Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$673

Unrealized P&L

-$49

Hit rate

34.0%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

688 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$30.8K

$98.6K lifetime

Avg / trade

$143

Open exposure

$71

1 position

First seen

2026-03-02

last 11-12 20:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 58 days

Categories

Other

44% 45% -$960

Politics

26% 33% -$723

Sports

15% 62% +$631

Crypto

14% 65% -$650

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes		+4,286	$120	2¢	$71	-$49	10-23 02:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	10	$5.3K	3,477	3,477	+0	No	-$172	10-25 22:09
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	4	$5.2K	2,959	2,959	+0	Yes	-$214	10-25 22:07
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$4.9K	2,584	2,584	+0	Yes	+$54	11-02 18:53
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	4	$4.0K	2,987	2,987	+0	open	—	10-20 17:44
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	4	$3.8K	2,554	2,554	+0	Yes	-$360	10-21 20:53
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	4	$3.2K	2,276	2,276	+0	open	—	10-22 19:19
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	4	$2.7K	1,601	1,601	+0	No	+$250	09-30 22:14
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?	2	$2.5K	1,717	1,717	+0	open	—	11-12 20:51
lol wb al 2026 03 05	4	$2.2K	1,224	1,224	+0	Weibo Gaming	+$156	03-05 12:39
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	2	$2.2K	1,549	1,549	+0	Yes	-$46	10-25 21:46
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	2	$2.1K	1,124	1,124	+0	No	+$97	10-13 14:04
nba phx sas 2026 03 19	2	$2.0K	1,111	1,111	+0	Spurs	+$210	03-20 02:36
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?	2	$1.9K	1,001	1,001	+0	Yes	+$69	10-05 13:39
nba por den 2026 03 22	2	$1.8K	1,184	1,184	+0	Nuggets	+$47	03-22 21:17
nba den phx 2026 03 24	5	$1.8K	1,309	1,309	+0	Nuggets	-$70	03-25 05:43
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	4	$1.7K	1,055	1,055	+0	Yes	-$17	11-01 19:19
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$1.7K	909	909	+0	Yes	+$55	10-24 15:35
ucl cfc1 psg1 2026 03 17 psg1	2	$1.5K	824	824	+0	Yes	+$123	03-17 22:00
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$1.4K	758	758	+0	Yes	+$158	03-16 02:41
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	2	$1.3K	1,306	1,306	+0	open	—	11-01 19:19
Will Tom Pelphrey – “Task” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series?	4	$1.3K	1,073	1,073	+0	Yes	+$277	09-15 01:33
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	4	$1.2K	1,243	1,243	+0	open	—	10-22 19:22
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?	2	$1.1K	1,036	1,036	+0	open	—	10-22 16:27
atp djokovi majchrz 2026 03 06	2	$1.0K	515	515	+0	Novak Djokovic	+$11	03-08 00:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 09:10 UTC	4	$965	526	524	+1	Up	+$6	03-05 09:15
nba okc orl 2026 03 17	1	$900	1,000	0	+1,000	Thunder	+$100	03-18 00:02
nba gsw bos 2026 03 18	1	$900	1,059	0	+1,059	Celtics	+$159	03-18 23:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 23:25 UTC	1	$900	909	0	+909	Down	+$9	03-17 23:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 23:10 UTC	1	$900	909	0	+909	Down	+$9	03-17 23:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 08:00 UTC	2	$800	404	404	+0	Down	+$0	03-05 08:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 20:51:39	Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,717	95¢	$1,627	0x28beab…
11-02 18:53:04	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	2,584	95¢	$2,454	0x4000a5…
11-01 19:19:54	Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,306	76¢	$989	0x21ad9a…
11-01 19:19:43	Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,055	80¢	$844	0xf8d858…
10-26 19:35:08	Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?	Yes	SELL	136	35¢	$48	0x6cab51…
10-25 22:09:41	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	60	42¢	$25	0x9d8a8a…
10-25 22:08:57	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	2,584	93¢	$2,400	0xaae332…
10-25 22:07:59	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	SELL	2,959	84¢	$2,486	0x723017…
10-25 21:47:50	Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	73	83¢	$61	0xd30917…
10-25 21:46:59	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	1,111	90¢	$1,000	0x363faa…
10-25 21:46:42	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,549	68¢	$1,054	0xd49527…
10-25 21:25:33	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	60	66¢	$40	0x44bd04…
