Lovable-Violence — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$182

Unrealized P&L

+$150

Hit rate

40.6%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

8,031 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$1.46K

$711.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

$89

Open exposure

$175

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-07 12:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 216 days

Categories

Politics

64% 66% +$5,145

Other

33% 44% +$2,992

Tech

2% 42% +$24

Sports

0% 33% -$30

Crypto

0% 55% +$27

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 84 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 255 857	No	+170	$69	63¢	$107	+$39	11-03 13:29
Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31?	Yes	+150	$60	24¢	$37	-$24	11-02 16:29
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	-100	-$181	21¢	$-21	+$160	10-30 07:18
Will exactly 3 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?	Yes	+100	$5	5¢	$5	+$0	11-02 21:44
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+14	$3	15¢	$2	$0	11-01 18:39
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	+111	$26	1¢	$1	-$25	11-03 11:22
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	+10	$2	10¢	$1	-$1	09-09 18:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	131	$63.2K	35,106	34,506	+600	Yes	+$355	04-07 23:11
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	65	$22.1K	11,740	11,740	+0	Yes	+$399	07-26 20:25
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	50	$19.3K	10,182	10,182	+0	No	+$153	08-01 02:57
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	36	$18.0K	9,687	8,811	+875	No	+$63	02-24 21:01
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?	27	$17.1K	10,110	7,145	+2,966	No	+$101	04-13 09:01
netanyahu out by march 31 854	42	$16.5K	8,354	8,554	-200	No	+$96	03-20 07:05
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	140	$14.0K	17,673	13,897	+3,776	Yes	+$48	08-12 15:14
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	55	$13.8K	10,856	10,856	+0	Yes	+$1,458	09-09 15:47
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	65	$12.8K	6,783	6,783	+0	Yes	+$191	07-22 19:49
iran strike on israel by february 28	64	$10.9K	7,467	5,549	+1,918	Yes	+$98	02-28 20:56
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	33	$10.5K	4,532	6,195	-1,663	No	-$15	03-01 21:54
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	9	$10.4K	5,640	5,640	+0	Yes	+$358	07-27 19:25
will iran strike israel on march 6	84	$10.2K	6,569	6,583	-15	No	+$325	03-10 15:30
google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	45	$9.9K	10,976	9,993	+983	Yes	-$370	08-30 03:50
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	36	$9.0K	5,063	5,063	+0	No	+$28	02-18 20:54
will iran strike israel on march 4	31	$8.4K	4,580	4,381	+199	Yes	+$55	03-06 19:26
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?	33	$7.9K	6,851	5,874	+976	No	+$204	04-10 13:47
gpt 5pt6 released by june 26 2026	51	$7.7K	5,306	4,007	+1,299	No	+$195	06-26 18:07
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	39	$7.6K	5,022	3,528	+1,494	Yes	+$189	02-02 15:38
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	47	$7.2K	6,842	6,842	+0	No	+$393	06-08 03:08
will iran strike israel on march 10	79	$7.0K	4,966	4,597	+369	Yes	+$151	03-14 06:46
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 14 2026	23	$7.0K	3,541	3,541	+0	No	+$56	04-16 06:32
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	29	$6.9K	4,464	4,464	+0	No	+$52	08-11 18:06
Will the US strike Somalia next?	17	$6.9K	3,485	3,479	+6	Yes	+$23	01-27 19:07
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	40	$6.8K	7,433	6,733	+700	No	-$257	09-11 12:36
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	73	$6.2K	5,202	5,600	-398	No	+$379	01-31 14:03
us strike on somalia by february 7	67	$6.1K	3,241	3,355	-115	Yes	+$64	02-03 19:57
us strike on somalia by february 28	54	$6.1K	3,644	4,487	-843	Yes	+$58	02-10 14:14
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	19	$6.0K	7,602	7,602	+0	Yes	+$224	08-01 20:12
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 8 2026	7	$5.8K	3,020	3,020	+0	No	+$272	08-09 02:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 12:41:43	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	SELL	150	4¢	$6	0x6b33c7…
11-07 12:41:25	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	SELL	890	4¢	$35	0x898d5c…
11-05 13:02:22	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	62	1¢	$1	0x447efa…
11-05 13:02:22	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	109	1¢	$2	0x00f400…
11-05 13:02:21	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x251464…
11-05 13:02:07	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xf0b103…
11-05 13:01:55	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xdaa168…
11-05 13:01:49	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xe56727…
11-05 13:01:49	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	62	1¢	$1	0x717de0…
11-05 13:01:09	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	196	1¢	$3	0xbcff72…
11-05 12:59:46	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xe5d39c…
11-05 12:59:46	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	173	1¢	$2	0x38d064…
11-04 20:13:55	Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026?	No	SELL	30	80¢	$24	0x3fa248…
11-04 16:10:10	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	SELL	725	2¢	$14	0xc407a7…
11-03 20:23:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x05e8e0…
11-03 20:11:52	Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	30	38¢	$11	0x2256c9…
11-03 16:46:48	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	SELL	573	2¢	$14	0xc2da56…
11-03 13:29:46	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	170	59¢	$100	0x53a0bd…
11-03 11:22:06	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	SELL	93	19¢	$18	0xc343fc…
11-03 11:22:06	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	SELL	46	19¢	$9	0xb1eccd…
11-03 10:14:28	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	SELL	400	2¢	$10	0xb979d6…
11-03 10:14:19	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0x81c4b3…
11-03 05:10:13	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x7ec73b…
11-03 05:10:10	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x906263…
11-03 04:55:46	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	BUY	250	21¢	$52	0x8feeec…
