1,000	11¢	$110	0xb0ca52…
07-24 22:35:03	Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	56	14¢	$8	0xe4c6eb…
07-24 22:32:01	Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	58	14¢	$8	0x035b1b…
07-24 22:30:13	Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	746	14¢	$102	0x24f600…
07-24 22:24:07	Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	73	14¢	$10	0x473f05…
07-24 22:22:36	Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0xcc7003…
07-24 22:21:58	Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	58	14¢	$8	0x68a21a…
07-24 15:52:28	Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	1,000	12¢	$123	0x6de1ce…
07-17 07:21:16	will kathy hochul attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357118	No	SELL	100	20¢	$20	0x2444af…
07-17 07:18:55	will kathy hochul attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357118	No	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x6f9729…
07-12 22:00:05	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	14	26¢	$4	0x454357…
07-12 16:43:49	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	111	26¢	$29	0x79f02f…
07-12 16:20:22	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	25	26¢	$7	0x0242dc…
07-12 16:15:10	will a chinese company have one of the top 5 ai models by december 31	Yes	SELL	300	47¢	$141	0xd3b58c…
07-11 09:49:59	will a chinese company have one of the top 5 ai models by december 31	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x67f49f…
07-11 03:07:08	will a chinese company have one of the top 5 ai models by december 31	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x1f4c64…
07-11 03:06:58	will a chinese company have one of the top 5 ai models by december 31	Yes	BUY	95	51¢	$48	0x8ca39d…
07-11 03:04:11	will a chinese company have one of the top 5 ai models by december 31	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x3ba518…
07-11 03:03:56	will a chinese company have one of the top 5 ai models by december 31	Yes	BUY	95	51¢	$48	0x85405f…
07-10 21:56:04	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x9f0abd…
07-10 17:44:50	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x97c842…
07-10 09:43:58	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x0f8ada…
07-08 08:54:46	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	SELL	273	12¢	$33	0x16dc86…
07-08 08:53:40	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	SELL	127	12¢	$15	0x3b2d07…
07-08 08:41:02	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	800	49¢	$392	0xfdde42…
07-08 08:40:41	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	544	25¢	$136	0x4016aa…
07-07 02:39:52	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xda4251…
07-07 02:39:01	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0xa9954a…
07-05 10:08:58	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	25	2¢	$1	0x62a44b…
07-05 09:25:22	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	75	2¢	$2	0x487391…
07-03 10:33:08	will two spacex starships dock together by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	600	20¢	$120	0x50fe8d…
07-02 19:26:28	will two spacex starships dock together by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	100	21¢	$21	0x7e592a…
07-02 12:20:23	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xee6a65…
07-02 11:46:22	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	29	4¢	$1	0x124050…
07-02 09:41:50	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	85	3¢	$3	0x778fbe…
07-02 09:29:25	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x405483…
07-02 09:23:29	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xa6068b…
07-02 09:23:29	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0x1688ed…
07-02 09:23:26	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xf15710…
07-02 08:42:26	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x43b956…
07-02 08:40:10	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x0809a3…
07-02 08:39:37	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x72f158…
07-02 07:14:37	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	BUY	182	11¢	$20	0x2fbd4c…
07-02 06:54:17	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xd1b057…
07-02 01:28:25	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x6f38bb…
07-02 01:00:13	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x815f69…
07-02 00:53:55	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x6e0fcd…
07-01 15:08:41	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0x132686…
07-01 13:17:11	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x2be90e…
07-01 08:48:56	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0xc752c9…
07-01 01:48:31	will two spacex starships dock together by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	303	21¢	$64	0xbea1fc…
07-01 01:23:13	will two spacex starships dock together by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x164e55…
07-01 00:51:59	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	60	6¢	$4	0xf2f923…
06-30 22:38:19	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0x1a60c9…
06-30 13:09:28	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	500	12¢	$60	0xb17d3f…
06-30 13:04:31	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	63	11¢	$7	0x41147a…
06-30 13:03:41	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	221	11¢	$24	0x6f7404…
06-30 12:44:35	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	0	12¢	$0	0xe2b95c…
06-30 12:44:35	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	0	12¢	$0	0x7faf3f…
06-30 12:44:35	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	0	12¢	$0	0x216f2e…
06-30 12:44:35	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	0	12¢	$0	0x1af304…
06-30 12:39:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	15	12¢	$2	0x467627…
06-30 12:33:49	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	39	12¢	$5	0x3ff2d8…
06-30 12:16:38	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0x5e5a2a…
06-30 12:15:38	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	58	13¢	$8	0x066a4f…
06-30 12:15:34	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	7	13¢	$1	0x279eb8…
06-30 11:54:17	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	BUY	914	11¢	$101	0xbb5f25…
06-30 04:01:02	will two spacex starships dock together by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0xa7caa9…