Realized P&L
-$11.6K
Unrealized P&L
-$155
Hit rate
68.3%
Resolved
128
Trades
1,871
lifetime
Volume
$380.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$204
Open exposure
$65
1 position
First seen
2026-01-11
last 07-22 22:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 48 days
Categories
Politics
78%
62%
-$1,370
Other
11%
57%
+$1,709
Sports
10%
45%
-$12,173
Tech
1%
100%
+$377
Crypto
0%
0%
-$192
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-22).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New pandemic in 2026? | Yes | +1,836 | $220 | 4¢ | $65 | -$155 | 05-06 15:08 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| will iran strike israel on march 6 | 113 | $46.6K | 40,144 | 8,650 | +31,494 | No | +$2,137 | 03-12 00:31 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31 | 34 | $37.1K | 28,897 | 13,700 | +15,197 | Yes | +$3,650 | 03-03 21:05 |
| will iran strike israel on march 10 | 177 | $32.0K | 41,980 | 5,342 | +36,638 | Yes | -$10,221 | 03-12 22:00 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 7 | 81 | $31.5K | 42,699 | 12,282 | +30,417 | Yes | -$9,301 | 04-07 23:19 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | 199 | $23.2K | 25,025 | 8,685 | +16,340 | Yes | +$8,859 | 03-08 22:07 |
| us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761 | 28 | $17.4K | 17,300 | 7,300 | +10,000 | Yes | +$578 | 02-28 08:19 |
| nba nyk sas 2026 06 13 | 43 | $13.7K | 16,721 | 3,000 | +13,721 | Knicks | -$3,009 | 06-14 03:28 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | 22 | $12.4K | 6,915 | 6,915 | +0 | Yes | +$1,017 | 03-11 02:48 |
| will tit me pregunt be played first at the super bowl halftime show | 53 | $12.0K | 38,919 | 0 | +38,919 | Yes | -$11,962 | 02-09 01:07 |
| Will Lighter dip to $1 before 2027? | 20 | $11.0K | 11,612 | 0 | +11,612 | Yes | +$659 | 03-09 00:05 |
| us strikes iran by february 27 2026 | 2 | $9.9K | 5,000 | 5,000 | +0 | No | +$30 | 02-28 07:08 |
| will jeff bezos attend super bowl lx | 10 | $7.8K | 9,123 | 0 | +9,123 | No | +$1,307 | 02-09 00:36 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 13 | $7.7K | 7,006 | 2,000 | +5,006 | Yes | +$1,269 | 04-07 23:29 |
| iran strike on israel by february 28 | 25 | $7.6K | 3,864 | 4,152 | -287 | Yes | -$89 | 02-28 19:53 |
| will iran strike uae again in march | 15 | $6.6K | 3,490 | 3,490 | +0 | Yes | +$365 | 04-07 22:03 |
| moltbook ai agent sues a human by feb 28 | 31 | $6.3K | 6,644 | 1,456 | +5,188 | Yes | +$1,570 | 02-03 01:26 |
| will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026 | 32 | $5.4K | 5,597 | 0 | +5,597 | No | +$200 | 03-08 22:02 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 6 | 59 | $5.2K | 4,332 | 2,164 | +2,168 | No | +$659 | 03-02 17:18 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | 19 | $4.9K | 8,034 | 432 | +7,603 | Yes | -$4,145 | 04-09 14:18 |
| Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair? | 2 | $4.0K | 2,031 | 2,031 | +0 | No | +$61 | 02-08 23:23 |
| jesus christ return before 2027 odds 5 monday night 12 1 am | 31 | $4.0K | 3,534 | 1,152 | +2,382 | No | +$374 | 02-15 22:01 |
| US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026? | 7 | $3.8K | 2,955 | 1,000 | +1,955 | Yes | +$129 | 02-28 08:11 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | 13 | $3.5K | 1,912 | 1,912 | +0 | open | — | 05-31 17:40 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | 13 | $3.1K | 9,965 | 1,000 | +8,965 | No | -$2,775 | 04-07 21:50 |
| will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 9 2026 | 27 | $3.0K | 3,162 | 0 | +3,162 | Yes | +$131 | 03-08 22:00 |
| will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026 | 42 | $3.0K | 2,167 | 1,814 | +354 | Yes | +$377 | 02-28 21:56 |
| will trump talk to mark rutte in march 855 | 17 | $2.5K | 3,481 | 0 | +3,481 | No | +$956 | 04-03 07:31 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | 31 | $2.5K | 10,677 | 10,677 | +0 | No | -$455 | 03-08 16:38 |
| will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026 | 7 | $2.3K | 3,417 | 0 | +3,417 | Yes | +$1,107 | 01-26 03:13 |
| trump announces hormuz deadline extension today | 16 | $2.2K | 3,178 | 0 | +3,178 | Yes | +$11 | 04-07 23:30 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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