Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$3

Unrealized P&L

-$17

Hit rate

84.0%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

160

584 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$444

$1.64K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

5 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 11-06 09:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Other

57% 75% -$11

Politics

43% 67% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 141 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by December 31, 2026?	No	+4	$3	88¢	$3	+$0	11-06 09:10
Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by November 30, 2026?	No	+3	$3	96¢	$3	+$0	11-06 09:10
Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by November 30, 2026?	No	+3	$3	96¢	$3	+$0	11-04 03:44
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	No	+0	$10	76¢	$0	-$10	11-04 16:40
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	+0	$7	36¢	$0	-$7	11-04 05:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	42	$126	64	64	+0	No	+$0	10-13 10:46
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	37	$109	56	56	+0	No	+$1	08-14 12:30
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	30	$91	46	46	+0	Yes	+$1	11-04 03:28
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	30	$83	105	105	+0	open	—	11-04 05:24
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	30	$80	65	64	+0	open	—	11-04 16:40
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	28	$74	45	45	+0	No	-$10	06-14 19:54
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	22	$66	34	34	+0	No	+$0	09-17 03:10
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	20	$60	31	30	+0	No	+$0	07-26 07:02
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	19	$50	28	28	+0	No	-$4	06-29 03:58
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	16	$48	25	25	+0	Yes	+$0	08-16 23:24
pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by july 31 20260616200232527	12	$43	22	22	+0	No	+$1	07-20 16:22
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by September 30, 2026?	12	$37	19	19	+0	No	+$1	09-21 10:04
will graham platner drop out by july 17 974 785 861	12	$37	22	16	+7	Yes	+$1	07-09 00:13
Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?	12	$36	18	18	+0	No	$0	11-04 05:20
will trump meet with keir starmer in june 2026	12	$36	19	19	+0	Yes	$0	06-16 08:39
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?	10	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	06-13 17:10
Iran leadership change by October 31?	10	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	10-25 06:25
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	16	$30	17	17	+0	No	$0	11-03 05:05
Israel military action against Yemen by September 30?	8	$25	14	14	+0	No	+$1	09-29 16:54
Will Iran target Jordan by August 31, 2026?	10	$25	16	16	+0	Yes	-$5	08-24 13:24
Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?	8	$24	12	12	+0	Yes	+$0	11-04 04:46
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	6	$19	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	09-21 07:06
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	6	$18	9	9	+0	No	+$0	11-04 03:14
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	6	$18	9	9	+0	Yes	+$0	11-04 01:33
will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in august 2026 20260731154202617	6	$17	9	9	+0	No	-$1	08-19 12:54
highest temperature in cape town on april 21 2026 14c	22	$17	103	85	+18	No	-$2	04-21 05:45
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by June 30, 2026?	6	$16	9	9	+0	No	-$2	06-13 22:15
will trump speak to keir starmer in july 20260626154217432	6	$16	10	10	+0	Yes	-$2	06-30 10:44
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	4	$12	6	6	+0	No	+$0	11-04 00:55
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?	4	$12	6	6	+0	No	+$0	10-27 00:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 09:10:18	Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xf6519d…
11-06 09:10:07	Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x825933…
11-04 16:40:00	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	No	SELL	5	32¢	$1	0x0a6d49…
11-04 12:35:22	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xa42df3…
11-04 05:31:39	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0xdc086d…
11-04 05:31:39	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	3	78¢	$2	0x594c8e…
11-04 05:31:37	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0x2c2797…
11-04 05:31:37	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0x20cbfb…
11-04 05:24:55	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	SELL	7	36¢	$3	0xee5dea…
11-04 05:24:55	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	SELL	7	36¢	$3	0xdf1948…
11-04 05:24:55	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	SELL	7	36¢	$3	0xd44286…
11-04 05:24:55	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	SELL	7	36¢	$3	0xd25f91…
11-04 05:24:55	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	SELL	7	36¢	$3	0xca0cbb…
11-04 05:24:55	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	SELL	7	36¢	$3	0xc57cbd…
11-04 05:24:55	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	SELL	7	36¢	$3	0x9fd0ae…
11-04 05:24:55	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	SELL	7	36¢	$3	0x87bdaf…
11-04 05:24:55	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	SELL	7	36¢	$3	0x7ae08c…
11-04 05:24:55	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	SELL	7	36¢	$3	0x620b70…
11-04 05:24:55	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	SELL	7	36¢	$3	0x603a46…
11-04 05:24:55	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	SELL	7	36¢	$3	0x372a5c…
11-04 05:24:55	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	SELL	7	36¢	$3	0x254701…
11-04 05:24:55	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	SELL	7	36¢	$3	0x139ebb…
11-04 05:24:55	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	SELL	7	36¢	$3	0x0349ed…
11-04 05:20:37	Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xd01010…
11-04 05:13:40	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xea994a…
11-04 05:13:39	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xc1ae3c…
11-04 05:12:24	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x51c4f5…
11-04 05:12:24	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x325711…
11-04 05:12:22	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xd9b6d7…
11-04 05:12:21	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x77942f…
11-04 05:12:21	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x20f1ac…
11-04 05:12:19	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x38b48d…
