Rough-Thrift — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.5%

Resolved

124

Trades

265

lifetime

Volume

$1.71K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 08-31 04:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 47 days

Categories

Other

93% 60% -$15

Politics

4% 100% +$1

Crypto

1% 100% +$1

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$1

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will MrBeast's next video get between 49 and 50 million views on day 4?	2	$28	15	15	+0	Yes	+$1	06-17 09:27
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	2	$28	15	15	+0	No	+$1	06-19 16:43
Will "Backrooms" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?	2	$27	14	14	+0	Yes	+$1	06-15 17:32
Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	2	$26	13	13	+0	No	+$0	05-12 14:01
Will "Backrooms" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m?	2	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$0	06-14 15:55
Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	2	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$1	06-02 21:00
Will Bill Cassidy finish first in the first round of the Louisiana Republican Senate primary?	2	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$0	05-17 01:07
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	2	$23	12	12	+0	Yes	+$1	05-08 06:50
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?	2	$23	12	12	+0	Yes	+$1	06-01 05:16
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	06-21 05:27
Will White House post 140-159 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	2	$23	12	12	+0	Yes	+$1	05-08 15:59
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 61 million views on day 6?	2	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	06-05 13:03
starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	2	$19	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	06-22 08:38
Will Al Green be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$1	05-27 01:05
Will Moldova advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$19	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	05-12 21:15
Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$1	05-22 18:47
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	06-29 02:46
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 29?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-29 06:30
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 9?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-09 13:02
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 7?	2	$15	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	06-07 07:04
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on May 13?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	05-13 00:30
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 12?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-11 14:42
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on May 1?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-30 23:39
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on May 7?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-06 16:48
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 28?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-27 20:40
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 12?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-12 00:24
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 17?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-16 17:43
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on May 29?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	05-29 04:19
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 27?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-26 16:31
Trump out as President by June 30?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	06-25 12:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-31 04:10:06	Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 36 and 39 inclusive?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x7726f7…
08-31 02:27:58	Will Anthropic be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x18911c…
06-29 06:30:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xabe0ab…
06-29 06:29:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 29?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x027094…
06-29 02:46:55	Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x8a1c29…
06-28 13:53:05	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 28?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xd75b9c…
06-28 12:47:08	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on June 29?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x3e9780…
06-28 12:43:17	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on June 29?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x397016…
06-28 12:28:22	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 28?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xd36ece…
06-27 20:18:07	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 28?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xbce07c…
06-26 16:31:53	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xe74e7d…
06-26 16:30:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x2fe00e…
06-26 15:43:11	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 27?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x610e46…
06-25 13:02:41	Will the highest temperature in London be 38°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xed0e57…
06-25 12:55:56	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xacfa9b…
06-25 12:24:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 38°C on June 26?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xc8c4be…
06-24 17:10:05	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on June 25?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xa2e8ee…
06-24 13:41:38	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on June 25?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xcc40ce…
06-24 03:58:58	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x2e6904…
06-24 03:31:20	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x107636…
06-24 03:30:07	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on June 24?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x425f96…
06-22 18:11:17	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 23?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x638ed8…
06-22 17:56:26	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 23?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x6d8699…
06-22 17:51:14	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 23?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xc6e3a3…
06-22 17:50:02	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on June 23?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xf6f949…
06-22 08:38:59	starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xf4ab9e…
06-21 13:10:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x551b86…
06-21 13:06:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xbf3fb5…
06-21 12:07:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 22?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe833f2…
06-21 12:02:50	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 22?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x20eae6…
06-21 12:02:44	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on June 22?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xaa6424…
06-21 12:02:38	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on June 22?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x1b9fcb…
06-21 12:02:07	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 22?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2f21a0…
06-21 12:01:22	starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	Yes	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x265c1a…
06-21 12:00:44	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on June 22?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x330c7f…
06-21 05:27:43	Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xaf0137…
06-20 11:10:56	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 20?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x89b5e6…
06-20 11:04:02	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 20?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x8702ce…
06-20 10:59:13	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 20?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x58d73a…
06-19 16:43:40	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xaa3c35…
06-19 13:00:56	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x54664e…
06-19 11:24:01	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 19?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x8657cd…
06-17 09:27:23	Will MrBeast's next video get between 49 and 50 million views on day 4?	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xc5b2fc…
06-16 23:44:49	Will MrBeast's next video get between 49 and 50 million views on day 4?	Yes	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0x451b14…
06-15 20:52:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x51a0f5…
06-15 18:26:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 16?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x3b8d82…
06-15 17:32:21	Will "Backrooms" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?	Yes	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x73bed4…
06-14 16:48:51	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x48299c…
06-14 16:32:43	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x550697…
06-14 16:11:57	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 15?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x2d30aa…
06-14 15:55:01	Will "Backrooms" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xe03552…
06-14 14:18:10	Will "Backrooms" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m?	No	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0xbad1f2…
06-14 14:17:40	Will "Backrooms" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?	Yes	BUY	14	91¢	$13	0x8448e9…
06-13 17:09:37	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0x3ddd1e…
06-12 16:32:42	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 13?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x26f819…
06-12 15:07:15	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 13?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xd13494…
06-12 14:19:42	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 13?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x210772…
06-11 21:36:10	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x85e8ac…
06-11 19:11:09	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 12?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x6cd2e5…
06-11 06:31:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 11?	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x9d5b23…
06-11 06:21:33	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6436be…
06-10 12:36:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x9e4094…
06-10 12:36:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x64a961…
06-10 12:00:49	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on June 11?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xfe1dec…
06-09 00:25:42	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 9?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x40dda5…
06-08 12:04:37	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 9?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xdfe3c7…
06-08 12:04:33	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on June 9?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xb99490…
06-08 00:36:51	Will Jermaine Johnson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xf45aab…
06-07 07:04:40	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xaecbbf…
06-07 06:58:30	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 7?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xf7524f…
06-06 12:18:33	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0xd048c9…
06-06 12:18:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 7?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xf4766c…
06-06 01:00:39	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 6?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xdd5698…
06-06 00:33:39	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 6?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x252e88…
06-06 00:11:34	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 6?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xbf5528…
06-05 15:09:55	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 6?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x97d54c…
06-05 13:03:00	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 61 million views on day 6?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xe1fbe4…
06-05 04:12:37	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 61 million views on day 6?	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x8a4c0a…
06-04 08:43:13	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x51745c…
06-04 07:49:31	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 4?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xdc8373…
06-03 00:53:27	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0xd1d9ec…
06-03 00:34:33	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x2c6556…
06-02 21:00:30	Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x8d25e8…
06-02 20:36:29	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 3?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xd4da52…
06-02 07:50:38	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C or below on June 2?	No	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x31c229…
06-02 07:15:17	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C or below on June 2?	Yes	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x381d56…
06-01 17:35:26	Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0xb27901…
06-01 07:55:24	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x8333e9…
06-01 07:13:26	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 1?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x8b191f…
06-01 05:16:09	Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?	Yes	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x98d78e…
05-31 14:11:55	Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?	Yes	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0x6796b3…
05-31 07:08:03	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 31?	No	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x0a52a6…
05-31 07:07:00	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x95df3c…
05-31 04:12:52	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xc6b43b…
05-30 14:30:29	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on May 31?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x082872…
05-30 07:26:08	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 30?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x71028e…
05-30 06:44:22	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 30?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x77a1d7…
05-29 19:18:57	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C or higher on May 30?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0xcdcd1c…
05-29 17:53:49	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C or higher on May 30?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x5d0a25…
05-29 04:19:29	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x9811bf…