10-25 20:16:59	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	543	92¢	$500	0x131a3d…
10-25 20:13:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	1,304	92¢	$1,200	0xd21563…
10-25 20:07:06	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,060	74¢	$784	0x7d8303…
10-25 20:04:09	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	659	76¢	$500	0xcfa221…
10-25 19:58:44	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	401	75¢	$300	0x8388b4…
10-25 19:58:12	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	2,357	75¢	$1,758	0x01501c…
10-24 15:58:05	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	241	83¢	$200	0x4c369f…
10-24 15:36:57	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,207	83¢	$1,000	0x580300…
10-24 15:35:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	909	94¢	$855	0x5bd4c7…
10-24 15:34:59	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	389	90¢	$349	0xca7f36…
10-23 18:23:54	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	87¢	$27	0x8f4a93…
10-23 18:22:27	Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	241	83¢	$200	0x9d5040…
10-23 03:01:35	Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?	Yes	BUY	136	44¢	$60	0xc329de…
10-23 02:54:35	Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	4,286	3¢	$120	0x6fbc58…
10-23 02:13:41	Patriots vs. Bears	Bears	SELL	68	86¢	$58	0x6ee175…
10-23 01:49:59	Cavaliers vs. 76ers	76ers	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0x11341c…
10-23 01:49:44	Patriots vs. Bears	Bears	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0x304211…
10-23 01:43:56	Cavaliers vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0x1b7cd0…
10-22 20:19:35	Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	740	81¢	$600	0x0a6aac…
10-22 19:24:02	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,549	71¢	$1,100	0x3f266e…
10-22 19:22:57	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	630	67¢	$420	0x787d3c…
10-22 19:19:42	Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,192	75¢	$897	0xb28a33…
10-22 16:27:17	Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?	No	SELL	1,036	69¢	$719	0x70b8f2…
10-21 22:42:59	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	219	81¢	$177	0xbebd3f…
10-21 22:32:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	909	88¢	$800	0xcdaf25…
10-21 20:53:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	1,334	73¢	$974	0x597187…
10-20 17:45:50	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	1,334	82¢	$1,090	0x60689e…
10-20 17:44:12	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,248	88¢	$1,092	0xe1039e…
10-19 18:05:51	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	827	77¢	$636	0xf9cfce…
10-19 18:05:09	Will FK Rodina Moskva vs. FK Orenburg end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	286	5¢	$13	0x5adb9b…
10-19 17:19:15	Paris curfew by October 19?	No	SELL	42	5¢	$2	0x4fa58d…
10-19 17:09:41	Will FK Rodina Moskva vs. FK Orenburg end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0x238cef…
10-19 17:06:00	Paris curfew by October 19?	No	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0xdcb460…
10-19 17:01:50	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	1,220	62¢	$756	0x330e87…
10-17 18:21:59	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	83	77¢	$64	0x7ec4a2…
10-16 15:37:28	cs2 aur1 9z 2026 10 16	Aurora Gaming	BUY	65	93¢	$60	0xec4350…
10-16 15:32:30	atp balshaw brunold 2026 10 16	Mika Brunold	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0xc7cc85…
10-16 15:31:25	atp balshaw brunold 2026 10 16	Mika Brunold	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x7bfa5a…
10-16 15:29:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:25 UTC	Up	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x0bb4f9…
10-16 15:27:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:25 UTC	Up	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x3f0728…
10-16 15:26:40	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0x106cc2…
10-14 05:23:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 05:20 UTC	Up	SELL	44	79¢	$35	0xa0a0b3…
10-14 05:23:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 05:20 UTC	Up	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x996684…
10-14 05:22:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 05:20 UTC	Up	SELL	31	40¢	$13	0xdd1a21…
10-14 05:21:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 05:20 UTC	Up	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x1d3bcb…
