Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 12?
open
Total volume
$264
$1,449 in 24h
Trades
28
Unique wallets
20
Liquidity
$2,623
Latest YES mid
8¢
Latest NO mid
92¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-11 08:00
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $187 | $187 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 18 | $16 | $58 | $42 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $5 | $193 | $188 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $3 | $19 | $17 |
| Median | 5 | $5 | $11 | $6 |
| Below median | 3 | $1 | $15 | $13 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $8 | $8 |
| unranked | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | +168 | $159 | $159 | 5 | 05-10 13:36 |
| Limping-Shape 0x8103…23a1 | Yes | +86 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 23:57 |
| Bitter-Humanity 0x9bd5…ac4d | Yes | +71 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 09:23 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +30 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 05-11 08:00 |
| Rude-Academy 0xb253…563d | Yes | +28 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-11 02:55 |
| Healthy-Worker 0x3a96…4007 | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 04:41 |
| Uneven-Advancement 0xe5a9…5d3c | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-11 05:23 |
| Gentle-Passport 0xe59d…b97b | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 04:41 |
| Cheery-Jewel 0x3334…69b0 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-11 01:40 |
| Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-10 09:02 |
| Triangular-Program 0xda67…0b91 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-10 15:57 |
| Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-11 01:19 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 02:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-10 09:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x46f7…5b54 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-10 09:24 |
| Radiant-Swimming 0xa6d4…2f1e | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 09:24 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 08:00:03 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 93¢ | $28 | 0xf11b1e… |
| 05-11 06:04:37 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x5baf23… |
| 05-11 05:23:26 | Uneven-Advancement 0xe5a9…5d3c | No | BUY | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0xe20178… |
| 05-11 03:24:24 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 9 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x30b40c… |
| 05-11 02:55:21 | Rude-Academy 0xb253…563d | Yes | BUY | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x90c6ab… |
| 05-11 02:55:21 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x6f00ba… |
| 05-11 01:40:13 | Rude-Academy 0xb253…563d | Yes | BUY | 13 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x4d05ec… |
| 05-11 01:40:11 | Cheery-Jewel 0x3334…69b0 | No | BUY | 9 | 92¢ | $9 | 0x52a00c… |
| 05-11 01:19:58 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 6 | 91¢ | $6 | 0x1a7c05… |
| 05-10 23:57:03 | Limping-Shape 0x8103…23a1 | Yes | BUY | 86 | 6¢ | $5 | 0x352580… |
| 05-10 15:57:51 | Triangular-Program 0xda67…0b91 | No | BUY | 7 | 95¢ | $7 | 0xa2bc79… |
| 05-10 13:36:56 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 56 | 96¢ | $54 | 0xd0a80f… |
| 05-10 13:35:59 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x989e58… |
| 05-10 13:35:57 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 96 | 94¢ | $90 | 0xdb4768… |
| 05-10 10:23:51 | Substantial-Setting 0xd92f…acac | Yes | SELL | 33 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xc698a4… |
| 05-10 09:24:51 | (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x18311f… |
| 05-10 09:24:49 | (anonymous) 0x46f7…5b54 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xaf954b… |
| 05-10 09:24:18 | Radiant-Swimming 0xa6d4…2f1e | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x195e41… |
| 05-10 09:24:16 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 8 | 95¢ | $7 | 0x4c0927… |
| 05-10 09:23:59 | (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x9f86a0… |
| 05-10 09:23:52 | Bitter-Humanity 0x9bd5…ac4d | Yes | BUY | 71 | 7¢ | $5 | 0xc1fff5… |
| 05-10 09:23:50 | (anonymous) 0x46f7…5b54 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x3f699f… |
| 05-10 09:23:27 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 6 | 93¢ | $6 | 0xdd4a63… |
| 05-10 09:23:27 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 8 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x54ed1c… |
| 05-10 09:02:24 | Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | BUY | 8 | 93¢ | $8 | 0xe80a9f… |
| 05-10 04:41:53 | Healthy-Worker 0x3a96…4007 | No | BUY | 12 | 87¢ | $10 | 0x06242e… |
| 05-10 04:41:18 | Substantial-Setting 0xd92f…acac | Yes | BUY | 27 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x6ce126… |
| 05-10 04:41:18 | Gentle-Passport 0xe59d…b97b | Yes | BUY | 9 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x63f5d2… |