Fearless-Experiment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.6%

Resolved

Trades

4,588

lifetime

Volume

$17.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 08-14 23:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 47% $-4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 80 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1770593400	13	$212	126	125	+1	open	—	02-08 23:45
btc updown 15m 1769727600	20	$165	125	124	+1	open	—	01-29 23:11
btc updown 15m 1769728500	41	$147	129	127	+1	open	—	01-29 23:29
btc updown 15m 1770423300	41	$143	137	135	+2	open	—	02-07 00:30
eth updown 15m 1769651100	2	$136	68	68	+0	open	—	01-29 02:00
eth updown 15m 1769686200	54	$133	168	167	+2	open	—	01-29 11:37
btc updown 15m 1769784300	52	$127	141	140	+1	open	—	01-30 14:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	31	$123	123	123	+0	open	—	05-16 19:11
btc updown 15m 1770427800	9	$115	68	67	+0	open	—	02-07 01:44
btc updown 15m 1770426000	18	$94	90	88	+1	open	—	02-07 01:06
btc updown 15m 1770591600	5	$92	51	51	+0	open	—	02-08 23:14
btc updown 15m 1769733000	38	$89	98	97	+1	open	—	01-30 00:39
btc updown 15m 1770587100	6	$88	46	46	+0	open	—	02-08 22:00
btc updown 15m 1769732100	26	$87	72	71	+1	open	—	01-30 00:28
btc updown 15m 1770468300	5	$87	47	47	+0	open	—	02-07 13:01
btc updown 15m 1770586200	6	$85	51	51	+0	open	—	02-08 21:42
ethereum up or down january 26 4am et	4	$75	99	99	+0	open	—	01-26 09:42
btc updown 15m 1770470100	13	$75	56	56	+1	open	—	02-07 13:28
eth updown 15m 1769537700	1	$75	76	0	+76	open	—	01-27 18:29
sol updown 15m 1769686200	25	$72	72	71	+1	open	—	01-29 11:37
eth updown 15m 1769528700	1	$72	72	0	+72	open	—	01-27 15:57
btc updown 15m 1769726700	24	$71	65	64	+1	open	—	01-29 22:54
btc updown 15m 1769526000	2	$71	72	0	+72	open	—	01-27 15:11
xrp updown 15m 1769686200	30	$70	83	82	+1	open	—	01-29 11:37
btc updown 15m 1769524200	1	$69	71	0	+71	open	—	01-27 14:38
btc updown 15m 1770594300	3	$69	88	22	+67	open	—	02-08 23:50
btc updown 15m 1769520600	1	$69	69	0	+69	open	—	01-27 13:40
btc updown 15m 1770508800	23	$68	69	68	+1	open	—	02-08 00:08
btc updown 15m 1769725800	22	$67	73	72	+1	open	—	01-29 22:41
btc updown 15m 1769517000	3	$67	71	0	+71	open	—	01-27 12:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-14 23:49:21	btc updown 15m 1786751100	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xebd34b…
08-14 22:34:18	btc updown 15m 1786746600	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x8caccd…
08-14 21:50:12	btc updown 15m 1786743900	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x90ce63…
08-14 21:05:00	btc updown 15m 1786741200	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x104b42…
08-14 20:21:30	btc updown 15m 1786738500	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x73a2c5…
08-14 19:22:45	btc updown 15m 1786734900	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x80e725…
08-14 18:20:00	btc updown 15m 1786731300	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xffc727…
08-14 18:04:16	btc updown 15m 1786730400	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x14eea1…
08-14 17:53:46	btc updown 15m 1786729500	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x85adff…
08-14 17:19:36	btc updown 15m 1786727700	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x456d86…
08-14 16:49:45	btc updown 15m 1786725900	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xbad915…
08-14 16:35:42	btc updown 15m 1786725000	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xf51116…
08-14 16:22:24	btc updown 15m 1786724100	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x910ce1…
08-14 16:04:06	btc updown 15m 1786723200	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x09e75d…
08-14 15:49:18	btc updown 15m 1786722300	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xd15392…
08-14 15:21:24	btc updown 15m 1786720500	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xa1a8e3…
08-14 15:05:40	btc updown 15m 1786719600	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x0aef82…
08-14 14:51:10	btc updown 15m 1786718700	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xd68377…
08-14 14:34:07	btc updown 15m 1786717800	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x077ccb…
08-14 14:22:48	btc updown 15m 1786716900	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x6646b6…
08-14 14:04:33	btc updown 15m 1786716000	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x5a6fb9…
08-14 13:49:18	btc updown 15m 1786715100	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x2edb19…
08-14 13:34:04	btc updown 15m 1786714200	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x8e775b…
08-14 13:20:58	btc updown 15m 1786713300	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xce4278…
08-14 13:04:09	btc updown 15m 1786712400	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xb14206…
08-14 12:50:27	btc updown 15m 1786711500	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xb69f9a…
08-14 12:35:21	btc updown 15m 1786710600	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xe50887…
08-14 12:06:22	btc updown 15m 1786708800	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xa225a5…
08-14 11:19:45	btc updown 15m 1786706100	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x6b7586…
08-14 10:50:33	btc updown 15m 1786704300	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x15e961…
08-14 10:04:28	btc updown 15m 1786701600	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x55c808…
08-14 08:35:24	btc updown 15m 1786696200	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x4be321…
08-14 07:50:52	btc updown 15m 1786693500	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x40bc5c…
08-14 07:04:13	btc updown 15m 1786690800	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xb15a96…
08-14 06:35:01	btc updown 15m 1786689000	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xd09680…
08-14 06:04:03	btc updown 15m 1786687200	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xb953b9…
08-14 05:37:16	btc updown 15m 1786685400	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x04b68e…
08-14 04:04:07	btc updown 15m 1786680000	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xfb002f…
08-14 03:49:09	btc updown 15m 1786679100	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x383201…
