Realized P&L (30d)
-$62
Unrealized P&L
-$15
Hit rate
34.0%
Resolved (30d)
29
Trades (30d)
288
408 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$20.7K
$26.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$65
Open exposure
$1.46K
27 positions
First seen
2026-05-28
last 11-02 16:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 26 days
Categories
Other
89% 41% -$59
Politics
7% 75% -$3
Sports
3% 80% -$28
Crypto
1% 0% -$3
Tech
0% 0% -$2
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 118 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? No +323 $212 98¢ $318 +$107 09-23 11:39
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey? No +278 $277 100¢ $277 +$1 09-23 09:26
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? No +278 $273 99¢ $274 +$1 09-23 09:26
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +278 $203 86¢ $238 +$35 09-23 09:26
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No -181 -$63 34¢ $-61 +$2 10-12 19:52
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? No +195 $70 20¢ $40 -$30 10-26 10:11
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No +40 $39 97¢ $39 -$1 09-23 13:12
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No -258 -$32 15¢ $-37 -$6 10-26 10:07
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No -255 -$49 15¢ $-37 +$11 10-25 14:28
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? No -35 -$24 88¢ $-31 -$7 10-26 10:11
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No -35 -$24 78¢ $-28 -$4 10-26 10:11
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -400 -$32 4¢ $-18 +$14 10-26 10:07
Papertrade FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -25 -$13 62¢ $-15 -$2 10-26 10:11
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No -23 -$14 52¢ $-12 +$2 10-26 10:11
Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -20 -$9 59¢ $-12 -$3 10-26 10:11
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? No +356 $146 2¢ $6 -$140 10-26 10:11
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Yes -5 -$5 94¢ $-5 $0 10-26 10:11
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? No -20 -$7 21¢ $-4 +$2 10-26 10:11
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No -4 -$2 60¢ $-2 +$0 10-26 10:11
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? Yes -472 -$1 0¢ $-2 $0 11-02 08:16
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? Yes -74 -$1 2¢ $-1 +$0 10-26 10:11
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? No -19 -$1 6¢ $-1 +$0 10-26 10:11
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? Yes -187 -$1 1¢ $-1 +$0 11-02 08:16
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? Yes -74 -$1 1¢ $-1 +$0 10-26 10:11
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country? Yes -270 -$1 0¢ $-1 +$0 11-02 08:16
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? No -1 -$1 100¢ $-1 $0 10-26 10:11
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? Yes -5 -$1 11¢ $-1 +$1 10-26 10:11