Magnificent-Leash — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$163

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.4%

Resolved (30d)

294

Trades (30d)

685

1,105 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$10.4K

$17.2K lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 11-06 01:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 85 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 53% +$163

Tech

1% 0% $0

Other

0% 67% -$6

Sports

0% 100% +$30

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 132 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on april 3	2	$204	103	103	+0	Yes	$0	04-01 11:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	8	$97	79	79	+0	Down	+$17	10-16 00:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	3	$91	117	59	+58	Down	-$29	10-22 07:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	2	$87	60	60	+0	Up	+$27	10-18 09:23
Solana Up or Down - October 21, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	2	$87	58	58	+0	Up	+$27	10-22 02:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-15 03:15 UTC	3	$86	58	57	+1	Down	+$27	03-15 03:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-15 04:00 UTC	12	$86	58	57	+1	Up	+$27	03-15 04:07
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-15 04:00 UTC	2	$86	58	57	+1	Up	+$27	03-15 04:06
Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	4	$86	58	58	+0	Up	+$26	10-23 05:07
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-15 07:30 UTC	2	$86	56	56	+1	Down	+$25	03-15 07:40
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-15 02:15 UTC	3	$86	56	56	+1	Down	+$25	03-15 02:28
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	4	$86	59	59	+0	Up	+$26	10-21 10:56
XRP Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	8	$86	59	59	+0	Up	+$26	10-22 02:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	2	$86	60	60	+0	Down	+$26	10-21 22:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-15 07:30 UTC	3	$86	157	56	+101	Down	+$24	03-15 07:42
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-15 02:30 UTC	8	$86	57	56	+1	Up	+$26	03-15 02:42
XRP Up or Down - October 20, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	4	$85	58	58	+0	Down	+$25	10-20 23:07
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-15 02:30 UTC	7	$85	56	56	+1	Up	+$25	03-15 02:43
XRP Up or Down - October 19, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	4	$85	58	58	+0	Down	+$25	10-19 07:52
Solana Up or Down - October 22, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	2	$85	59	59	+0	Down	+$25	10-23 03:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-15 08:00 UTC	2	$85	57	56	+1	Up	+$25	03-15 08:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	8	$84	57	57	+0	Up	+$24	10-22 02:59
XRP Up or Down - October 22, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	2	$84	59	59	+0	Down	+$24	10-22 04:37
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-15 08:00 UTC	2	$84	56	55	+1	Up	+$25	03-15 08:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	2	$84	59	59	+0	Down	+$24	10-18 01:51
Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	2	$84	57	57	+0	Down	+$24	10-23 03:21
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-15 04:00 UTC	2	$84	55	54	+1	Up	+$25	03-15 04:11
XRP Up or Down - October 21, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	2	$83	57	57	+0	Down	+$23	10-21 05:56
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	5	$83	56	56	+0	Up	+$23	10-22 02:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	2	$82	58	58	+0	Down	+$23	10-23 03:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 01:27:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x2c0a5a…
11-06 01:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x0e7013…
11-06 01:13:04	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	70¢	$6	0xbd7178…
10-27 07:21:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0x0d4027…
10-27 06:59:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xc92f4d…
10-23 05:31:12	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xb58919…
10-23 05:07:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$4	0x2e8c3a…
10-23 05:07:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	34	96¢	$32	0xcc19d1…
10-23 05:07:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x007b59…
10-23 05:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	59	89¢	$52	0x242468…
10-23 04:45:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0xb26436…
10-23 04:44:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	58	51¢	$30	0xac7f7f…
10-23 04:32:56	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xb7eb60…
10-23 04:32:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x337c61…
10-23 04:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xfe6230…
10-23 03:21:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	57	95¢	$54	0xa2e704…
10-23 03:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	58	91¢	$52	0xb96511…
10-23 03:19:36	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	59	93¢	$55	0x150b0f…
10-23 03:10:50	XRP Up or Down - October 22, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0xff0901…
10-23 03:10:24	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x725647…
10-23 03:10:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0xa6e699…
10-23 03:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0x4a2d90…
10-22 23:14:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x3bb689…
10-22 23:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x289b9b…
10-22 23:12:03	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0xff4e44…
10-22 23:12:03	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xbe656a…
10-22 23:12:03	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x7ed8e2…
10-22 23:09:45	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x29a5dc…
10-22 22:59:36	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0xa8a345…