08-14 03:34:09	btc updown 15m 1786678200	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xfb42a0…
08-14 03:19:04	btc updown 15m 1786677300	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x78a48c…
08-14 03:04:03	btc updown 15m 1786676400	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x8e43a4…
08-14 02:52:51	btc updown 15m 1786675500	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x0a1831…
08-14 02:34:03	btc updown 15m 1786674600	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x736f57…
08-14 02:19:03	btc updown 15m 1786673700	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x69dfeb…
08-14 02:08:37	btc updown 15m 1786672800	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x3c0eec…
08-14 01:36:01	btc updown 15m 1786671000	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x300637…
08-14 01:19:33	btc updown 15m 1786670100	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x584ae7…
08-14 01:04:52	btc updown 15m 1786669200	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x29ab7d…
08-14 00:34:22	btc updown 15m 1786667400	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x2ac7c1…
08-14 00:21:28	btc updown 15m 1786666500	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x36de1b…
08-14 00:04:07	btc updown 15m 1786665600	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xe9e8f3…
08-13 23:49:36	btc updown 15m 1786664700	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x19989e…
08-13 22:34:07	btc updown 15m 1786660200	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x60c042…
08-13 22:20:48	btc updown 15m 1786659300	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x26e721…
08-13 19:05:33	btc updown 15m 1786647600	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x8c2da9…
08-13 18:34:36	btc updown 15m 1786645800	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xbfdae6…
08-13 18:19:04	btc updown 15m 1786644900	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xf549c9…
08-13 17:53:09	btc updown 15m 1786643100	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xb09b62…
08-13 17:34:04	btc updown 15m 1786642200	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x3a530e…
08-13 17:21:10	btc updown 15m 1786641300	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xb9b558…
08-13 17:04:25	btc updown 15m 1786640400	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x9b4110…
08-13 16:34:51	btc updown 15m 1786638600	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x317aa3…
08-13 16:19:24	btc updown 15m 1786637700	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x3037db…
08-13 16:04:03	btc updown 15m 1786636800	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xcb8b38…
08-13 15:34:10	btc updown 15m 1786635000	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xe08612…
08-13 15:21:43	btc updown 15m 1786634100	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xd951e3…
08-13 15:04:04	btc updown 15m 1786633200	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x35f83c…
08-13 14:49:15	btc updown 15m 1786632300	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x6f93bf…
08-13 14:19:12	btc updown 15m 1786630500	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x5efa8a…
08-13 14:04:42	btc updown 15m 1786629600	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x385c6b…
08-13 13:50:09	btc updown 15m 1786628700	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xb3bd80…
08-13 13:34:04	btc updown 15m 1786627800	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x694f2f…
08-13 13:19:09	btc updown 15m 1786626900	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xacfe5d…
08-13 13:04:52	btc updown 15m 1786626000	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xbfa4ff…
08-13 12:35:22	btc updown 15m 1786624200	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xac7cd7…
08-13 12:06:10	btc updown 15m 1786622400	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x8508a6…
08-13 11:34:25	btc updown 15m 1786620600	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x163036…
08-13 10:19:45	btc updown 15m 1786616100	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xebcd3c…
08-13 09:19:04	btc updown 15m 1786612500	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xc8558c…
08-13 09:04:03	btc updown 15m 1786611600	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x2c9d0e…
08-13 06:34:51	btc updown 15m 1786602600	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x61dbe7…
08-13 05:20:39	btc updown 15m 1786598100	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x53979f…
08-13 05:19:39	btc updown 15m 1786598100	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x28805d…
08-13 05:04:15	btc updown 15m 1786597200	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xb4ecd9…
08-13 03:49:07	btc updown 15m 1786592700	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xe106f2…
08-13 03:34:42	btc updown 15m 1786591800	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x7886cc…
08-13 03:20:12	btc updown 15m 1786590900	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x9b17c7…
08-13 02:49:03	btc updown 15m 1786589100	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x2bbfdd…
08-13 02:34:03	btc updown 15m 1786588200	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xd67032…
08-13 02:22:27	btc updown 15m 1786587300	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xf74f83…
08-13 01:51:18	btc updown 15m 1786585500	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x5c7db1…
08-13 01:34:04	btc updown 15m 1786584600	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x5df2fb…
08-13 01:10:40	btc updown 15m 1786582800	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x60580d…
08-13 00:49:24	btc updown 15m 1786581900	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xf3b6c0…
08-13 00:34:06	btc updown 15m 1786581000	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x7cf388…
08-13 00:19:21	btc updown 15m 1786580100	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xf46bd2…
08-13 00:05:31	btc updown 15m 1786579200	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xa79ebe…
08-12 22:07:03	btc updown 15m 1786572000	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x9a01d4…
08-12 21:37:15	btc updown 15m 1786570200	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xa4faed…