Bowed-Holiday — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$127

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.8%

Resolved

151

Trades

290

lifetime

Volume

$1.46K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-26

last 10-11 12:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Crypto

74% 45% -$52

Other

19% 17% -$48

Sports

7% 25% -$26

Politics

1% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 08:25 UTC	8	$58	64	63	+1	Up	+$18	03-28 08:30
highest temperature in shanghai on march 27 2026 19c	2	$53	52	52	+0	Yes	+$51	03-27 10:37
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$40	385	385	+0	No	$0	06-13 03:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	6	$37	80	80	+0	Down	+$7	05-30 11:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 06:35 UTC	6	$36	54	53	+1	Down	+$4	03-28 06:39
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 10?	3	$32	27	27	+0	Yes	+$22	10-10 07:35
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$30	168	0	+168	No	-$30	05-23 05:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	4	$24	21	21	+0	Up	+$4	05-30 10:45
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 09:30 UTC	4	$24	29	29	+0	Down	+$4	03-28 09:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	4	$24	25	25	+0	Down	+$4	05-30 12:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 07:20 UTC	2	$23	19	18	+0	Down	+$13	03-28 07:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 06:00 UTC	2	$23	19	18	+0	Down	+$13	03-28 06:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 08:10 UTC	3	$22	19	12	+7	Up	+$2	03-28 08:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	4	$22	27	27	+0	Down	+$2	05-30 11:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 07:30 UTC	4	$21	36	36	+0	Down	-$1	03-28 07:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 07:55 UTC	2	$21	50	49	+1	Up	-$19	03-28 07:59
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 10:00 UTC	4	$20	24	24	+0	Up	+$0	03-28 10:02
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 08:30 UTC	2	$19	14	14	+0	Down	+$9	03-28 08:35
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	2	$19	53	53	+0	No	-$1	03-28 09:40
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$19	32	0	+32	Yes	+$13	06-13 03:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 07:40 UTC	6	$18	15	15	+0	Up	+$6	03-28 07:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 05:30 UTC	2	$17	24	23	+0	Up	-$3	03-28 05:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 05:45 UTC	3	$17	515	15	+500	Down	-$3	03-28 05:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-28 09:45 UTC	4	$17	47	46	+0	Up	-$4	03-28 09:59
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 09:35 UTC	4	$16	20	20	+0	Down	-$4	03-28 09:39
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 08:05 UTC	3	$16	77	15	+62	Down	-$4	03-28 08:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 09:45 UTC	3	$16	20	6	+15	Down	-$4	03-28 09:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-28 08:45 UTC	3	$15	50	14	+36	Down	-$4	03-28 08:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 08:35 UTC	2	$14	14	14	+0	Down	+$5	03-28 08:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 06:20 UTC	2	$14	12	12	+0	Down	+$4	03-28 06:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-11 12:10:40	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 12?	No	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x7ec505…
10-11 06:33:54	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 11?	No	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x4960ab…
10-11 06:27:56	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x5650a1…
10-11 05:44:51	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	38	3¢	$1	0x6538d3…
10-11 03:15:47	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xc93feb…
10-11 03:05:32	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	91	4¢	$4	0x2bbe0e…
10-10 11:09:03	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xea29e0…
10-10 07:35:06	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 10?	Yes	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0xc8d0ab…
10-09 16:01:29	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xacdf45…
10-09 15:52:57	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	21	18¢	$4	0xf6e02b…
10-09 15:47:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0x7cad1d…
09-19 07:00:24	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 19?	Yes	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0xa05715…
09-19 05:42:52	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xfc4e5f…
08-01 04:38:41	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on August 1?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xbf8a76…
07-28 00:57:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$0	0xc168fb…
07-27 15:38:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x90479d…
07-27 15:16:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x0c5997…
07-16 16:25:41	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	68	7¢	$5	0x226fdf…
07-13 01:50:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x54b7f8…
07-13 01:40:35	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x3e59dd…
07-11 14:04:47	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	32	14¢	$5	0x3b41ae…
07-05 13:36:29	Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Norway?	Yes	BUY	104	8¢	$8	0x1dfd57…
07-05 01:56:53	Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Norway?	Yes	BUY	108	4¢	$4	0x073d88…
07-05 01:55:32	Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Norway?	Yes	BUY	110	7¢	$8	0xa1a157…
07-05 01:49:34	Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 3 Norway?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x0a1a8b…
06-26 23:52:53	Exact Score: Uruguay 2 - 2 Spain?	Yes	BUY	64	5¢	$3	0x0d818f…
06-26 23:49:31	Exact Score: Uruguay 3 - 3 Spain?	Yes	BUY	556	1¢	$5	0x05b4ba…
06-25 11:25:52	Exact Score: Japan 0 - 0 Sweden?	Yes	BUY	114	7¢	$8	0x124162…
06-25 00:12:46	Mexico to score first vs. Czechia?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xe98454…