10-22 22:47:03	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x77690d…
10-22 22:46:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x65ff17…
10-22 22:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xbaa63c…
10-22 21:32:17	XRP Up or Down - October 22, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x3f9ca5…
10-22 21:31:39	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xda8736…
10-22 07:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	59	53¢	$31	0xda37ab…
10-22 07:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0x7695b9…
10-22 07:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x610ba4…
10-22 06:46:18	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x2bc5d8…
10-22 06:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x4ae494…
10-22 04:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xe42f3c…
10-22 04:53:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	9	95¢	$9	0x31162b…
10-22 04:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x10378c…
10-22 04:37:35	XRP Up or Down - October 22, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	59	92¢	$54	0xd0ba49…
10-22 04:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xadb9cb…
10-22 04:16:33	XRP Up or Down - October 22, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x235187…
10-22 04:00:53	XRP Up or Down - October 22, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x64da55…
10-22 02:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0xc3c3ba…
10-22 02:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xb87cd4…
10-22 02:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xb1c089…
10-22 02:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xb14082…
10-22 02:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x8f729a…
10-22 02:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	24	96¢	$23	0x6c42ab…
10-22 02:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0x31b98b…
10-22 02:58:50	XRP Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	13	95¢	$13	0xdbcab7…
10-22 02:58:50	XRP Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	18	95¢	$17	0x3a9687…
10-22 02:58:48	XRP Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xbc5527…
10-22 02:58:48	XRP Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x7020c3…
10-22 02:58:48	XRP Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x29b6df…
10-22 02:58:47	XRP Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	12	95¢	$12	0xc058c6…
10-22 02:58:47	XRP Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	12	95¢	$12	0x450fd5…
10-22 02:58:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x5e8014…
10-22 02:58:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x55b50c…
10-22 02:58:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x4f55d7…
10-22 02:58:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x12e24d…
10-22 02:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0xc0581a…
10-22 02:43:45	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	58	98¢	$57	0x3eab89…
10-22 02:42:56	XRP Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x7a91ab…
10-22 02:42:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0xee5340…
10-22 02:41:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0x56079a…
10-22 02:14:48	XRP Up or Down - October 21, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x3a6dfa…
10-22 02:14:36	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0xdcdfc4…
10-22 02:14:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x3cf9ae…
10-22 02:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xbf11b4…
10-22 02:04:11	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x1f45c1…
10-21 22:59:44	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	56	52¢	$29	0x2771e6…
10-21 22:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0xe17590…
10-21 22:58:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0x88f161…
10-21 22:44:59	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x3b4879…
10-21 22:44:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x5bacf7…
10-21 22:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x0eddf2…
10-21 22:22:35	XRP Up or Down - October 21, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0xda325b…
10-21 22:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	60	93¢	$56	0x62e802…
10-21 22:18:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x739c32…
10-21 22:18:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	13	95¢	$13	0x62313d…
10-21 22:12:14	XRP Up or Down - October 21, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x990cd2…
10-21 22:10:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x1507a8…
10-21 22:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x345d54…
10-21 10:56:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	15	95¢	$14	0x9f9e68…
10-21 10:56:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x395a4f…
10-21 10:56:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	40	95¢	$38	0x211248…
10-21 10:31:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0xc80057…
10-21 10:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0xc158e1…
10-21 09:43:35	XRP Up or Down - October 21, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	58	88¢	$51	0x4923d8…
10-21 09:12:32	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-21 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0x2e544a…
10-21 08:11:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x98cb6f…
10-21 08:11:38	XRP Up or Down - October 21, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	19	96¢	$18	0xdf6294…
10-21 08:11:38	XRP Up or Down - October 21, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xbccd6a…
10-21 08:11:15	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	19	96¢	$18	0xbd3d69…
10-21 08:11:03	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xf7e782…
10-21 08:00:05	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0xd953b6…