Well-Off-Ship — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8.25K

Unrealized P&L

+$8

Hit rate

53.8%

Resolved

Trades

132

lifetime

Volume

$102.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$779

Open exposure

$58

1 position

First seen

2026-02-28

last 10-23 04:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Politics

75% 50% -$1,512

Other

17% 38% -$6,140

Crypto

8% 44% -$510

Sports

0% 0% -$90

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes		+82	$50	70¢	$58	+$8	10-23 04:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	5	$18.0K	10,544	10,544	+0	Yes	+$3,035	03-25 18:19
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	7	$12.1K	9,065	9,065	+0	Yes	-$1,077	03-08 00:01
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	4	$7.8K	10,763	10,763	+0	No	-$2,508	04-22 07:32
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$5.5K	8,702	0	+8,702	Yes	+$3,159	03-29 13:42
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$5.5K	5,786	0	+5,786	Yes	+$289	02-28 06:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 18:10 UTC	1	$4.8K	5,018	0	+5,018	Down	+$259	03-26 18:13
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$4.5K	2,571	2,571	+0	Yes	+$579	03-01 04:32
houthi strike on israel by april 15 2026	8	$4.5K	7,222	0	+7,222	Yes	+$2,710	03-28 17:08
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	2	$3.9K	5,870	5,870	+0	No	-$2,068	04-13 20:12
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	3	$3.8K	3,150	3,150	+0	Yes	-$983	03-04 18:06
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	2	$3.7K	6,497	0	+6,497	Yes	-$3,655	04-24 14:14
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	3	$2.6K	8,147	8,147	+0	No	-$1,363	04-07 22:48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	2	$2.5K	4,038	3,956	+82	No	-$1,527	04-07 22:46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	2	$2.1K	1,914	1,898	+17	No	-$926	04-07 22:55
will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	1	$1.8K	2,007	0	+2,007	Yes	+$201	02-28 15:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$1.7K	2,742	0	+2,742	No	-$1,723	04-07 23:22
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	2	$1.7K	928	928	+0	No	+$176	04-23 19:50
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	2	$1.5K	5,821	5,821	+0	No	-$1,484	05-30 09:21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	1	$1.5K	1,651	0	+1,651	Yes	+$150	04-07 22:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 20:20 UTC	3	$1.4K	854	845	+9	Down	+$246	03-25 20:25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?	1	$1.4K	1,741	0	+1,741	Yes	+$311	04-21 17:25
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	2	$1.4K	3,334	3,334	+0	No	-$386	05-23 19:47
will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 30 april 5	5	$1.3K	1,572	0	+1,572	Yes	+$236	04-05 21:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 20:10 UTC	3	$1.3K	1,655	189	+1,466	Up	-$908	03-25 20:15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	1	$1000	1,699	0	+1,699	Yes	+$699	04-21 17:24
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	7	$572	435	435	+0	No	+$26	06-10 04:02
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	1	$514	583	0	+583	No	-$514	05-23 20:38
will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 28 2026 174	1	$500	543	0	+543	Yes	+$43	03-27 13:27
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	1	$460	1,844	0	+1,844	No	-$460	04-07 12:38
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$430	1,489	1,489	+0	No	-$374	05-30 09:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 04:22:26	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0xccbab9…
07-19 19:29:46	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	123	40¢	$50	0x421440…
07-11 20:33:43	Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	127	8¢	$10	0xd032d0…
07-11 20:33:37	Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	94	11¢	$10	0x694a31…
07-11 20:33:25	Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	127	8¢	$10	0x08ba08…
07-11 06:04:53	Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	145	7¢	$10	0x30a858…
07-05 19:55:11	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xa8106f…
07-05 19:55:08	Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0xfb13de…
07-04 18:48:53	Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0x9b3ccd…
07-04 18:48:46	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 team to advance	Canada	BUY	528	1¢	$5	0xa7fbce…
07-04 17:16:37	Canada leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x1fb8ae…
06-21 22:26:16	Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0xb8444b…
06-20 21:08:20	Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x0a1300…
06-20 21:08:14	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x24a7ed…
06-13 21:37:27	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 btts	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xe38c4e…
06-13 20:26:27	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 spread away 1pt5	Switzerland	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x803c89…
06-12 18:43:51	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x42afa7…
06-11 20:50:48	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 2pt5	Mexico	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0xa77551…
06-11 19:06:03	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	Mexico	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x0f2e3a…
06-11 19:05:12	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 btts	No	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0xc9743f…
06-10 04:02:04	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	176	75¢	$132	0x784348…
06-07 19:45:04	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	176	41¢	$72	0xea6074…
06-07 19:44:40	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	128	59¢	$76	0x7f97c7…
06-07 19:23:13	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xdedca3…
06-07 19:22:43	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0xb60508…
06-07 19:19:12	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	132	70¢	$92	0xd60e5e…
06-07 19:17:00	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0xad15b5…
05-30 17:55:35	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x4ced9b…
05-30 17:55:30	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x110656…
05-30 17:54:36	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	146	16¢	$23	0x5ab793…
05-30 17:32:43	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	SELL	1,000	6¢	$56	0xd18748…
05-30 16:58:08	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	146	41¢	$60	0x7b06e7…
05-30 16:57:10	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	1,000	5¢	$50	0x416530…
05-30 16:56:23	Arsenal FC leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	169	99¢	$167	0x7df6ea…
05-30 09:28:58	Arsenal FC leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	169	25¢	$42	0x3d1f9b…
