Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$20

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

68.1%

Resolved

Trades

423

lifetime

Volume

$1.20K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 10-27 00:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Other

63% 71% -$12

Politics

37% 60% -$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	+6	$6	92¢	$6	$0	10-25 14:50
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+3	$3	96¢	$3	$0	10-24 03:02
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	+0	$0	100¢	$0	+$0	10-13 10:46
Iran leadership change by October 31?	No	+0	$0	99¢	$0	+$0	10-25 06:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	42	$126	64	64	+0	open	—	10-13 10:46
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	37	$109	56	56	+0	No	+$1	08-14 12:30
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	28	$74	45	45	+0	No	-$10	06-14 19:54
kharg island no longer under iranian control by september 30 20260730004207224	22	$66	34	34	+0	No	+$0	09-17 03:10
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	20	$60	31	30	+0	No	+$0	07-26 07:02
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	19	$50	28	28	+0	No	-$4	06-29 03:58
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	16	$48	25	25	+0	Yes	+$0	08-16 23:24
pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by july 31 20260616200232527	12	$43	22	22	+0	No	+$1	07-20 16:22
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by September 30, 2026?	12	$37	19	19	+0	No	+$1	09-21 10:04
will graham platner drop out by july 17 974 785 861	12	$37	22	16	+7	Yes	+$1	07-09 00:13
will trump meet with keir starmer in june 2026	12	$36	19	19	+0	Yes	$0	06-16 08:39
kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	10	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	06-13 17:10
Iran leadership change by October 31?	10	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	10-25 06:25
Israel military action against Yemen by September 30?	8	$25	14	14	+0	No	+$1	09-29 16:54
Will Iran target Jordan by August 31, 2026?	10	$25	16	16	+0	Yes	-$5	08-24 13:24
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	6	$19	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	09-21 07:06
will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in august 2026 20260731154202617	6	$17	9	9	+0	No	-$1	08-19 12:54
highest temperature in cape town on april 21 2026 14c	22	$17	103	85	+18	No	-$2	04-21 05:45
abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by june 30 2026	6	$16	9	9	+0	No	-$2	06-13 22:15
will trump speak to keir starmer in july 20260626154217432	6	$16	10	10	+0	Yes	-$2	06-30 10:44
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?	4	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	10-27 00:53
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 25?	4	$12	6	6	+0	Yes	+$0	09-25 23:28
iran military action against a gulf state on july 10 20260708212322935	4	$12	6	6	+0	No	+$0	07-12 12:01
Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 31?	4	$12	6	6	+0	No	+$0	05-21 17:44
will the us announce a blockade on iran by june 30 20260622191116911	4	$12	6	6	+0	No	+$0	06-29 16:00
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?	4	$12	6	6	+0	No	+$0	06-13 15:14
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	4	$12	6	6	+0	No	+$0	06-11 00:18
Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 22?	4	$12	6	6	+0	No	+$0	05-19 15:24
will trump meet with kim jong un in june 2026	4	$12	6	6	+0	No	+$0	06-04 22:49
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?	4	$12	6	6	+0	No	$0	06-03 11:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 00:53:29	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xc0c493…
10-27 00:53:29	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x926dd9…
10-25 14:50:20	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xd5bf0a…
10-25 06:25:09	Iran leadership change by October 31?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xc35bf1…
10-25 06:25:08	Iran leadership change by October 31?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xb013b7…
10-25 06:25:08	Iran leadership change by October 31?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x86a79f…
10-25 06:25:08	Iran leadership change by October 31?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x316770…
10-25 06:25:08	Iran leadership change by October 31?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x2143b0…
10-24 03:04:12	Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x72e7b1…
10-24 03:02:50	Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x73b2f9…
10-24 03:01:59	Will the Republicans win the Oregon Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x467bc7…
10-24 03:01:36	Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x317040…
10-24 03:00:48	Will the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x17dc11…
10-24 03:00:15	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x457291…
10-22 02:30:27	Will the Republican Party win the NY-14 House seat?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xd3455d…
10-22 02:29:48	Will the Republican Party win the NY-14 House seat?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x475133…
10-22 02:29:39	Will the Democratic Party win the NY-14 House seat?	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x3a32a8…
10-13 10:46:05	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xfcc203…
10-13 10:46:05	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xf455fa…
10-13 10:46:05	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xe186b2…
10-13 10:46:05	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xd4d4f4…
10-13 10:46:05	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xc8a86a…
10-13 10:46:05	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xbe05a4…
10-13 10:46:05	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xbc1b79…
10-13 10:46:05	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x9fcd22…
10-13 10:46:05	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x951fa4…
10-13 10:46:05	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x7b758b…
10-13 10:46:05	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x7414e7…
10-13 10:46:05	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x63a19b…
10-13 10:46:05	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x617f3b…
10-13 10:46:05	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x5a6e80…
10-13 10:46:05	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x394a4c…