11-03 04:44:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	30	28¢	$8	0x937fd7…
11-03 04:22:55	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	22	34¢	$7	0xf3f0f1…
11-03 01:12:54	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	SELL	83	2¢	$2	0xbda4f9…
11-02 21:44:43	Will exactly 3 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x7ebe79…
11-02 19:32:18	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	No	SELL	205	98¢	$201	0xd161a8…
11-02 16:29:33	Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xbb732b…
11-02 15:05:10	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	SELL	52	2¢	$1	0xd8b4e4…
11-02 14:53:57	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x5a74f6…
11-02 14:44:33	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	SELL	52	2¢	$1	0x728193…
11-02 14:31:13	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	SELL	54	2¢	$1	0x8b916f…
11-02 14:28:10	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	SELL	52	2¢	$1	0x6cfad7…
11-02 14:24:18	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	SELL	122	2¢	$2	0x5cb181…
11-02 14:07:46	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	SELL	93	2¢	$2	0x943ab9…
11-02 14:07:46	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	SELL	64	2¢	$1	0x244f59…
11-02 13:57:06	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	SELL	598	2¢	$12	0x8c4882…
11-01 19:40:12	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0xc2f94f…
11-01 18:54:36	Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31?	Yes	BUY	120	42¢	$50	0x1d18cf…
11-01 18:48:51	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	No	SELL	155	97¢	$150	0x62a371…
11-01 18:39:37	Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	18¢	$3	0x69d61a…
11-01 04:39:39	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	310	94¢	$291	0x5557d3…
11-01 04:12:16	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	SELL	310	93¢	$288	0x92b1b9…
10-31 17:06:42	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0xe6ccb2…
10-31 16:13:00	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xce95f5…
10-31 14:17:07	Will Nemiga Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0x35a75a…
10-31 14:13:01	Will Nemiga Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	34¢	$5	0xf36092…
10-31 14:09:00	Will Nemiga Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0xe23bcc…
10-31 13:55:45	Will Nemiga Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x9fd4f0…
10-31 13:52:43	Will Nemiga Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x957b33…
10-31 13:52:00	Will Nemiga Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x156d64…
10-31 12:35:13	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	200	70¢	$140	0x260938…
10-31 09:16:49	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	BUY	198	90¢	$178	0x9876a7…
10-31 09:16:28	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 30?	Yes	SELL	178	100¢	$177	0x0ccbf6…
10-30 23:24:25	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0xd69fc7…
10-30 10:55:19	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 30?	Yes	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x6fcfd5…
10-30 10:55:16	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 30?	Yes	BUY	78	95¢	$75	0xb1ea89…
10-30 07:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8063cf…
10-30 07:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x863682…
10-30 07:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	400	1¢	$4	0x38a5d6…
10-30 07:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x0885f0…
10-30 07:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x49f218…
10-30 07:46:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0xec17ed…
10-30 07:46:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xb66723…
10-30 07:46:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x05ba95…
10-30 07:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	6¢	$1	0xfcfb33…
10-30 07:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xde50bf…
10-30 07:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x290116…
10-30 07:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x1e6ab8…
10-30 07:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	16¢	$0	0x6a24f8…
10-30 07:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x213d40…
10-30 07:42:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xe8b70f…
10-30 07:42:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xe74326…
10-30 07:42:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	26	2¢	$1	0xcb6963…
10-30 07:42:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0xb0e23d…
10-30 07:42:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	21	2¢	$0	0x5119e3…
10-30 07:42:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x3e198b…
10-30 07:42:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x306e03…
10-30 07:42:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x2846e6…
10-30 07:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	66¢	$6	0x65b3e7…
10-30 07:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	25	66¢	$16	0xb2c103…
10-30 07:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	23	66¢	$15	0x95f2a4…
10-30 07:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0x7aee29…
10-30 07:39:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	60	41¢	$25	0x425517…
10-30 07:18:01	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	265	40¢	$106	0x7a9c89…
10-30 07:14:01	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	25	40¢	$10	0xd50e54…
10-30 07:06:46	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x97320b…
10-29 17:56:14	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	300	43¢	$129	0xf5f06a…
10-29 17:54:14	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	300	47¢	$141	0x553f2e…
10-29 16:14:08	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	300	45¢	$135	0x0f8241…
10-29 16:01:22	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	300	47¢	$141	0x4a1975…
10-29 03:54:19	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	300	45¢	$135	0xbe5d7e…
10-28 10:09:46	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0xbe51dc…
10-28 09:14:14	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	466	3¢	$13	0xa4435e…
10-28 09:07:38	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	34	3¢	$1	0x0742e3…
10-28 08:25:49	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	334	5¢	$17	0xeb3046…
10-28 08:24:47	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	4	5¢	$0	0xa9c889…