Troubled-Alcove — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$510

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.6%

Resolved

119

Trades

1,735

lifetime

Volume

$5.10K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 05-06 04:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 41% $-510

Politics

1% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 723 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	22	$154	106	106	+0	Down	+$10	05-05 09:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	9	$94	109	61	+48	Up	$-16	05-05 04:02
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	5	$83	62	62	+0	Up	+$3	05-04 21:38
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	6	$77	69	69	+0	Down	$-3	05-05 04:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	20	$76	78	78	+0	Down	+$16	05-05 08:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	10	$75	68	68	+0	Up	+$3	05-05 05:33
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	15	$75	343	0	+343	Up	$-75	05-05 09:16
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	20	$75	100	77	+23	Down	+$1	05-05 06:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	9	$73	101	101	+0	open	—	05-04 02:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	6	$73	89	89	+0	Down	+$13	05-05 02:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	18	$71	45	45	+0	Down	+$13	05-05 07:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	27	$71	46	46	+0	Up	+$19	05-05 08:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	5	$67	58	58	+0	Up	+$7	05-05 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	5	$67	55	55	+0	open	—	05-04 02:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	8	$65	62	62	+0	Up	+$5	05-05 03:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	7	$64	63	63	+0	Up	+$4	05-05 02:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	18	$62	81	74	+7	Down	$-28	05-05 08:37
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	6	$56	34	34	+0	Up	+$6	05-05 06:48
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	5	$56	68	57	+11	Up	$-4	05-05 03:08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$56	47	47	+0	open	—	05-02 05:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	6	$56	51	51	+0	Up	+$10	05-05 05:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	11	$55	84	0	+84	Up	$-55	05-05 09:07
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	22	$54	54	46	+9	Up	$-2	05-05 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	5	$49	58	41	+18	Up	$-1	05-05 02:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	5	$48	87	48	+39	Down	+$7	05-05 05:01
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	15	$48	32	32	+0	Up	+$12	05-05 08:22
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	9	$46	29	29	+0	Down	+$12	05-05 05:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	12	$44	36	36	+0	Up	+$8	05-05 07:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	8	$44	73	6	+67	Down	$-42	05-04 21:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	39	$43	71	0	+71	Down	+$28	05-05 07:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 04:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xde701c…
05-06 04:09:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x15dfbb…
05-06 04:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x800060…
05-06 03:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x107e01…
05-06 03:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xd8940a…
05-06 03:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x92aff0…
05-06 03:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x3c64e1…
05-06 03:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x2171a5…
05-06 03:25:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0xd992a5…
05-06 01:46:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x295c91…
05-06 01:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x79155d…
05-06 01:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x9e7dd6…
05-06 01:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x5bca0c…
05-06 01:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x8e1fe8…
05-06 01:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x2785b9…
05-06 01:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x8aebdf…
05-05 09:16:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	24	20¢	$5	0x64a35a…
05-05 09:16:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xe3b238…
05-05 09:16:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x5557ec…
05-05 09:16:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xc04466…
05-05 09:15:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xb8d986…
05-05 09:15:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x007358…
05-05 09:15:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x69226e…
05-05 09:15:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xe8ea06…
05-05 09:15:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	27	18¢	$5	0xecd435…
05-05 09:15:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xe7d952…
05-05 09:15:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xab6b65…
05-05 09:15:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x513791…
05-05 09:15:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x5ca039…
05-05 09:15:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x08714d…
05-05 09:15:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x6c0912…
05-05 09:14:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x8fabfe…
05-05 09:12:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x99494c…
05-05 09:12:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x90e45b…
05-05 09:12:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x612ce1…
05-05 09:12:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xe06fcd…
05-05 09:12:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xf6f02a…
05-05 09:12:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x85dab6…
05-05 09:12:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x6cd47a…
05-05 09:12:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	97	76¢	$73	0xa06c55…
05-05 09:11:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x2bf367…
05-05 09:11:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x85e76f…
05-05 09:11:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x56860a…
05-05 09:11:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x5ce4e9…
05-05 09:11:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xe6d74f…
05-05 09:11:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x4a3049…
05-05 09:11:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x275836…
05-05 09:11:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x56106b…
05-05 09:11:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xcc95c1…
05-05 09:11:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xa34ac5…
05-05 09:11:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x296e83…
05-05 09:11:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x438063…
05-05 09:11:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x708ab7…
05-05 09:07:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xff480f…
05-05 09:07:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x02900f…
05-05 09:07:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x06f9c9…
05-05 09:07:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x91a9a1…
05-05 09:07:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xb1066d…
05-05 09:07:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xb3802c…
05-05 09:07:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x34082e…
05-05 09:07:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x8e136e…
05-05 09:07:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x5d90c4…
05-05 09:06:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x018ddd…
05-05 09:06:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x2208ab…
05-05 08:59:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	73¢	$2	0x50bfff…
05-05 08:59:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xc26cd7…
05-05 08:59:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xc26dd3…
05-05 08:58:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xcaf911…
05-05 08:58:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x8db301…
05-05 08:58:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	43	57¢	$24	0xcedc9b…
05-05 08:56:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xb43bbb…
05-05 08:56:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x428fd0…
05-05 08:56:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x901b18…
05-05 08:56:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xf78838…
05-05 08:56:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd76478…
05-05 08:56:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x72cd9b…
05-05 08:56:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x345fa8…
05-05 08:56:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xc5a110…
05-05 08:56:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x022622…
05-05 08:56:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x5adb30…
05-05 08:55:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x75ab7f…
05-05 08:55:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x4f381e…
05-05 08:55:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xfbb05f…
05-05 08:55:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x760abb…
05-05 08:55:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x118e14…
05-05 08:55:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xb1a43b…
05-05 08:46:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xeda701…
05-05 08:46:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x99e10e…
05-05 08:45:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x681caf…
05-05 08:40:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x036cae…
05-05 08:40:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xd90d0b…
05-05 08:40:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x21dea5…
05-05 08:37:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	74	23¢	$17	0x63e253…
05-05 08:37:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x1fb519…
05-05 08:37:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x751a3d…
05-05 08:37:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x6d25a3…
05-05 08:36:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xfa5af8…
05-05 08:36:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xc04a31…
05-05 08:36:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xd83fa2…
05-05 08:36:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x4bd386…