Joyful-Attenuation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$295

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

48.1%

Resolved

171

Trades

454

lifetime

Volume

$9.90K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-20

last 10-28 23:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 78 days

Categories

Other

73% 42% -$209

Politics

21% 47% -$63

Sports

5% 46% -$24

Crypto

1% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-163	-$5	4¢	$-7	-$2	06-20 15:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	13	$1.0K	761	761	+0	Yes	-$26	03-30 07:03
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	14	$595	628	628	+0	No	-$109	10-25 23:09
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?	4	$322	230	230	+0	Yes	+$5	04-28 20:39
fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 shots donyell malen gte3	6	$318	0	626	-626	No	+$5	06-20 17:27
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	1	$311	318	0	+318	Yes	+$7	02-28 23:38
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-02?	25	$284	298	298	+0	No	+$26	05-02 23:27
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 3 345	3	$276	613	100	+513	No	-$114	03-03 22:42
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	21	$259	5,938	7,938	-2,000	No	-$136	03-26 22:36
Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?	5	$214	216	0	+216	Yes	+$2	04-21 23:06
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?	3	$197	200	0	+200	Yes	+$3	05-06 20:58
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$185	500	500	+0	Yes	-$75	02-25 09:42
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$169	100	100	+0	Yes	+$31	04-08 08:35
ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 atm1	2	$169	87	87	+0	Yes	+$5	04-08 22:11
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-10?	6	$164	260	260	+0	No	-$60	05-10 22:27
fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 3pt5	3	$162	100	100	+0	Germany	-$2	06-14 18:15
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	3	$157	120	120	+0	Yes	+$80	05-06 20:57
Will SC Internacional win on 2026-05-16?	2	$150	100	100	+0	Yes	+$48	05-16 22:56
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	2	$144	272	272	+0	No	-$57	03-17 07:59
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-16?	3	$135	290	0	+290	No	-$135	05-17 00:15
SE Palmeiras vs. CDP Junior FC: O/U 3.5	2	$133	100	100	+0	Over	+$65	05-28 22:45
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	3	$128	200	200	+0	No	-$8	03-30 07:03
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?	1	$114	347	0	+347	Yes	+$232	02-22 23:05
bra vas pal 2026 03 12 vas	3	$103	100	180	-80	Yes	-$3	03-12 10:06
fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 shots donyell malen gte2	10	$102	0	176	-176	No	+$14	06-20 18:06
bra pal bot 2026 03 18 pal	1	$100	154	0	+154	Yes	+$54	03-16 13:15
bra pal mir 2026 03 15 pal	1	$100	164	0	+164	Yes	+$64	03-14 15:41
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-10-24?	1	$96	150	0	+150	Yes	+$54	10-24 21:13
bitcoin above 70k on march 7	1	$88	89	0	+89	No	+$1	03-07 13:33
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-04-26?	1	$87	100	0	+100	Yes	+$13	04-26 20:33
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?	5	$82	174	133	+41	No	-$66	05-06 20:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 23:55:50	Will Santos FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	27	25¢	$7	0x4e42a1…
10-25 23:29:47	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	47	94¢	$44	0x71a1d4…
10-25 23:09:47	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	214	13¢	$27	0x11716f…
10-25 22:45:32	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x98b568…
10-25 22:38:36	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x53a9eb…
10-25 22:38:08	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xec6927…
10-25 22:29:42	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x818e37…
10-25 22:20:18	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	69	36¢	$25	0x4e6259…
10-25 22:11:59	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	69	44¢	$30	0xb29ad3…
10-25 22:09:42	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	152	42¢	$64	0xedee59…
10-25 22:02:14	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x84f1c2…
10-25 20:52:53	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0xdb55aa…
10-25 20:30:00	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	90	67¢	$60	0x768b26…
10-25 20:10:29	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	193	66¢	$127	0xed7d39…
10-25 14:45:27	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	190	79¢	$150	0x68a147…
10-24 23:39:18	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x1f68c5…
10-24 21:13:26	Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	150	64¢	$96	0xd06395…
10-12 12:57:39	Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x48786f…
09-11 14:03:21	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xc9ebe1…
08-30 22:25:07	Exact Score: Mirassol FC 0 - 3 SE Palmeiras?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x593834…
08-30 22:24:57	Exact Score: Mirassol FC 0 - 2 SE Palmeiras?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x84d523…
08-30 22:24:27	Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	777	2¢	$15	0xf1773e…
08-30 22:23:39	Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	BUY	43	35¢	$15	0x93e113…
08-23 20:06:52	Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	BUY	38	79¢	$30	0x41531b…
08-23 19:45:16	Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0xcbefe3…
08-11 21:31:28	lib pal cep 2026 08 12 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xad9bb3…
08-08 22:23:36	Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-08-09?	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xd62c4f…
08-08 22:23:28	bra pal int 2026 08 09 team total home 2pt5	Over	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x084513…
08-05 19:30:14	Will Fortaleza EC vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xcbc57c…
07-17 15:32:48	Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	47	32¢	$15	0x40008b…
07-14 20:54:41	Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x33b40a…
