Scientific-Deviation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$173

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 05-21 06:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 100% +$1

Politics

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	05-17 03:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	2	$11	8	8	+0	open	—	05-19 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-18 15:18
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	05-17 11:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-19 15:49
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	05-17 11:14
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	05-18 12:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-16 16:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-21 06:33
XRP Up or Down - May 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-17 02:59
Will Trump say "Autopen" or "Auto Pen" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	05-15 06:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	2	$9	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	05-17 02:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-13 16:23
XRP Up or Down - May 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-16 15:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-15 06:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-16 11:28
XRP Up or Down - May 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-17 03:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-18 12:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-19 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	1	$4	4	0	+4	Up	+$0	05-14 03:33
Will Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$3	1	1	+0	open	—	05-15 06:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 06:33:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xeee3a2…
05-19 15:49:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6c06cc…
05-19 13:49:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xf47932…
05-19 13:33:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5ee805…
05-19 13:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0xb8acd2…
05-19 13:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xd9608b…
05-18 15:18:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	6	92¢	$6	0xdb0d9d…
05-18 15:17:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x8d2967…
05-18 12:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9dbb6f…
05-18 12:23:19	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0x2b1528…
05-18 12:22:31	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x552465…
05-17 11:14:10	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0x64590b…
05-17 11:13:54	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xea999d…
05-17 11:09:18	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	6	97¢	$5	0x2094b4…
05-17 11:09:00	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x894ac4…
05-17 03:28:40	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x7b18a8…
05-17 03:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x46fab5…
05-17 02:59:02	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xe54e72…
05-17 02:54:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x28e13e…
05-16 16:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd33ccb…
05-16 16:13:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xbbaaef…
05-16 15:59:24	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x486918…
05-16 11:28:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x3f04d5…
05-15 06:44:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x766287…
05-15 06:26:47	Will Trump say "Autopen" or "Auto Pen" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xce3212…
05-15 06:26:28	Will Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xde23db…
05-14 09:42:51	Will Trump say "Autopen" or "Auto Pen" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xeddc0f…
05-14 09:27:20	Will Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x66a33d…
05-14 03:33:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xf4b4d9…
05-13 16:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5b5a1e…
05-13 15:54:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x068698…
05-13 15:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x672788…