10-13 10:46:05	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x38a57c…
10-13 10:46:05	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x375bda…
10-13 10:46:05	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x23bd7b…
10-13 10:46:05	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x16340c…
10-13 10:46:05	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x0c6df9…
10-13 10:46:04	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x6dfa21…
10-12 13:09:59	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x14d5fc…
10-10 03:53:00	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x55b60a…
10-10 03:50:25	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x0633b3…
10-10 03:50:24	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x34ad0b…
10-10 03:50:22	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x692ace…
10-10 03:50:22	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x2cdf83…
10-10 03:50:21	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x3a4d7a…
10-10 03:50:21	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x13c6a4…
10-10 03:50:19	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x240f53…
10-10 03:50:19	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x068eb3…
10-10 03:50:18	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x36b464…
10-10 03:50:18	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x29b3d8…
10-10 03:50:16	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xf1c506…
10-10 03:50:16	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x7b5444…
10-10 03:50:15	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xca129d…
10-10 03:50:15	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xb61595…
10-10 03:50:13	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x51d075…
10-10 03:50:12	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xb0c3a9…
10-10 03:50:10	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xd399d4…
10-10 03:50:09	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x4f5aee…
10-10 03:47:33	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x00ccfa…
10-10 03:47:31	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xe23021…
10-10 03:46:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	Yes	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xa8565b…
10-10 03:46:42	Iran leadership change by October 31?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x60c889…
10-02 09:14:53	Iran leadership change by October 31?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xdef2cc…
10-01 01:10:42	Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in September?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xdb3ff8…
09-30 10:02:20	Iran leadership change by October 31?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x539e4e…
09-30 09:32:06	Iran leadership change by October 31?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x74fe63…
09-29 16:54:26	Israel military action against Yemen by September 30?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xe85607…
09-29 16:54:26	Israel military action against Yemen by September 30?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xb2b5f5…
09-29 16:54:26	Israel military action against Yemen by September 30?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x3e3d10…
09-29 16:54:26	Israel military action against Yemen by September 30?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x0f36df…
09-25 23:28:05	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 25?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x77afa8…
09-25 23:28:03	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 25?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xd9eee6…
09-23 02:37:19	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 22?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x52ae22…
09-21 17:19:34	us x yemen ceasefire continues through september 22 20260920	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x289c4d…
09-21 17:18:58	us x yemen ceasefire continues through september 25 20260920	Yes	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x76263e…
09-21 17:17:45	us x yemen ceasefire continues through september 25 20260920	Yes	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x5a6434…
09-21 17:13:39	Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in September?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x5de508…
09-21 12:37:50	Iran leadership change by September 30?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x20aeb9…
09-21 10:04:14	Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xee0e8b…
09-21 10:04:14	Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xd6382f…
09-21 10:04:14	Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xaed7a4…
09-21 10:04:14	Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x98318d…
09-21 10:04:14	Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x94e344…
09-21 10:04:14	Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x17e9fa…
09-21 07:06:20	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xa90a67…
09-21 07:06:20	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x5b45e5…
09-21 07:06:20	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x4584e8…
09-21 07:02:08	Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x8f254a…
09-21 05:22:30	Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x712ca0…
09-21 05:22:18	Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x7866aa…
09-20 22:31:02	Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?	Yes	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xabf0ba…
09-20 13:43:36	Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x5fd6f3…
09-20 08:40:51	Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x6e3768…
09-20 08:40:40	Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xcb8423…
09-20 08:40:33	Israel military action against Yemen by September 30?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x69c6db…
09-20 08:40:07	Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xdcda00…
09-20 08:39:39	Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x8844fc…
09-20 04:30:58	Israel military action against Yemen by September 30?	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x8cd74d…
09-20 04:30:01	Israel military action against Yemen by September 30?	No	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x09edda…
09-20 04:30:00	Israel military action against Yemen by September 30?	No	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xd0db02…