Realized P&L (7d)
-$36
Unrealized P&L
-$20
Hit rate
28.7%
Resolved (7d)
16
Trades (7d)
143
284 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$7.16K
$14.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$50
Open exposure
$1.45K
24 positions
First seen
2026-05-28
last 10-31 11:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 25 days
Categories
Other
79% 46% -$53
Politics
13% 75% -$3
Sports
6% 79% -$28
Crypto
2% 0% -$3
Tech
0% 0% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 118 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? No +323 $212 99¢ $319 +$108 09-23 11:39
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey? No +278 $277 100¢ $278 +$1 09-23 09:26
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? No +278 $273 100¢ $277 +$3 09-23 09:26
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +278 $203 84¢ $232 +$29 09-23 09:26
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No -181 -$63 30¢ $-55 +$8 10-12 19:52
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No +40 $39 96¢ $38 -$1 09-23 13:12
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No -255 -$49 15¢ $-38 +$10 10-25 14:28
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? No +195 $70 18¢ $36 -$34 10-26 10:11
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? No -35 -$24 94¢ $-33 -$9 10-26 10:11
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No -258 -$32 12¢ $-30 +$2 10-26 10:07
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No -35 -$24 80¢ $-28 -$4 10-26 10:11
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -400 -$32 6¢ $-22 +$10 10-26 10:07
Papertrade FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -25 -$13 60¢ $-15 -$2 10-26 10:11
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No -23 -$14 54¢ $-12 +$1 10-26 10:11
Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -20 -$9 61¢ $-12 -$4 10-26 10:11
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? No -20 -$7 23¢ $-5 +$2 10-26 10:11
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Yes -5 -$5 93¢ $-5 $0 10-26 10:11
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? No +356 $146 1¢ $4 -$142 10-26 10:11
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? Yes -74 -$1 3¢ $-2 -$1 10-26 10:11
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No -4 -$2 60¢ $-2 +$0 10-26 10:11
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? No -19 -$1 7¢ $-1 +$0 10-26 10:11
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? Yes -74 -$1 1¢ $-1 +$0 10-26 10:11
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? No -1 -$1 100¢ $-1 $0 10-26 10:11
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? Yes -5 -$1 13¢ $-1 +$1 10-26 10:11