Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$8

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

50.5%

Resolved (7d)

171

Trades (7d)

254

254 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$513

$513 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$13

4 positions

First seen

2026-10-25

last 10-27 19:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

85% 37% -$8

Politics

13% 50% +$4

Other

2% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 109 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+20	$6	42¢	$8	+$2	10-26 22:21
Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	+19	$1	16¢	$3	+$2	10-25 12:26
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?	Yes	+10	$1	12¢	$1	+$0	10-25 12:25
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	+6	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	10-25 11:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
XRP Up or Down - October 27, 7AM ET	3	$24	24	24	+0	Down	+$12	10-27 11:43
Will the Student List win 45-50% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	2	$22	55	55	+0	open	—	10-25 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	2	$20	13	13	+0	Up	+$0	10-25 17:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$20	19	19	+0	Down	$0	10-25 11:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	2	$19	17	17	+0	Down	+$9	10-25 19:26
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	2	$15	10	10	+0	Yes	+$5	10-25 21:28
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	2	$14	12	12	+0	open	—	10-26 17:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7AM ET	2	$12	12	12	+0	Down	+$6	10-27 11:43
XRP Up or Down - October 25, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	10-25 13:13
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	10-25 13:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	1	$10	17	0	+17	Up	-$10	10-27 16:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	4	$8	7	7	+0	Down	$0	10-27 17:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1PM ET	6	$7	8	8	+0	Down	+$1	10-27 17:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2PM ET	5	$7	28	28	+0	Up	-$5	10-27 18:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8AM ET	2	$6	27	0	+27	Up	-$6	10-27 12:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10AM ET	2	$6	27	0	+27	Up	-$6	10-27 14:28
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$6	20	0	+20	open	—	10-26 22:21
XRP Up or Down - October 26, 2PM ET	2	$6	22	0	+22	Down	+$16	10-26 18:20
Will the Student List win 50% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	1	$6	21	0	+21	open	—	10-25 10:37
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7AM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	10-27 11:53
Solana Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	3	$5	32	0	+32	Up	-$5	10-27 09:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	1	$5	20	0	+20	Down	+$15	10-25 18:19
XRP Up or Down - October 27, 9AM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	Down	+$2	10-27 13:57
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	2	$4	13	0	+13	Down	-$4	10-25 21:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	2	$4	10	0	+10	Down	+$6	10-27 16:30
XRP Up or Down - October 27, 8AM ET	2	$4	25	0	+25	Up	-$4	10-27 12:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$4	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	10-27 18:22
Solana Up or Down - October 27, 7AM ET	2	$3	11	11	+0	Down	-$3	10-27 11:59
Solana Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	10-25 21:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	3	$3	5	3	+2	Up	-$1	10-27 18:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 19:31:54	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 3PM ET	Down	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0xbd821e…
10-27 19:31:27	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xfb10a7…
10-27 18:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	28	3¢	$1	0x6df038…
10-27 18:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0xfea3e7…
10-27 18:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x0cf6a4…
10-27 18:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x06a2db…
10-27 18:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0x256f61…
10-27 18:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x0eccfd…
10-27 18:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xf4292e…
10-27 18:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x45917f…
10-27 18:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xa43a6d…
10-27 18:10:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x054e63…
10-27 18:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x2e97c2…
10-27 18:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x9f579b…
10-27 18:06:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xeb8c5c…
10-27 18:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xfe855d…
10-27 17:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x22a042…
10-27 17:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	76¢	$2	0x94d287…
10-27 17:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xdd4f33…
10-27 17:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x8d508c…
10-27 17:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0xa6386e…
10-27 17:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xa19d83…
10-27 17:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0xcc3ae5…
10-27 17:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x90c680…
10-27 17:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x621dbe…
10-27 17:24:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc0c437…
10-27 17:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0xbecc77…
10-27 17:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0xa3b4c3…
10-27 17:16:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x9c1169…
10-27 17:15:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x39c316…
10-27 17:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x804c3e…
10-27 17:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0xbe9bcc…
10-27 17:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xfa119c…
10-27 17:10:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x420d77…
10-27 17:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0xb57074…
10-27 17:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xf77048…
10-27 17:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xbac3b8…
10-27 16:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x124158…
10-27 16:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x1c57eb…
10-27 16:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x18dcec…
10-27 16:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0xd8f0b8…
10-27 16:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xa5dea3…
10-27 16:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xaaa1b9…
10-27 16:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xb43e4e…
10-27 16:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xdeba39…
10-27 16:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa529cd…
10-27 16:09:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x18ccce…
10-27 16:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xd76f81…
10-27 16:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x17abbc…
10-27 16:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xdd6ee8…
10-27 15:20:32	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x0dfa11…
10-27 15:20:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x04eb46…
10-27 15:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x49b0c2…
10-27 15:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x6b943e…
10-27 14:30:18	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xc6d159…
10-27 14:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0xa8e415…
10-27 14:28:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x475ca3…
10-27 14:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x336cce…
10-27 14:12:50	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x8c363a…
10-27 13:57:14	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	4	87¢	$3	0x0327fa…
10-27 13:42:17	XRP Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x00053a…
10-27 13:39:26	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x6c445a…
10-27 12:26:18	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x35138b…
10-27 12:21:09	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x35c58e…
10-27 12:20:56	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xfe2af9…
10-27 12:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0xa9a0ef…
10-27 12:20:02	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xcd2b92…
10-27 12:19:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x7492dd…
10-27 12:18:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xfc0cc1…
10-27 11:59:08	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 7AM ET	Down	SELL	11	3¢	$0	0x9370ac…
10-27 11:53:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7AM ET	Down	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xfb032e…
10-27 11:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7AM ET	Down	SELL	12	75¢	$9	0x237208…
10-27 11:43:50	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 7AM ET	Down	SELL	24	74¢	$18	0xa082bd…
10-27 11:09:15	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x65613c…
10-27 11:07:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x885446…
10-27 11:05:51	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0xab3ba7…
10-27 11:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0xed5b35…
10-27 11:05:26	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xd3f221…
10-27 10:06:56	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x543a21…
10-27 10:06:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x652e81…
10-27 10:06:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x263761…
10-27 10:06:26	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xc97f3e…
10-27 10:06:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xba9530…
10-27 10:05:35	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x1a0902…
10-27 09:55:53	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xa39114…
10-27 09:55:42	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xb1104c…
10-27 09:55:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x10e85d…
10-27 09:55:23	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x05bdb3…
10-27 09:53:47	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xb73724…
10-27 09:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x04c72d…
10-27 09:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x638c2d…
10-27 09:35:18	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xd4e8f9…
10-27 09:27:57	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xda3ad2…
10-27 09:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x0e58de…
10-26 23:18:12	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x1b630f…
10-26 23:17:45	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xe64ef4…
10-26 23:17:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe79a9b…
10-26 23:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xd630aa…
10-26 23:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x3c423b…
10-26 22:38:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xed888d…