Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$30

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

75.4%

Resolved

740

Trades

2,616

lifetime

Volume

$16.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$44

1 position

First seen

2026-06-21

last 10-28 20:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Crypto

82% 58% -$263

Politics

15% 100% +$491

Other

2% 20% -$199

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 591 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by November 30, 2026?	Yes		+269	$50	16¢	$44	-$6	10-23 21:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will andy burnham visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126056	2	$985	1,045	0	+1,045	Yes	+$60	08-23 06:04
will keith kellogg visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126053	1	$605	669	0	+669	Yes	+$64	08-19 12:22
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	1	$500	847	0	+847	No	+$347	10-23 20:59
will maia sandu visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126050	1	$299	315	0	+315	Yes	+$16	08-22 16:26
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 7, 2026?	1	$200	314	0	+314	No	-$200	09-07 17:01
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 8, 2026?	1	$200	213	0	+213	Yes	+$13	09-07 17:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	51	$149	240	90	+150	Down	+$79	09-20 15:09
will antonio costa visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126048	1	$100	104	0	+104	Yes	+$4	08-22 16:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:25 UTC	6	$100	158	0	+158	Down	+$58	10-01 07:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	27	$96	135	0	+135	Down	-$1	09-20 17:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 14:10 UTC	13	$95	55	55	+0	Down	+$14	09-16 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	18	$69	90	0	+90	Up	+$21	09-20 17:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	2	$62	76	0	+76	Down	-$11	09-30 12:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 14:05 UTC	2	$62	76	0	+76	Down	-$11	09-29 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	8	$62	82	0	+82	Up	-$5	09-30 01:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 01:55 UTC	5	$60	72	0	+72	Down	+$1	09-30 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	15	$60	75	0	+75	Up	+$15	09-20 15:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 08:05 UTC	3	$58	67	0	+67	Down	+$9	10-01 08:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 12:35 UTC	3	$55	62	0	+62	Up	+$7	09-30 12:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 17:40 UTC	4	$54	39	39	+0	Down	+$11	09-16 17:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:35 UTC	2	$54	56	0	+56	Down	+$2	10-01 07:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 10:05 UTC	1	$50	54	0	+54	Down	+$4	09-30 10:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 13:40 UTC	1	$50	52	0	+52	Up	+$2	09-30 13:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 14:30 UTC	1	$50	52	0	+52	Up	+$2	09-28 14:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 10:10 UTC	1	$50	51	0	+51	Up	+$1	09-30 10:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 12:40 UTC	1	$50	52	0	+52	Down	+$2	09-28 12:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 20:05 UTC	1	$50	52	0	+52	Up	+$2	09-30 20:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 02:40 UTC	1	$50	51	0	+51	Up	+$1	10-01 02:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 13:50 UTC	1	$50	51	0	+51	Up	+$1	09-28 13:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 13:10 UTC	1	$50	54	0	+54	Down	+$4	09-30 13:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 20:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xdda37b…
10-28 20:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xabc6b0…
10-28 20:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xcc310e…
10-28 20:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xa201ca…
10-28 20:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x95c785…
10-28 20:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x8155ed…
10-28 20:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xf3415b…
10-28 20:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x6d076d…
10-28 20:10:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xcc0b3f…
10-28 20:07:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xebdd6a…
10-28 20:07:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x7d31fd…
10-28 20:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0xf583a2…
10-28 20:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xd9b17c…
10-28 20:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x8acd1d…
10-28 20:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x03cfa0…
10-28 20:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x00e551…
10-28 20:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xa126e2…
10-28 20:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x9b28c8…
10-28 20:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xdb2751…
10-28 20:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x391ec2…
10-28 20:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0xa02987…
10-28 20:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x908a65…
10-28 20:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x8652c2…
10-28 20:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x4de76a…
10-28 20:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x72d524…
10-28 20:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x3bc209…
10-28 20:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x091728…
10-28 20:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$2	0x8ac286…
10-28 20:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x006022…
10-28 19:41:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xbe0ac4…
10-28 19:41:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x6a0675…
10-28 19:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x945d14…
10-28 19:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x8f04a9…
10-28 19:35:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x379f08…
10-28 19:35:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x2bce71…
10-28 19:35:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	42¢	$0	0xd1d6fa…
10-28 19:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xce2bf9…
10-28 19:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x448ca9…
10-28 19:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	0	44¢	$0	0x1c1625…
10-28 19:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x044543…
10-28 19:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x626b6e…
10-28 19:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x67316e…
10-28 19:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xf3b716…
10-28 19:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	0	43¢	$0	0xc86223…
10-28 19:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x58d80d…
10-28 19:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x0257bf…
10-28 19:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xc967f5…
10-28 19:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x943a8e…
10-28 19:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x7d9619…
10-28 19:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	61¢	$1	0xf3d829…
10-28 19:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0xaf26c7…
10-28 19:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x7d8b83…
10-28 19:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xff3b16…
10-28 19:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xe953f0…
10-28 19:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xd1a0f6…
10-28 19:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x9afc3b…
10-28 19:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	0	43¢	$0	0x88e273…
10-23 21:26:11	Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	269	19¢	$50	0x935353…
10-23 20:59:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	No	BUY	847	59¢	$500	0x6333a0…
10-21 08:00:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x697fef…
10-21 08:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x73c019…
10-21 08:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x422bb1…
10-21 08:00:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x3287ec…
10-21 08:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x3b85c1…
10-21 08:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x857d1d…
10-21 08:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xbdad90…
10-21 08:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x18a385…
10-21 08:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xa388dc…
10-21 08:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0x877e7b…
10-21 08:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x0557ee…
10-21 07:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xf13e6a…
10-21 07:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x88529f…
10-21 07:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb0560a…
10-21 07:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x0732dc…
10-21 07:55:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x88fa6c…
10-21 07:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	0	61¢	$0	0xcbfb54…
10-21 07:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x73ef80…
10-21 07:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x497a49…
10-21 07:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xc26d56…
10-21 07:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x589e22…
10-21 07:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xd6abd5…
10-21 07:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x73444c…
10-21 07:15:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xdec154…
10-21 07:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x174b03…
10-21 07:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x753ffb…
10-21 07:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xb0fe03…
10-21 07:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x7f94e2…
10-21 07:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x6fddde…
10-21 07:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x48c27a…
10-21 07:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x3cde06…
10-21 07:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x7819ab…
10-21 07:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xfd7bcb…
10-21 07:10:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xf44e45…
10-21 07:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	21¢	$1	0x21a853…
10-21 07:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x1eb52a…
10-21 07:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xae7035…
10-21 07:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x37f275…
10-21 07:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xc291a7…
10-21 07:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	0	27¢	$0	0x14febd…
10-21 07:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0xd4c1e2…