Wary-Eyeball — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.41K

Unrealized P&L

-$75

Hit rate

15.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,998

lifetime

Volume

$496.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$249

Open exposure

$4.32K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-04

last 06-26 19:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

63% 60% $-3,490

Politics

33% — —

Tech

3% — —

Sports

0% 100% +$76

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 121 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No		-5,000	$-4,250	86¢	$-4325	$-75	06-05 06:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	27	$66.4K	32,148	35,058	-2,911	open	—	05-21 06:26
Will Zoran Stevanović be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	44	$61.7K	30,134	32,738	-2,604	open	—	04-21 11:54
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	7	$31.3K	11,028	20,555	-9,526	open	—	05-21 06:26
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	102	$26.0K	23,431	15,425	+8,006	open	—	01-30 08:25
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	56	$16.4K	16,195	6,958	+9,237	open	—	04-25 15:02
will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	74	$15.7K	26,134	13,256	+12,878	open	—	03-30 16:56
will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	37	$10.8K	12,563	1,756	+10,807	open	—	03-22 21:29
sea com lec 2026 02 28 lec	18	$10.7K	6,743	6,300	+443	open	—	02-28 14:23
sea udi sas 2026 02 15 sas	35	$9.4K	23,895	3,387	+20,508	open	—	02-15 13:08
sea com lec 2026 02 28 draw	13	$9.4K	6,692	6,201	+490	open	—	02-28 14:40
sea sas ver 2026 02 20 draw	5	$8.9K	9,582	0	+9,582	open	—	02-20 20:35
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	24	$8.8K	4,520	4,520	+0	open	—	04-30 14:08
bun mai stu 2026 03 07 stu	85	$8.4K	24,733	919	+23,814	open	—	03-07 16:20
sea ata nap 2026 02 22 ata	51	$8.1K	10,900	0	+10,900	open	—	02-22 15:45
col rij str 2026 03 12 spread away 1pt5	18	$7.9K	9,722	2,768	+6,954	open	—	03-12 19:33
will turnout in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary elections be between 65 and 70	36	$7.6K	8,367	2,396	+5,971	open	—	04-01 12:16
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	33	$7.3K	12,310	12,276	+34	open	—	01-30 07:57
sea int ata 2026 03 14 ata	12	$7.2K	7,838	0	+7,838	open	—	03-14 15:47
sea udi sas 2026 02 15 udi	37	$6.9K	16,447	5,232	+11,216	open	—	02-15 13:10
uel din6 gnk 2026 02 19 din6	10	$6.0K	10,718	4,158	+6,560	open	—	02-19 18:41
sea ata nap 2026 02 22 nap	10	$5.9K	10,152	939	+9,213	open	—	02-22 15:27
sea bol udi 2026 02 23 bol	12	$5.9K	11,992	0	+11,992	open	—	02-23 21:21
Will Romania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	86	$5.6K	8,363	0	+8,363	open	—	05-16 22:58
col rij str 2026 03 12 rij	3	$5.4K	5,613	0	+5,613	open	—	03-12 19:25
ucl int2 bog1 2026 02 24 bog1	19	$5.1K	6,928	1,995	+4,933	open	—	02-24 21:35
jpm quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 13 2026 4pt94	1	$4.9K	5,075	0	+5,075	open	—	01-13 11:41
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	19	$4.7K	2,422	2,422	+0	open	—	05-30 04:38
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	2	$4.5K	2,400	2,400	+0	open	—	02-17 07:52
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	16	$4.2K	0	5,000	-5,000	open	—	06-05 06:54
sea juv sas 2026 03 21 juv	3	$4.1K	8,645	8,610	+35	open	—	03-21 21:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-26 19:25:55	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 spread away 1pt5	Norway	SELL	751	32¢	$240	0x5b20f2…
06-26 19:20:52	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 spread away 1pt5	Norway	BUY	383	22¢	$84	0xaf0ba3…
06-26 19:20:52	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 spread away 1pt5	Norway	BUY	40	22¢	$9	0x277efa…
06-26 19:20:50	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 spread away 1pt5	Norway	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0xf1e55c…
06-26 19:20:50	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 spread away 1pt5	Norway	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0xd45693…
06-26 19:20:50	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 spread away 1pt5	Norway	BUY	247	22¢	$54	0xcc1b78…
06-26 19:20:50	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 spread away 1pt5	Norway	BUY	51	17¢	$9	0x5f4b3c…
06-24 08:28:43	will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	No	SELL	260	62¢	$161	0x4ef988…
06-16 20:30:32	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	210	99¢	$208	0x7898fa…