11-04 05:12:18	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xa5e2cf…
11-04 05:12:16	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xa089dd…
11-04 05:12:15	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x220750…
11-04 05:12:15	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x21a17a…
11-04 05:12:13	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xd97de6…
11-04 05:12:12	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x4d5b92…
11-04 05:08:25	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x2031b8…
11-04 05:08:21	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xf1d164…
11-04 05:06:21	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x794df0…
11-04 05:06:16	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xe91c63…
11-04 05:05:42	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x2c6ec2…
11-04 05:03:25	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x0c5728…
11-04 05:01:51	Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x2407df…
11-04 04:51:34	Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xe7d8e9…
11-04 04:51:34	Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xaee364…
11-04 04:51:34	Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x7a4bf5…
11-04 04:51:34	Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x230f7a…
11-04 04:51:34	Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x13beac…
11-04 04:46:46	Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x53692f…
11-04 04:45:18	Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x9cc789…
11-04 04:45:09	Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x6abca0…
11-04 04:44:12	Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x59d13a…
11-04 04:40:52	Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd6093a…
11-04 04:40:52	Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x88d20d…
11-04 04:40:25	Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x070d55…
11-04 04:37:19	Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xb943a2…
11-04 04:37:19	Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x797537…
11-04 04:37:19	Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x653d1c…
11-04 04:34:57	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	No	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0x8aa876…
11-04 04:34:57	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	No	SELL	5	55¢	$2	0x488871…
11-04 04:34:57	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	No	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0x201bf5…
11-04 04:17:57	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x421d4c…
11-04 04:13:22	Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x000681…
11-04 04:13:10	Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x3bbeb8…
11-04 03:50:42	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	No	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x691caa…
11-04 03:50:12	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x28bc70…
11-04 03:48:40	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	No	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xac1ef0…
11-04 03:44:30	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	No	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0xb09985…
11-04 03:44:30	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	No	SELL	4	56¢	$2	0x28f7dc…
11-04 03:44:30	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	No	SELL	4	56¢	$2	0x275247…
11-04 03:44:30	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	No	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0x14d4b8…
11-04 03:44:28	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	No	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0xd3fd96…
11-04 03:44:28	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	No	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0x7ba377…
11-04 03:44:28	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	No	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0x769d33…
11-04 03:44:28	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	No	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0x4cdab3…
11-04 03:44:28	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	No	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0x3e53f1…
11-04 03:44:28	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	No	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0x1edc62…
11-04 03:44:28	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	No	SELL	4	56¢	$2	0x1c5bf3…
11-04 03:44:24	Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x795a9f…
11-04 03:44:18	Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x97bac4…
11-04 03:41:40	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	No	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xdc0036…
11-04 03:41:12	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	No	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xe92332…
11-04 03:41:09	Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x84742f…
11-04 03:39:42	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	No	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xb5c1b9…
11-04 03:38:57	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	No	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xc52a5b…
11-04 03:34:48	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	No	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xc4e297…
11-04 03:34:13	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	No	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xdd5e0b…
11-04 03:33:55	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	No	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xef72f3…
11-04 03:32:58	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	No	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xae75e7…
11-04 03:32:28	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	No	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x5dc91c…
11-04 03:30:33	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	No	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x8c9af3…
11-04 03:28:25	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x9ae4ac…
11-04 03:28:16	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xf45513…
11-04 03:28:16	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xcd70f4…
11-04 03:28:16	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xbac78d…
11-04 03:28:16	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xb7f98c…
11-04 03:28:16	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xa6fbb7…
11-04 03:28:16	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x759d98…