07-14 20:53:44	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 btts	Yes	SELL	26	15¢	$4	0x37bc8c…
07-14 19:28:28	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 btts	Yes	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x7efac9…
07-12 15:14:59	Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	45	33¢	$15	0x0cec07…
07-12 15:14:31	Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x1f706a…
07-11 23:02:44	Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	55	27¢	$15	0x8be5bc…
07-10 20:58:29	Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	60	4¢	$2	0xad4493…
07-08 11:01:29	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	56	27¢	$15	0x067755…
07-08 11:01:23	Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0x70e2a9…
07-08 11:01:14	Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0x809b79…
07-05 21:49:44	Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	580	0¢	$2	0x153f7f…
07-05 21:49:16	Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	120	0¢	$0	0x5f5db1…
07-05 16:52:11	Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x2fde65…
07-05 16:52:01	Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x1d6ec8…
07-05 16:51:50	Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x705e81…
07-05 16:51:38	Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xcd5852…
07-05 16:51:28	Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x3ba03d…
07-05 16:51:19	Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x11b36c…
07-04 22:35:01	Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?	No	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0x04dfd1…
07-04 22:31:08	Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	115	14¢	$16	0x2e8584…
07-04 10:18:59	Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	74	20¢	$15	0xea029d…
07-04 10:17:37	Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	50	29¢	$14	0x92480a…
07-04 10:11:04	Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	47	32¢	$15	0xebdaef…
07-04 10:10:56	Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x7e9847…
07-04 10:10:50	Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0xb320c5…
07-04 10:10:41	Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	56	27¢	$15	0x391529…
07-04 10:10:34	Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	48	31¢	$15	0xd9de8c…
07-04 10:10:28	Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	56	27¢	$15	0xaa63e6…
07-04 10:10:20	Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	115	13¢	$15	0xb57df2…
07-04 10:10:14	Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	52	29¢	$15	0x124af6…
07-03 20:51:05	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	Australia	SELL	32	3¢	$1	0xea114d…
07-03 20:42:25	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	Australia	BUY	32	47¢	$15	0x82d825…
07-03 20:42:10	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	Egypt	SELL	19	53¢	$10	0xe0b71b…
07-03 20:32:49	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	Egypt	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x2dfe71…
07-01 22:03:22	Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x0d2bb8…
07-01 22:03:10	Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x0fa34f…
07-01 22:02:56	Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xa16807…
07-01 22:02:43	Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x6f156c…
07-01 22:02:29	Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x10eb7d…
07-01 22:02:16	Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x47674c…
07-01 22:01:40	Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x6d7aeb…
07-01 21:55:37	Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x37b8db…
07-01 21:55:10	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	SELL	83	10¢	$8	0x2a31d1…
07-01 21:52:53	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x9f7b83…
06-30 22:12:26	Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	62	2¢	$1	0xcd2249…
06-30 06:44:04	Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x6277ac…
06-30 06:43:55	Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xeca4b9…
06-30 06:43:32	Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x9dce6c…
06-30 06:43:23	Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x911212…
06-30 06:43:17	Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xfd0833…
06-30 06:43:07	Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xa77b42…
06-30 06:42:58	Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x4f0cc4…
06-30 06:42:47	Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xcdf7b5…
06-30 06:42:32	Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xae9eae…
06-30 06:42:25	Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x1cdc2e…
06-30 06:42:17	Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x2a52e4…
06-29 17:55:58	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	Brazil	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0x1beb18…
06-28 20:31:23	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 team to advance	Canada	BUY	16	65¢	$10	0x8625cd…
06-28 20:31:23	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 team to advance	Canada	BUY	1	65¢	$1	0x47c0ec…
06-28 20:31:22	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 team to advance	Canada	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xc5e4a0…
06-27 21:43:35	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 goals bruno fernandes gte1	Yes	BUY	40	22¢	$9	0xf1089f…
06-27 08:37:56	Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	12	6¢	$1	0x623e1c…
06-27 08:37:56	Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	25	6¢	$1	0x0b7d17…
06-27 08:37:55	Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	12	6¢	$1	0x010476…
06-27 03:10:13	Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	51	6¢	$3	0x606813…
06-25 21:43:17	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0x9359ed…
06-25 21:35:22	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	300	5¢	$14	0x1410b3…
06-25 21:01:08	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0x54ac30…
06-24 22:17:02	Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	400	3¢	$12	0x70a974…
06-24 22:09:02	Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$5	0x0eadd5…