Favorable-Softening — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.20K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.9%

Resolved

15,314

Trades

21,362

lifetime

Volume

$230.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-03

last 10-17 22:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 149 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 77% +$2,403

Other

1% 80% -$205

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 523 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 16:05 UTC	12	$1.8K	2,083	1,228	+855	Up	-$225	07-18 16:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 16:00 UTC	8	$1.3K	1,293	1,293	+0	Down	-$103	07-18 16:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 15:35 UTC	7	$1.2K	1,683	635	+1,049	Down	+$274	07-18 15:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 20:35 UTC	6	$1.2K	1,827	0	+1,827	Down	+$627	07-17 20:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 16:30 UTC	9	$1.2K	1,908	192	+1,716	Up	-$1,008	07-18 16:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 20:30 UTC	4	$947	1,139	1,139	+0	Down	-$253	07-17 20:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 16:35 UTC	4	$888	703	703	+0	Down	-$12	07-18 16:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 16:15 UTC	65	$863	1,453	724	+729	Down	-$242	08-26 16:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 19:00 UTC	5	$824	1,071	958	+113	Up	-$291	07-18 19:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 19:55 UTC	4	$823	625	625	+0	Down	+$223	07-17 19:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 19:20 UTC	6	$815	851	850	+0	Down	-$185	07-18 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	8	$791	1,301	0	+1,301	Down	+$510	09-13 15:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 16:10 UTC	3	$705	977	977	+0	Up	-$95	07-18 16:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 15:55 UTC	5	$681	1,002	98	+904	Up	-$619	07-18 15:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 03:00 UTC	3	$646	1,104	0	+1,104	Up	-$646	09-18 03:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 20:25 UTC	6	$633	821	486	+336	Down	+$16	07-17 20:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 09:30 UTC	5	$628	1,207	0	+1,207	Up	-$628	09-21 09:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 15:40 UTC	6	$602	600	600	+0	Down	+$2	07-18 15:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:25 UTC	3	$600	845	0	+845	Up	+$245	07-18 17:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 10:00 UTC	1	$587	1,050	0	+1,050	Down	+$462	09-16 09:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 17:10 UTC	9	$574	630	630	+0	Down	-$176	07-17 17:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 17:40 UTC	4	$571	883	883	+0	Up	-$329	08-26 17:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 18:15 UTC	4	$525	497	497	+0	Up	-$75	07-18 18:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:00 UTC	3	$524	655	300	+355	Up	+$79	07-18 17:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 21:50 UTC	4	$491	774	774	+0	Up	-$309	07-18 21:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 21:40 UTC	5	$487	519	353	+166	Down	+$52	07-18 21:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 19:00 UTC	3	$473	370	370	+0	Down	+$73	07-17 19:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 19:05 UTC	3	$467	387	387	+0	Down	+$67	07-17 19:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 16:15 UTC	8	$462	648	196	+452	Down	+$114	07-18 16:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 20:55 UTC	4	$420	481	481	+0	Up	-$180	07-18 20:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-17 22:28:26	Will Austin FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x940f10…
10-11 17:49:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x9e3513…
10-11 17:36:55	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xab43eb…
10-11 17:23:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x336125…
10-11 17:21:22	BNB Up or Down - October 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x1d3693…
10-11 17:17:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x83169b…
10-11 17:12:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xbc65b4…
10-11 16:54:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xd6a140…
10-11 16:33:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xfe43fd…
10-11 16:22:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x2bf7ff…
10-11 16:18:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xa3f1b7…
10-11 16:12:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xd6fd8c…
10-11 16:03:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x4fe8c9…
10-11 15:56:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xf3fc99…
10-11 15:52:28	BNB Up or Down - October 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xf8d3d5…
10-11 15:49:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x8022af…
10-11 15:32:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc37bae…
10-11 15:29:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x3657bd…
10-11 15:05:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xf9c022…
10-11 15:01:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xc15bfc…
10-11 14:59:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x35dcd7…
10-11 14:53:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xda711e…
10-11 14:48:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x383f0c…
10-11 14:41:18	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-11 14:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x25e18c…
10-11 14:32:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-11 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x7cde96…
10-11 14:21:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xf3152d…
10-11 14:18:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x7398a2…
10-11 14:08:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x86b7b5…
10-11 14:02:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x3185f6…
10-11 13:54:22	BNB Up or Down - October 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x9d8aed…
10-11 13:53:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x213fe1…
10-11 13:42:12	BNB Up or Down - October 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x4c24e3…
10-11 13:37:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x894819…
10-11 13:32:45	BNB Up or Down - October 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x224999…
10-11 13:29:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x53afcb…
10-11 13:10:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x13c267…
10-11 13:08:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x96421e…
10-11 12:58:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x08d8ae…
10-11 12:53:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x7ad7bd…
10-11 12:43:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x36a998…
10-11 12:37:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xc25f67…
10-11 12:32:01	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-11 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x71883f…
10-11 12:29:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0f29c1…
10-11 12:23:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x021c38…
10-11 12:17:27	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-11 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x2ed1b9…
10-11 12:08:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x653138…
10-11 12:03:13	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-11 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe98858…
10-11 11:53:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x04399d…
10-11 11:48:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x45a396…
10-11 11:39:11	BNB Up or Down - October 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd470d5…
10-11 11:33:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xea88c9…
10-11 11:27:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x6a66a3…
10-11 11:21:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x021c01…
10-11 11:14:39	BNB Up or Down - October 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x730c6d…
10-11 11:12:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x380ac8…
10-11 11:03:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x70f088…
10-11 10:56:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x1c9a23…
10-11 10:56:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xb0b85c…
10-11 10:54:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x25bf6b…
10-11 10:48:20	BNB Up or Down - October 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x61b62c…
10-11 10:47:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xab0aee…
10-11 10:47:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xf6a960…
10-11 10:47:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0xac1791…
10-11 10:43:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x6dd1cc…
10-11 10:38:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x31e07c…
10-11 10:32:06	BNB Up or Down - October 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x6d1b02…
10-11 10:31:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x422212…
10-11 10:27:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xec1860…
10-11 10:27:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x0ac52c…
10-11 10:23:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa5cfc3…
10-11 10:23:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x516c99…
10-11 10:23:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x80821f…
10-11 10:23:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x0b2183…
10-11 10:18:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x54516d…
10-11 10:18:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x9fc271…
10-11 10:13:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x258452…
10-11 10:13:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x2113b9…
10-11 10:09:39	BNB Up or Down - October 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x081756…
10-11 10:07:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x56d80e…
10-11 10:06:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x53edd2…
10-11 10:04:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x2df7c2…
10-11 10:04:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x6074cc…
10-11 09:58:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd0d2b7…
10-11 09:53:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x1b545f…
10-11 09:47:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xd9e7ef…
10-11 09:47:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x51e990…
10-11 09:44:13	BNB Up or Down - October 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc06a53…
10-11 09:44:06	BNB Up or Down - October 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x194ce9…
10-11 09:42:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x06efb3…
10-11 09:42:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x4621b5…
10-11 09:37:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x52f8a3…
10-11 09:36:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x878fa4…
10-11 09:33:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x14d27f…
10-11 09:33:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x0353ea…
10-11 09:33:09	BNB Up or Down - October 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x735bfb…
10-11 09:28:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x3f250d…
10-11 09:23:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xa5164a…
10-11 09:23:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x27f0ac…
10-11 09:17:39	BNB Up or Down - October 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xf27343…
10-11 09:17:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xaef76b…