06-14 06:47:25	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 btts first half	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x78c60e…
06-14 04:41:51	Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x86275f…
06-13 06:57:51	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xe2fd69…
06-13 06:55:15	fifwc aus tur 2026 06 14 first half total 0pt5	Under	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xc968a9…
06-13 03:33:04	Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	32	60¢	$19	0x1ca58c…
06-13 03:25:25	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	385	5¢	$20	0xdfc6d9…
06-10 15:10:33	Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	22	36¢	$8	0xbd8949…
05-30 12:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	11	65¢	$7	0x082822…
05-30 12:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x85dea8…
05-30 12:01:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	15	46¢	$7	0xf43b61…
05-30 12:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xb6e008…
05-30 11:43:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	14	17¢	$2	0xfd48ac…
05-30 11:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xef681a…
05-30 11:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	11	3¢	$0	0xa15c4f…
05-30 11:35:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x2523b1…
05-30 11:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	12	46¢	$6	0xe06125…
05-30 11:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x3675f5…
05-30 11:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	12	49¢	$6	0x81406a…
05-30 11:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x09d875…
05-30 11:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	15	40¢	$6	0x3fd089…
05-30 11:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x72ac47…
05-30 11:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	12	55¢	$6	0xa0b135…
05-30 11:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xe4a57b…
05-30 11:17:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0xa31e26…
05-30 11:17:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x81d2c6…
05-30 11:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	15	49¢	$7	0x648281…
05-30 11:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x389534…
05-30 11:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xd1dd3a…
05-30 11:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x35cb38…
05-30 11:03:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	36	25¢	$9	0x3f9af6…
05-30 11:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x655c12…
05-30 11:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	19	33¢	$6	0xba656e…
05-30 11:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x38b694…
05-30 11:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	25	26¢	$6	0xb9c30f…
05-30 11:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x4437ce…
05-30 10:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	26¢	$1	0x83fcce…
05-30 10:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xaf0704…
05-30 10:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x159b22…
05-30 10:50:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb0c92b…
05-30 10:47:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x971042…
05-30 10:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xd7f175…
05-30 10:43:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xf0867b…
05-30 10:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	13	44¢	$6	0xaf7f97…
05-30 10:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xb749cd…
05-30 10:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xdbd2ff…
05-30 10:38:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	7	49¢	$3	0x10c179…
05-30 10:36:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x43404a…
05-30 10:33:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	96	5¢	$5	0xf4c691…
05-30 10:25:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xd3da2f…
05-30 10:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	7	89¢	$6	0xfbf5fe…
05-30 10:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x2bc084…
05-30 10:18:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xe5f8f9…
05-30 10:17:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	10	53¢	$6	0x53c0e6…
05-30 10:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x06925b…
05-23 05:08:57	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	385	5¢	$20	0x96ce5e…
05-23 05:07:00	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	168	18¢	$30	0x542d22…
04-24 15:43:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0xfa7a49…
04-24 15:43:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x40033a…
04-24 15:36:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 15:35 UTC	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x09331a…
04-24 15:35:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 15:35 UTC	Up	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0x249d15…
04-24 15:35:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 15:35 UTC	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xddef80…
04-24 15:34:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 15:30 UTC	Up	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xe1d244…
04-24 15:31:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xbd0f57…
04-24 15:31:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 15:30 UTC	Down	SELL	3	52¢	$1	0x0708bd…
04-24 15:30:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xc04adb…
04-24 15:25:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 15:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x77ee19…
04-24 15:25:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 15:20 UTC	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x978a11…
04-24 15:21:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 15:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x06a9f2…
04-24 15:20:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 15:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x19d734…
04-24 15:19:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd9cbd9…
04-24 15:16:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 15:15 UTC	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xaa2ffc…