Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$59,355

Trades

6,889

Unique wallets

423

Liquidity

$0

Latest YES mid

39¢

Latest NO mid

61¢

End date

2026-10-16

First seen

2026-10-16

last 10-16 02:30

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

(anon) +6,239 Illiterate-Counterforce +5,072 (anon) +3,462 (anon) +3,389 Deadly-Champion +3,324 (anon) +3,084 Noisy-Colonisation +2,889 (anon) +2,807

NO holders

Vicious-Viability +5,639 Deadly-Champion +3,197 Noisy-Colonisation +2,817 (anon) +2,339 Rural-Wharf-Parable +1,949 (anon) +1,861 Impolite-Sister +1,702 (anon) +1,658

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: -6.0¢ (top1%: 17% YES on $28.2K vs crowd: 23% YES on $57.5K)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐋 Whale	113	$10.0K	$23.8K	$13.8K
🐬 Dolphin	99	$2.3K	$13.3K	$11.0K
🐟 Fish	140	$826	$6.4K	$5.6K
🦐 Shrimp	71	$333	$521	$187

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	109	$4.9K	$23.3K	$18.3K
🏆 Top 5%	66	$743	$5.4K	$4.7K
✅ Top 10%	26	$137	$779	$643
Median	22	$65	$78	$13
Below median	72	$191	$627	$436
⚠️ Bottom 10%	32	$194	$629	$434
🔻 Bottom 5%	50	$1.2K	$3.7K	$2.6K
💀 Bottom 1%	46	$6.0K	$9.4K	$3.4K

Wallet leaderboard (60) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
(anonymous) 0x10d5…5388	Up	+6,239	$1,275	$1,275	53	10-16 02:28
Vicious-Viability 0x7cd1…8d05	Down	+5,639	$4,524	$4,524	183	10-16 02:28
Illiterate-Counterforce 0xd1ed…d7cb	Up	+5,072	$1,576	$1,576	83	10-16 02:27
(anonymous) 0x664a…fc5f	Up	+3,462	$853	$853	160	10-16 02:28
(anonymous) 0x5380…d4b3	Up	+3,389	$287	$289	32	10-16 02:28
Deadly-Champion 0xcfdd…e5da	Up	+3,324	$644	$644	222	10-16 02:28
Deadly-Champion 0xcfdd…e5da	Down	+3,197	$2,408	$2,408	120	10-16 02:28
(anonymous) 0x01e8…e002	Up	+3,084	$779	$779	136	10-16 02:28
Noisy-Colonisation 0xb945…db68	Up	+2,889	$505	$505	189	10-16 02:28
Noisy-Colonisation 0xb945…db68	Down	+2,817	$2,224	$2,224	104	10-16 02:28
(anonymous) 0x90e3…34ad	Up	+2,807	$755	$755	112	10-16 02:28
(anonymous) 0xba08…528f	Down	+2,339	$2,013	$2,108	41	10-16 02:28
Rural-Wharf-Parable 0x3725…ad88	Down	+1,949	$1,437	$1,437	34	10-16 02:27
(anonymous) 0x32ed…8ec3	Down	+1,861	$1,347	$1,347	13	10-16 02:27
Impolite-Sister 0xc2ad…40ed	Down	+1,702	$1,234	$1,234	23	10-16 02:28
(anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279	Down	+1,658	$1,546	$1,546	24	10-16 02:28
Victorious-Recess 0x5e60…e468	Up	+1,375	$249	$249	4	10-16 02:26
(anonymous) 0x54b1…3e83	Up	+1,089	$280	$280	95	10-16 02:28
(anonymous) 0x98b8…5c1b	Down	+1,071	$906	$906	30	10-16 02:28
(anonymous) 0x98b8…5c1b	Up	+1,071	$134	$134	68	10-16 02:28
Torn-Dependency 0xfcef…ed6c	Down	+1,056	$820	$820	64	10-16 02:27
Lost-King 0x13a4…8f84	Down	+1,028	$761	$761	45	10-16 02:27
Live-Ape 0x95e8…6fa3	Up	+969	$266	$266	10	10-16 02:27
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	Down	+904	$862	$862	11	10-16 02:29
Novel-Plow-Toot 0xd02b…d6df	Up	+874	$251	$251	44	10-16 02:27
(anonymous) 0x2903…5906	Up	+854	$55	$55	31	10-16 02:28
(anonymous) 0x2903…5906	Down	+844	$762	$762	16	10-16 02:28
Every-Questioner 0xafdc…d278	Up	+806	$108	$108	50	10-16 02:28
Every-Questioner 0xafdc…d278	Down	+795	$619	$619	29	10-16 02:28
(anonymous) 0x5078…420f	Down	+768	$573	$656	15	10-16 02:27
Whispered-Ambition 0x45ca…3cef	Down	+717	$570	$570	25	10-16 02:27
(anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e	Up	+641	$146	$146	48	10-16 02:28
(anonymous) 0xf6be…8dd0	Up	+637	$200	$200	10	10-16 02:27
(anonymous) 0xebf1…a7c6	Down	+628	$524	$524	22	10-16 02:28
Cool-Trip 0x9184…9f9f	Up	+600	$141	$141	22	10-16 02:27
(anonymous) 0x329d…b047	Up	+599	$126	$126	30	10-16 02:28
Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d	Down	+598	$424	$424	30	10-16 02:27
Spotted-Termination 0xc389…d228	Down	+580	$276	$276	124	10-16 02:25
Useful-Cleric 0xf6f6…0e74	Down	+578	$505	$505	14	10-16 02:28
(anonymous) 0x41e2…a354	Down	+577	$341	$341	24	10-16 02:27
(anonymous) 0xf548…c20e	Up	+571	$121	$121	78	10-16 02:28
(anonymous) 0xf548…c20e	Down	+571	$474	$474	33	10-16 02:28
(anonymous) 0xdced…92c6	Down	+560	$415	$415	40	10-16 02:28
(anonymous) 0xf8af…54c6	Down	+558	$416	$416	39	10-16 02:28
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	Down	+549	$392	$392	50	10-16 02:28
(anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e	Down	+541	$424	$424	14	10-16 02:28
Best-Million 0x81c9…94cd	Up	+533	$126	$126	72	10-16 02:28
Best-Million 0x81c9…94cd	Down	+533	$417	$417	59	10-16 02:28
(anonymous) 0x41e2…a354	Up	+530	$212	$212	26	10-16 02:27
Angelic-Sphynx 0xf79d…9fe9	Down	+514	$400	$400	58	10-16 02:28
Angelic-Sphynx 0xf79d…9fe9	Up	+512	$120	$120	63	10-16 02:28
Sturdy-Chinchilla 0xd1dc…cc46	Down	+500	$482	$482	1	10-16 02:28
(anonymous) 0x414e…5139	Down	+495	$358	$358	50	10-16 02:27
Leading-Altar 0x86b9…6d67	Up	+482	$55	$55	26	10-16 02:28
Naughty-Dory 0x3ab0…0a44	Up	+464	$105	$105	65	10-16 02:28
Stained-Meaning 0x6972…ebcc	Up	+459	$102	$102	65	10-16 02:28
Unfinished-Producer 0xac3f…28d7	Up	+458	$92	$92	64	10-16 02:28
Rundown-Pressroom 0x513b…ade9	Up	+449	$104	$104	57	10-16 02:28
(anonymous) 0x90ae…bb56	Up	+400	$4	$4	2	10-16 02:28
(anonymous) 0x4281…1a5a	Up	+374	$26	$26	5	10-16 02:28