06-11 09:27:03	will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	No	BUY	260	77¢	$200	0x91e3a3…
06-11 06:40:34	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	Yes	BUY	1,883	99¢	$1,858	0xcd9ce6…
06-11 06:40:12	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530	Yes	BUY	83	99¢	$82	0x17f3d6…
06-11 06:40:12	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530	Yes	BUY	2,058	99¢	$2,033	0x0c55e4…
06-11 06:38:34	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540	Yes	SELL	2,006	1¢	$26	0x03c9dd…
06-09 15:48:51	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540	Yes	BUY	2,000	41¢	$820	0x459b2b…
06-09 15:25:54	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540	Yes	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xdc5fbb…
06-07 20:28:18	Croatia vs. Slovenia: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	16	83¢	$13	0x32ac14…
06-07 19:56:25	Spread: Croatia (-1.5)	Croatia	BUY	29	23¢	$7	0x745d50…
06-07 19:56:25	Croatia vs. Slovenia: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	29	32¢	$9	0x23154f…
06-07 19:56:24	Croatia vs. Slovenia: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0xe7a99c…
06-07 19:56:24	Spread: Croatia (-1.5)	Croatia	BUY	23	25¢	$6	0xaf4157…
06-07 19:56:24	Croatia vs. Slovenia: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	28	46¢	$13	0x4f5c1b…
06-05 06:54:51	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	1,542	85¢	$1,311	0x01cd32…
06-05 06:45:40	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	2,350	85¢	$1,998	0x7b808a…
06-04 19:13:36	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	35	85¢	$30	0x69e5d9…
06-04 19:04:34	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	47	85¢	$40	0x78480e…
06-04 17:26:37	Slovenia vs. Cyprus: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	514	77¢	$397	0x0d820b…
06-04 17:08:15	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xa9edf4…
06-04 16:08:33	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x582fd0…
06-04 07:18:33	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	112	85¢	$95	0x76ecef…
06-04 06:54:00	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	24	85¢	$20	0x235187…
06-04 03:35:51	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	42	85¢	$36	0x537602…
06-04 01:42:07	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	4	85¢	$3	0x1fd0e8…
06-04 01:01:31	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	4	85¢	$3	0xb1bc01…
06-03 21:41:31	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	106	85¢	$90	0x4e1a8a…
06-03 20:24:25	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	465	85¢	$395	0x912485…
06-03 19:45:36	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x2681ce…
06-03 16:55:52	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x290e31…
06-03 16:39:28	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	260	85¢	$221	0x4283eb…
06-01 07:43:46	Will Resni.ca (Res) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?	No	BUY	59	99¢	$58	0x641333…
05-30 17:29:46	Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x2c3fc6…
05-30 17:29:45	Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	132	90¢	$118	0x1357c8…
05-30 17:29:41	Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	51	70¢	$36	0x0127d2…
05-30 17:29:17	Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	337	66¢	$223	0xff4935…
05-30 08:23:43	Kash Patel out by May 31?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x0d2512…
05-30 04:38:45	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	No	SELL	105	100¢	$104	0x8a5cbd…
05-30 04:31:10	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	No	SELL	500	100¢	$499	0x1d9b0b…
05-29 09:33:35	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	No	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0x0d4e44…
05-29 09:33:23	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	No	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0x4e165e…
05-29 09:32:37	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	No	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0xf69a87…
05-29 09:32:09	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	No	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0xd5aea5…
05-29 09:31:17	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	No	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0x407276…
05-29 07:44:44	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$20	0x9a4b66…
05-29 03:26:50	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0x2ab790…
