Cavernous-Gong — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$268

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

68.4%

Resolved

18,560

Trades

29,211

lifetime

Volume

$88.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 10-27 14:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 248 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 63% +$382

Other

2% 46% -$109

Politics

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 451 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	—	+5	$2	99¢	$5	+$2	10-27 15:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	—	+5	$2	24¢	$1	-$1	10-27 15:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Fed rate hike in 2026?	35	$122	112	112	+0	Yes	-$1	08-08 14:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 16:45 UTC	17	$93	125	125	+0	Up	-$3	03-07 16:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 22:00 UTC	25	$68	101	101	+0	Up	-$6	02-09 22:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 09:30 UTC	7	$53	64	0	+64	Up	+$11	07-16 09:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 08:15 UTC	6	$47	53	0	+53	Down	-$47	07-16 08:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 12:10 UTC	6	$45	60	0	+60	Up	+$3	07-10 12:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 13:35 UTC	6	$45	65	0	+65	Up	+$4	07-10 13:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 11:45 UTC	6	$45	64	0	+64	Up	+$5	07-10 11:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 12:30 UTC	5	$44	48	0	+48	Up	+$4	07-15 12:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 13:10 UTC	5	$44	49	0	+49	Up	+$5	07-16 13:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 02:20 UTC	5	$44	48	0	+48	Up	+$4	07-12 02:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	5	$44	48	0	+48	Up	+$4	07-16 05:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 08:45 UTC	5	$44	50	0	+50	Up	+$6	07-16 08:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 23:15 UTC	5	$44	48	0	+48	Up	+$4	07-10 23:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 08:00 UTC	5	$44	48	0	+48	Up	+$4	07-15 08:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 08:25 UTC	5	$44	48	0	+48	Up	+$4	07-13 08:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 16:45 UTC	5	$44	49	0	+49	Up	+$5	07-15 16:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 22:25 UTC	5	$44	48	0	+48	Up	+$4	07-15 22:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 18:30 UTC	5	$44	48	0	+48	Up	+$4	07-15 18:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 19:30 UTC	5	$44	48	0	+48	Up	+$4	07-13 19:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 13:30 UTC	5	$44	47	0	+47	Up	+$3	07-13 13:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 04:25 UTC	5	$44	50	0	+50	Up	+$6	07-16 04:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 17:25 UTC	5	$44	48	0	+48	Up	+$4	07-11 17:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 13:20 UTC	5	$44	49	0	+49	Up	+$5	07-14 13:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 05:30 UTC	5	$44	49	0	+49	Up	+$5	07-10 05:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 02:40 UTC	5	$44	52	0	+52	Up	+$8	07-14 02:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 00:40 UTC	5	$44	49	0	+49	Up	+$5	07-11 00:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 05:10 UTC	5	$44	51	0	+51	Down	-$44	07-13 05:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 15:35 UTC	5	$44	49	0	+49	Up	+$5	07-15 15:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 05:20 UTC	5	$44	51	0	+51	Up	+$8	07-16 05:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 15:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x063bc3…
10-27 15:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x87f5c9…
10-27 15:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x59a0ce…
10-27 15:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe88c4a…
10-27 15:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xa89752…
10-27 15:38:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8c3255…
10-27 15:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x697f53…
10-27 15:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0x090656…
10-27 15:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x7829be…
10-27 15:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x28a0b8…
10-27 15:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x81bc20…
10-27 15:21:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xadc7c4…
10-27 15:06:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x89af50…
10-27 15:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xd0b133…
10-27 15:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x65c819…
10-27 15:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x6e7a8b…
10-27 14:56:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x0cb92e…
10-27 14:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x3fd034…
10-27 14:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xfda4c4…
10-27 13:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xf0c71f…
10-27 13:14:12	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	31	52¢	$16	0x5519e8…
10-27 10:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xfe7a3b…
10-27 10:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x53b803…
10-27 09:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x5190c1…
10-27 09:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x14284b…
10-27 09:10:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-27 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x35d797…
10-27 09:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xc195ac…
10-27 09:05:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-27 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2326cc…
10-27 09:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x041b78…
10-27 09:04:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-27 09:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb92a2d…
10-27 09:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x0eca31…
10-27 09:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x3b1dda…
10-27 09:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xf3752a…
10-27 09:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x78d7df…
10-27 09:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb93b92…
10-27 09:03:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x7badfb…
10-27 09:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x88805a…
10-27 09:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf57d82…
10-27 09:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc35615…
10-27 09:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x749319…
10-27 08:56:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x29d764…
10-27 08:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x28fecf…
10-27 08:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xaf85c9…
10-27 08:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa23c12…
10-27 08:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd73d26…
10-27 05:49:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x5ae5de…
10-26 22:02:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa5f2c0…
10-26 22:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x67d8fa…
10-26 22:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x30be0f…
10-26 21:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xfb97aa…
10-26 21:57:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa895b9…
10-26 21:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x4151d6…
10-26 21:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xac0a2d…
10-26 21:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe97b44…
10-26 21:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xecd98b…
10-26 21:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0xa35c0b…
10-26 21:48:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa8e2c8…
10-26 21:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xf0d00e…
10-26 21:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xf6223f…
10-26 21:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc6a105…
10-26 21:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x50cc24…
10-26 21:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0xd8ad7b…
10-26 21:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0xacb9b5…
10-26 21:36:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x6d3641…
10-26 21:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x6b3aa9…
10-26 21:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x149148…
10-26 21:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf36019…
10-26 21:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	50¢	$0	0x9c4985…
10-26 21:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0x15375e…
10-26 21:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x843e8d…
10-26 21:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x39c926…
10-26 21:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x860a84…
10-26 21:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x1b0c30…
10-26 21:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2599e4…
10-26 21:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x312426…
10-26 21:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x9505c5…
10-26 20:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa14c90…
10-26 20:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x73b87f…
10-26 15:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x6d3418…
10-26 15:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xc79f0a…
10-26 14:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x8d3237…
10-26 14:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x1d4dfb…
10-26 14:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xbab985…
10-26 13:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xf409d2…
10-26 13:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x1502aa…
10-26 13:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xb6c0f2…
10-26 02:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xa2fe86…
10-25 23:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xd487a6…
10-25 15:39:18	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x5dcc56…
10-25 15:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xa81ce4…
10-25 15:09:50	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x3fc7ff…
10-25 15:09:05	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x5ba3fa…
10-25 15:05:05	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$3	0xd88563…
10-25 15:05:05	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x323cee…
10-25 15:05:05	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x13e8d6…
10-25 14:59:44	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xb29df9…
10-25 14:59:44	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x346f46…
10-25 14:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x20a6f6…
10-25 14:59:27	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0xece158…
10-25 14:59:27	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x5588e4…