10-13 20:37:16	Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Club Brugge KV end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	57	11¢	$6	0x3ac737…
10-13 19:13:12	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	SELL	227	70¢	$159	0xe07563…
10-13 18:16:30	Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Club Brugge KV end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	57	14¢	$8	0x98e306…
10-13 16:49:01	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	227	88¢	$200	0xfc6edf…
10-13 16:47:24	Catania: Max Wiskandt vs Miguel Damas	Max Wiskandt	SELL	41	100¢	$40	0xcf689f…
10-13 16:45:40	Will Slovenia vs. Turkiye end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	53	5¢	$3	0x5f2a57…
10-13 16:38:03	Will Slovenia vs. Turkiye end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0xb5ee53…
10-13 16:36:06	Catania: Max Wiskandt vs Miguel Damas	Max Wiskandt	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0x82e66e…
10-13 16:32:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 16:30 UTC	Down	SELL	57	85¢	$48	0xc57a2f…
10-13 16:31:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x412276…
10-13 14:13:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	1,220	82¢	$1,000	0xd9b8df…
10-13 14:12:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:10 UTC	Up	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0x57a68a…
10-13 14:10:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:10 UTC	Up	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0x0e9c61…
10-13 14:04:40	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1,124	98¢	$1,097	0x595c12…
10-12 20:45:51	Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-10-12?	Yes	SELL	116	100¢	$116	0x7d26eb…
10-12 20:23:56	Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-10-12?	Yes	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x7aa904…
10-11 15:33:45	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	37	53¢	$20	0xa4251b…
10-06 00:42:59	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?	Yes	BUY	132	95¢	$125	0x4d315a…
10-05 13:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x7a7814…
10-05 13:40:53	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1,124	89¢	$1,000	0x77cafe…
10-05 13:39:28	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?	Yes	SELL	1,001	97¢	$969	0xa10fcc…
10-05 13:30:32	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	155	43¢	$67	0x69a407…
10-04 18:10:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 18:05 UTC	Down	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x4d4f15…
10-04 18:07:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 18:05 UTC	Down	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x08fcdd…
10-04 18:01:46	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?	No	BUY	662	68¢	$450	0xc39d7d…
10-04 17:49:14	Will Lula win 44% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	65	73¢	$48	0x97c124…
10-04 17:33:49	Patriots vs. Bills	Bills	SELL	405	69¢	$280	0x5891de…
10-04 16:04:11	Patriots vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	405	74¢	$300	0x0c2ef9…
10-04 04:22:04	Will Lula win 44% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x2aef56…
10-04 04:19:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x486940…
10-04 04:00:40	Flames vs. Canucks	Flames	SELL	143	73¢	$104	0xee6ffb…
10-04 03:48:04	China Open: Sinja Kraus vs Dayana Yastremska	Dayana Yastremska	SELL	40	44¢	$18	0xeb6b5a…
10-04 03:42:10	China Open: Sinja Kraus vs Dayana Yastremska	Dayana Yastremska	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x06d052…
10-04 03:39:40	Flames vs. Canucks	Flames	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xb0dd37…
10-04 03:37:28	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	357	56¢	$201	0xa0bde6…
10-03 23:08:25	Heat vs. Raptors	Raptors	SELL	138	51¢	$70	0xff28db…
10-03 21:58:41	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	630	48¢	$300	0x005120…
10-03 21:56:29	Heat vs. Raptors	Raptors	BUY	138	58¢	$80	0xa0d838…
10-01 15:21:08	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	155	52¢	$81	0x5f40e6…
10-01 15:20:38	LoL: MAGAZA vs The Otter Side (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage	The Otter Side	SELL	42	37¢	$15	0xc8483f…
10-01 15:13:50	LoL: MAGAZA vs The Otter Side (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage	The Otter Side	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0xdfee81…
10-01 04:57:48	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	357	70¢	$250	0x1258a7…
10-01 01:13:44	wnba atl wsh 2026 09 30	Atlanta Dream	SELL	328	100¢	$328	0x3b529c…