Favorable-Softening — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$105

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

53.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$368

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$16

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 20:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 56% $-105

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	+7	$4	99¢	$7	+$3	05-05 20:50
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	+9	$5	64¢	$6	+$0	05-05 20:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	+5	$2	64¢	$3	+$1	05-05 20:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	1	$46	58	+58	Up	$-46	05-05 00:44
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$45	51	+51	Down	+$6	05-05 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	1	$41	75	+75	Down	$-41	05-04 21:54
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	1	$31	32	+32	Up	+$1	05-04 23:54
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	1	$17	18	+18	Down	+$1	05-05 01:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	1	$14	60	+60	Up	$-14	05-04 23:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	1	$14	14	+14	Down	+$1	05-04 23:09
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	1	$11	13	+13	open	—	05-05 16:17
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	1	$10	13	+13	open	—	05-05 13:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	1	$9	13	+13	open	—	05-05 15:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	1	$9	13	+13	open	—	05-05 13:40
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$9	10	+10	Down	$-9	05-04 22:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	1	$8	10	+10	Down	+$2	05-05 05:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	1	$8	10	+10	open	—	05-05 13:25
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	1	$8	10	+10	open	—	05-05 15:39
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	1	$8	13	+13	open	—	05-05 17:39
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	1	$7	10	+10	open	—	05-05 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	1	$7	9	+9	open	—	05-05 16:59
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	1	$6	8	+8	open	—	05-05 20:19
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	1	$5	9	+9	open	—	05-05 20:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	05-05 00:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Up	+$0	05-05 01:15
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	05-05 00:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	05-05 20:08
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Up	+$0	05-05 00:40
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	1	$4	7	+7	open	—	05-05 20:50
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	1	$4	5	+5	Down	$-4	05-05 01:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	1	$4	5	+5	open	—	05-05 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	1	$4	10	+10	open	—	05-05 15:34
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	1	$4	5	+5	open	—	05-05 19:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 20:54:56	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	60¢	$5	0xadc0aa…
05-05 20:50:00	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x764968…
05-05 20:44:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xd2ad5a…
05-05 20:19:48	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0xd33ca1…
05-05 20:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x70fa7d…
05-05 19:36:48	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xec1caf…
05-05 19:24:56	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0xd5034f…
05-05 17:59:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xf0719d…
05-05 17:54:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xc6c745…
05-05 17:39:54	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0xf131f1…
05-05 16:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0x90c222…
05-05 16:17:18	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	13	83¢	$11	0xd67cfe…
05-05 15:39:56	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x0dbef8…
05-05 15:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xc071ab…
05-05 15:29:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	73¢	$9	0x054c13…
05-05 14:34:52	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x4b88f6…
05-05 13:40:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	80¢	$10	0x24407f…
05-05 13:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	71¢	$9	0x64be2e…
05-05 13:25:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x3f19d8…
05-05 05:19:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xa957df…
05-05 02:55:04	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x6ef7eb…
05-05 01:40:04	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xc4dfc9…
05-05 01:19:50	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0xdd0c2c…
05-05 01:15:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb3bb24…
05-05 00:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	58	78¢	$46	0x09f875…
05-05 00:44:48	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0xb0e456…
05-05 00:40:04	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa10c82…
05-05 00:30:04	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x46fe6b…
05-05 00:29:58	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	51	89¢	$45	0xd1b349…
05-05 00:20:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x93ff13…
05-04 23:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	60	24¢	$14	0x9b2a40…
05-04 23:54:58	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	32	96¢	$31	0x6fd02e…
05-04 23:09:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	14	95¢	$14	0x5d039f…
05-04 22:24:58	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x60ed65…
05-04 21:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	75	54¢	$41	0xbbc60b…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	14	$692	85	05-05 20:44
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	12	$2.13K	48	05-05 20:09
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	6	$613	18	05-05 20:08
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	6	$585	54	05-05 20:08
Thirsty-Adjustment 0x2f32…ada6	6	$549	89	05-05 20:45
Svelte-Chicory 0x9412…0cd0	5	$648	14	05-05 20:08
Angry-Culvert 0xa867…f165	4	$667	124	05-05 20:08
General-School 0x01ca…200d	3	$1.16K	10	05-05 00:44