05-29 03:26:49	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0xb2708c…
05-29 03:26:49	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	No	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x29f3e1…
05-29 03:26:42	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	No	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0xd9731a…
05-29 03:26:42	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x448128…
05-29 01:59:57	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	No	SELL	1,303	100¢	$1,301	0x3f934e…
05-28 17:47:18	Will the Slovenian People’s Party (SLS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?	Yes	SELL	61	10¢	$6	0xb39186…
05-28 17:45:26	Will the Slovenian People’s Party (SLS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?	Yes	SELL	26	2¢	$1	0x698b02…
05-28 17:45:24	Will the Slovenian People’s Party (SLS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?	Yes	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0x35532a…
05-28 17:45:21	Will the Slovenian People’s Party (SLS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?	Yes	SELL	18	2¢	$0	0x9dea06…
05-28 17:45:15	Will the Slovenian People’s Party (SLS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?	Yes	SELL	583	1¢	$8	0xba14ba…
05-21 06:26:37	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	20,555	100¢	$20,514	0xa91726…
05-21 06:26:25	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	35,058	100¢	$34,988	0x75a34d…
05-18 22:47:08	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	118	98¢	$116	0x6ad27a…
05-18 22:29:27	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x1a8f22…
05-18 22:27:32	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0xf490fd…
05-18 22:25:38	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	145	98¢	$142	0x832017…
05-18 22:25:34	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	2,006	98¢	$1,968	0x0d8377…
05-18 22:24:07	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	234	98¢	$230	0xdcf272…
05-18 22:23:30	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xa1ce49…
05-18 22:23:06	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	499	98¢	$489	0xb93ca6…
05-18 22:19:37	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	521	98¢	$511	0x8f9ec1…
05-18 22:18:22	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0xdc3ada…
05-18 22:17:17	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	221	98¢	$216	0x01f068…
05-18 22:15:45	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb10ed7…
05-18 22:13:32	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	2,000	98¢	$1,966	0x6d96e1…
05-18 22:13:25	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	59	98¢	$58	0xd1acf1…
05-18 22:11:52	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	501	98¢	$493	0x2a13d8…
05-18 22:11:22	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	3,529	98¢	$3,469	0xc9d21f…
05-18 22:04:08	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0xc8fd80…
05-18 22:02:09	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	167	98¢	$164	0x406770…
05-18 22:02:07	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	111	98¢	$109	0x00ade6…
05-18 22:01:13	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1,667	98¢	$1,637	0xdd54d7…
05-18 21:59:42	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	58	98¢	$57	0xf3a76c…
05-18 21:52:49	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0x3096ac…
05-18 21:47:31	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	167	98¢	$164	0x149ecb…
05-18 21:45:37	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	277	98¢	$272	0xe7966b…
05-18 21:43:20	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0x890898…
05-18 11:01:32	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	9,305	98¢	$9,138	0x9f33a4…
05-18 11:00:16	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	422	98¢	$415	0xc333e4…
05-18 10:56:52	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	222	98¢	$218	0xb230af…
05-18 10:55:19	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x4d4118…
05-17 21:30:21	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	10,000	97¢	$9,740	0x8613b8…
05-17 20:44:44	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	474	97¢	$461	0xf45e77…
05-17 13:16:05	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	10,000	97¢	$9,710	0xf05421…
05-16 22:58:07	Will Romania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	88¢	$12	0xf8bc53…
05-16 22:58:07	Will Romania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	88¢	$11	0x2452ab…