Astonishing-Run-Special — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

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Unrealized P&L

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Hit rate

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Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

489 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$632 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

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0 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 05-17 22:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 49% -$25

Other

13% 40% -$4

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-17).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	6	$22	22	17	+5	Down	-$8	05-17 19:59
highest temperature in nyc on april 19 2026 52 53f	4	$22	20	19	+1	Yes	+$4	04-19 17:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	7	$21	19	19	+0	Down	-$1	05-17 19:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 17:35 UTC	12	$15	16	15	+1	Up	+$1	04-19 17:40
highest temperature in nyc on april 20 2026 50 51f	9	$12	16	16	+1	Yes	+$1	04-20 17:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	5	$11	10	7	+3	Down	+$0	05-17 19:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	6	$11	14	13	+1	Up	+$0	05-17 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	2	$10	7	7	+0	Down	+$0	05-17 19:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	10	$10	12	12	+0	Down	+$2	05-17 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	6	$9	11	11	+0	Down	-$1	05-17 19:20
highest temperature in nyc on april 16 2026 86 87f	6	$9	8	8	+0	Yes	+$2	04-16 23:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 19:40 UTC	5	$9	8	6	+2	Up	-$1	04-18 19:45
highest temperature in nyc on april 19 2026 54 55f	3	$9	14	13	+0	No	-$1	04-19 13:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	8	$9	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	05-17 21:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 20:45 UTC	8	$9	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	04-18 20:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 20:15 UTC	7	$9	7	4	+3	Down	-$2	04-18 20:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 21:15 UTC	9	$8	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	04-16 21:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 17:10 UTC	4	$8	7	6	+1	Down	+$3	04-16 17:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 23:55 UTC	6	$8	8	8	+0	Up	+$0	04-16 23:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 00:10 UTC	7	$8	9	9	+0	Down	-$1	04-17 00:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	4	$8	6	6	+0	Up	+$2	05-17 17:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 17:55 UTC	8	$8	8	7	+0	Down	$0	04-19 17:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 20:20 UTC	7	$8	12	7	+5	Up	$0	04-18 20:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 23:10 UTC	7	$8	34	32	+2	Down	$0	04-15 23:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 23:20 UTC	7	$7	44	6	+37	Down	$0	04-15 23:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	7	$7	8	6	+2	Up	-$1	05-17 17:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 23:30 UTC	6	$7	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	04-15 23:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	6	$7	8	5	+2	Up	-$1	05-17 19:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 23:40 UTC	6	$7	9	9	+0	Up	+$1	04-15 23:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 18:00 UTC	5	$7	6	4	+2	Down	$0	04-19 18:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 22:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x7119e7…
05-17 22:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x2b886a…
05-17 22:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x3a7ec9…
05-17 21:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xa50198…
05-17 21:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xe6bc99…
05-17 21:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x5931d2…
05-17 21:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x5dff4c…
05-17 21:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xed66cd…
05-17 21:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x37ff48…
05-17 21:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x1631ff…
05-17 21:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x7699ec…
05-17 21:47:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0xb498d2…
05-17 21:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x8dd2e7…
05-17 21:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xb80acf…
05-17 21:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0xfd1110…
05-17 21:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xf31565…
05-17 21:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0xbd4b8e…
05-17 21:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd22d6e…
05-17 21:37:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xcc6d9a…
05-17 21:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x28aff9…
05-17 21:37:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x101c00…
05-17 21:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x920841…
05-17 21:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x221335…
05-17 21:36:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x577b80…
05-17 21:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x299c54…
05-17 21:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2543b6…
05-17 20:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0x087414…
05-17 20:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x8d310f…
05-17 20:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x4e0724…
05-17 20:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x808aa3…
05-17 20:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x92d6b1…
05-17 19:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd4c994…
05-17 19:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x22cd18…
05-17 19:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0x109674…
05-17 19:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0xaab40f…
05-17 19:59:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x566634…
05-17 19:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xf49d0a…
05-17 19:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2b5c33…
05-17 19:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x03d438…
05-17 19:44:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2d916b…
05-17 19:43:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x917098…
05-17 19:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x74fbfa…
05-17 19:39:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x2bd7b8…
05-17 19:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	7	81¢	$5	0x887be7…
05-17 19:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x9644eb…
05-17 19:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc53c12…
05-17 19:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x6a5216…
05-17 19:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0xda4be6…
05-17 19:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x82200e…
05-17 19:27:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0xedf3eb…
05-17 19:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x54c148…
05-17 19:27:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x073e72…
05-17 19:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x1afa9e…
05-17 19:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	72¢	$3	0x6b7cc8…
05-17 19:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x4ceaf0…
05-17 19:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0xdd213f…
05-17 19:20:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x534bda…
05-17 19:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x5d4e6a…
05-17 19:19:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0x019d71…
05-17 19:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x41ce0d…
05-17 19:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x2943b3…
05-17 19:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0xde5568…
05-17 19:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x0218c6…
05-17 19:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x48fa49…
05-17 19:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	0	61¢	$0	0x4b0823…
05-17 19:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	58¢	$2	0xa88087…
05-17 19:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x1761bd…
05-17 19:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	61¢	$1	0xc288e2…
05-17 19:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x6d1428…
05-17 19:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x84c0d6…
05-17 19:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x64f1e3…
05-17 19:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	4	36¢	$2	0x12df6f…
05-17 19:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x9a783a…
05-17 19:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0xa926bc…
05-17 19:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xdeedfc…
05-17 17:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	0	46¢	$0	0xec6ae8…
05-17 17:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x860bdb…
05-17 17:45:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc4ec8f…
05-17 17:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0xfc5698…
05-17 17:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xa36453…
05-17 17:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	70¢	$2	0x9d36c4…
05-17 17:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xfb9765…
05-17 17:34:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x120b88…
05-17 17:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	11	24¢	$3	0xcac37d…
05-17 17:33:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xb4c71a…
05-17 17:32:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x470c5d…
05-17 17:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xc1554a…
05-17 17:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xc5d17c…
05-17 17:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x0235ee…
05-17 17:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x1ee2f1…
05-17 17:28:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x55f920…
05-17 17:27:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xab0840…
05-17 17:27:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x5d820d…
05-17 17:26:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0xf5fa74…
05-17 17:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xe4573b…
05-17 17:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x9fdcb5…
05-17 17:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0xd16513…
05-17 17:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x0b0620…
05-17 16:49:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x14205b…
05-17 16:41:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0xbc5f18…