05-30 09:22:05	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,489	2¢	$28	0x3293c6…
05-30 09:21:49	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5,821	0¢	$16	0xb5cb04…
05-23 20:38:44	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	Yes	BUY	583	88¢	$514	0xe6869a…
05-23 19:47:15	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	No	SELL	3,334	15¢	$514	0x89a73f…
05-21 20:33:36	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,489	27¢	$402	0x287e5b…
05-21 20:33:08	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	No	BUY	3,334	27¢	$900	0xf6b1b5…
05-16 22:53:57	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,051	0¢	$1	0x94c5c3…
05-16 22:50:50	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	454	2¢	$10	0x9930d6…
05-16 22:49:40	Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	5,000	0¢	$10	0x09f9c1…
05-16 22:49:06	Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x9374f3…
05-16 22:26:34	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,051	5¢	$50	0x4e268e…
05-16 22:20:38	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	228	44¢	$100	0xdc6427…
05-16 22:16:54	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,144	17¢	$200	0x267a9e…
04-24 14:14:20	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	4,813	55¢	$2,655	0x0b2ca8…
04-23 19:50:02	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	SELL	928	100¢	$926	0x16c08c…
04-22 16:46:58	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	928	81¢	$750	0x94427c…
04-22 07:44:52	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	1,684	59¢	$1,000	0x4c3e40…
04-22 07:32:22	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	SELL	1,777	98¢	$1,750	0x314ae6…
04-21 21:13:10	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	BUY	1,777	60¢	$1,074	0xe2dfb2…
04-21 20:26:32	Houthis successfully target shipping by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1,258	13¢	$158	0x4552d3…
04-21 20:15:50	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	SELL	8,987	10¢	$916	0x10468d…
04-21 17:25:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?	Yes	BUY	1,741	82¢	$1,430	0x963bf5…
04-21 17:24:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	1,699	59¢	$1,000	0x04cbd2…
04-21 17:08:52	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	9,829	1¢	$50	0x612e13…
04-21 14:10:32	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5,821	26¢	$1,500	0x9de531…
04-20 20:39:22	Houthis successfully target shipping by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,258	16¢	$200	0x314ed9…
04-19 19:51:30	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	BUY	8,987	46¢	$4,100	0xac009c…
04-13 20:12:43	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	5,870	16¢	$932	0xa5e452…
04-13 12:17:31	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	5,870	51¢	$3,000	0x1d82ca…
04-07 23:22:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	2,742	63¢	$1,723	0x4f049a…
04-07 22:57:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	Yes	BUY	1,651	91¢	$1,501	0x026dae…
04-07 22:55:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	SELL	1,898	30¢	$574	0x3e35d4…
04-07 22:48:03	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	SELL	8,147	8¢	$637	0xbc0e2e…
04-07 22:46:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	SELL	3,956	12¢	$473	0xae7f56…
04-07 12:38:09	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,844	25¢	$460	0xc6c991…
04-06 17:12:23	will trump say iran or iranian 15 times during monday news conference	Yes	BUY	460	82¢	$376	0x47aec8…
04-06 17:08:15	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5,931	25¢	$1,500	0x7966f0…
04-05 21:48:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x48a8a3…
04-05 21:36:39	will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 30 april 5	Yes	BUY	1,156	86¢	$1,000	0x48beb6…
04-05 21:34:45	will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 30 april 5	Yes	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x9a1ff6…
04-05 21:34:45	will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 30 april 5	Yes	BUY	70	84¢	$59	0x2b2687…
04-05 21:24:31	will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 30 april 5	Yes	BUY	18	80¢	$15	0xd1b03d…
04-05 21:24:21	will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 30 april 5	Yes	BUY	317	80¢	$254	0x6f9332…
04-05 21:23:33	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2,216	23¢	$500	0x9c8c88…
04-05 20:54:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	1,914	78¢	$1,500	0xb3e4a7…
04-05 20:54:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	BUY	4,038	50¢	$2,000	0xc990f7…
03-29 13:42:50	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	765	71¢	$543	0x6d631d…
03-28 17:08:33	houthi strike on israel by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	4,566	64¢	$2,922	0x2fd8c8…
03-28 10:16:03	houthi strike on israel by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	29	59¢	$17	0x965d30…
03-28 10:16:01	houthi strike on israel by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	800	59¢	$472	0x1186af…
03-28 10:12:53	houthi strike on israel by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x7164c1…
03-28 10:12:47	houthi strike on israel by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0xad5f15…
03-28 10:02:35	houthi strike on israel by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	146	59¢	$86	0x55f4e1…
03-28 09:43:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 09:40 UTC	Up	BUY	170	59¢	$100	0xb078bb…
03-28 09:40:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 09:35 UTC	Up	BUY	485	21¢	$100	0xd85e83…
03-28 09:35:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 09:35 UTC	Up	BUY	187	54¢	$100	0x391083…
03-28 09:31:47	houthi strike on israel by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x58676b…
03-28 08:49:37	houthi strike on israel by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	1,656	60¢	$1,000	0x7e8c6f…
03-27 17:10:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 17:10 UTC	Up	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0x62f77d…
03-27 17:06:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 17:05 UTC	Up	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0xc331e6…
03-27 13:33:05	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	141	4¢	$5	0xf01d98…
03-27 13:27:15	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 28 2026 174	Yes	BUY	543	92¢	$500	0x59d2cb…
03-27 13:21:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 13:20 UTC	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x74211d…
03-27 06:14:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 06:10 UTC	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x0c0316…
03-27 06:07:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 06:05 UTC	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x6c8366…