Dependent-Velocity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$447

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.4%

Resolved

1,574

Trades

2,894

lifetime

Volume

$9.93K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-09

last 09-28 15:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 132 days

Categories

Other

88% 39% -$428

Crypto

11% 45% -$5

Sports

1% 32% -$14

Politics

0% 50% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?	11	$56	65	65	+0	Yes	+$48	06-18 04:32
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 10?	4	$48	45	40	+5	Yes	+$32	05-11 03:13
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 9?	5	$44	87	87	+0	Yes	+$29	07-09 08:10
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 3?	7	$43	33	33	+0	Yes	+$21	08-03 22:59
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 25?	4	$41	54	54	+0	Yes	+$34	05-25 15:12
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on June 16?	6	$40	37	37	+0	Yes	+$30	06-16 17:27
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 36°C on July 14?	11	$37	35	35	+0	Yes	+$16	07-14 21:01
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 7?	5	$36	66	51	+15	Yes	+$8	07-07 13:28
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 8?	5	$35	26	26	+0	Yes	+$13	08-08 20:22
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on May 16?	6	$35	28	28	+0	No	+$15	05-16 21:53
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 10?	4	$35	30	30	+0	Yes	+$10	05-11 07:09
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 23?	5	$35	23	23	+0	No	+$10	08-23 22:45
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 28?	2	$34	31	31	+0	No	+$29	05-28 15:38
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on August 13?	3	$32	22	22	+0	Yes	+$10	08-13 15:49
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 22?	2	$32	28	28	+0	Yes	+$22	06-22 10:21
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 54°F or higher on May 2?	15	$31	71	71	+0	Yes	-$8	05-02 13:34
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on August 12?	6	$31	20	20	+0	Yes	+$8	08-12 15:21
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 17?	5	$30	50	35	+15	No	+$18	07-17 07:29
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on June 21?	2	$30	25	25	+0	No	+$20	06-22 01:14
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on May 16?	5	$29	40	40	+0	No	+$11	05-16 22:18
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 23?	2	$29	28	28	+0	Yes	+$23	06-23 15:29
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on July 10?	10	$28	67	48	+19	Yes	-$3	07-10 22:00
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 9?	3	$28	19	19	+0	Yes	+$7	08-09 21:37
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 14?	4	$28	22	22	+0	No	+$15	07-14 19:57
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 16?	7	$28	18	18	+0	No	+$8	05-16 21:02
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on August 16?	4	$27	20	20	+0	Yes	+$11	08-16 21:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 17:10 UTC	2	$27	53	50	+3	Down	+$7	04-10 17:11
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on July 18?	4	$27	21	21	+0	No	+$6	07-18 14:23
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 11?	4	$26	23	23	+0	Yes	+$16	07-11 16:21
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 25?	2	$26	19	19	+0	Yes	+$10	06-25 21:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-28 15:22:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 15:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb94be8…
09-09 20:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xe592f0…
09-09 20:30:40	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xc4f510…
09-09 20:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0x3a977e…
09-09 20:16:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x7f7a7d…
09-09 20:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb597d7…
09-09 20:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x78d0ef…
09-09 20:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xe860e1…
09-09 19:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x433f44…
09-09 19:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x7af683…
09-09 19:14:34	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 9?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x573e51…
09-09 18:29:39	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 9?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7aee91…
09-09 15:35:43	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 9?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6d6aea…
09-09 15:05:54	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x53d369…
09-09 14:49:49	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x14de14…
09-08 21:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe0195a…
09-08 21:17:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x4458fe…
09-08 21:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xf560a7…
09-08 21:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x7aa416…
09-08 21:01:07	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on September 8?	Yes	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x664229…
09-08 20:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x1a97bd…
09-08 20:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xb2f9ee…
09-08 20:38:39	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 8?	Yes	SELL	6	94¢	$5	0x82d792…
09-08 20:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xca355d…
09-08 20:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x9dfb61…
09-08 20:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x513ae3…
09-08 20:24:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x72aaef…
09-08 20:22:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x47119d…
09-08 20:00:04	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xb66619…
09-08 19:23:45	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 8?	Yes	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x4bd51e…
09-08 17:41:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	37¢	$1	0x60b608…
09-08 17:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x4592fd…
09-08 17:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xde53fd…
09-08 17:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x2b5b70…
09-08 17:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xca4528…
09-08 17:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0xc2afa3…
09-08 17:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xbf9c54…
09-08 16:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xaa30f0…
09-08 15:51:42	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on September 8?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x847264…
09-08 14:11:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x28abcf…
09-08 14:07:57	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x7575d1…
09-08 13:52:04	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 8?	Yes	SELL	6	96¢	$5	0x429c4b…
09-08 13:20:06	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x530be1…
09-08 13:04:55	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	0	82¢	$0	0x502484…
09-08 12:24:51	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x6537bf…
09-08 11:52:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0x4b29b1…
09-08 11:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe89314…
09-08 10:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x966ddb…
09-08 10:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xb28502…
09-08 07:27:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x5df3d0…
09-08 07:24:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x478443…
09-08 07:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xe0df6d…
09-07 22:09:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x130493…
09-07 22:06:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x136fca…
09-07 21:49:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	4	71¢	$3	0xef168a…
09-07 21:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x000e6d…
09-07 21:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x2b68b4…
09-07 15:35:57	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on September 7?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc2d377…
09-07 15:35:57	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on September 7?	Yes	SELL	8	99¢	$7	0x92625e…
09-07 15:08:54	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on September 7?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf3aa53…
09-07 15:01:51	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x460c6f…
09-07 13:51:01	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	250	1¢	$2	0xf330ab…
09-07 12:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xc8644c…
09-07 12:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe2b4fb…
09-07 12:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xc0c586…
09-07 12:23:54	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xf09434…
09-06 22:32:16	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 6?	Yes	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x2c273f…
09-06 21:59:49	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on September 6?	Yes	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0x004172…
09-06 20:47:58	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 6?	Yes	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x51d016…
09-06 20:20:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xea0b12…
09-06 20:15:54	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x862e4f…
09-06 20:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x86bf82…
09-06 20:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x2fffd8…
09-06 20:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0xed634e…
09-06 20:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x42d8e1…
09-06 19:57:28	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0x17cd6c…
09-06 19:55:34	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x261d3b…
09-06 19:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x218e46…
09-06 19:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xdc79ef…
09-06 19:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x75ce26…
09-06 15:34:51	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 6?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x66e77f…
09-06 15:22:30	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on September 6?	Yes	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x3f2a92…
09-06 13:45:43	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xe16f09…
09-06 13:15:28	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x25535e…
09-06 12:53:42	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xcee0fc…
09-06 08:58:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-06 08:55 UTC	Down	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xac229f…
09-06 08:55:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-06 08:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xb2c372…
09-06 08:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x080e49…
09-06 06:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xbd357e…
09-06 06:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xf4904c…
09-06 06:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0x475fea…
09-06 06:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x7f6033…
09-06 06:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x9f9e50…
09-06 06:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x4128c4…
09-05 23:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	SELL	14	98¢	$13	0xb72b22…
09-05 23:20:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xcd8591…
09-05 23:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x9feead…
09-05 23:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xc86c97…
09-05 22:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xfb4c03…
09-05 22:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf7f33e…