Physical-Bottling — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.59K

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

49.7%

Resolved

1,747

Trades

3,280

lifetime

Volume

$31.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$18

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-24 16:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 198 days

Categories

Other

58% 39% -$64

Sports

18% 44% -$1,106

Crypto

12% 54% -$181

Politics

9% 38% +$33

Tech

1% 15% -$148

Pop-Culture

1% 33% -$122

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-24).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes		-18	-$16	96¢	$-18	-$2	06-05 14:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
dota2 aur1 z10 2026 02 09	9	$577	736	348	+388	Aurora	-$141	02-09 18:25
highest temperature in dallas on april 12 2026 74forhigher	2	$412	389	389	+0	No	-$348	04-12 21:54
highest temperature in nyc on february 9 2026 30 31f	2	$369	400	0	+400	Yes	+$31	02-09 21:34
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	4	$295	301	201	+100	No	+$67	04-27 13:47
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	11	$276	27,803	117	+27,686	No	-$43	06-03 22:17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	6	$275	255	155	+100	No	+$21	05-31 21:20
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	3	$274	164	164	+0	Yes	+$50	04-23 20:30
will chlo zhao be nominated for best director at the 98th academy awards	3	$269	402	0	+402	Yes	+$133	01-05 15:06
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	5	$226	649	0	+649	Yes	+$423	01-27 14:06
will stellan skarsgrd win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	3	$195	333	0	+333	No	-$195	03-06 14:23
will crazy be said 15 times on the first joe rogan experience episode of the week march 29	1	$188	212	0	+212	Yes	+$24	03-23 14:13
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	4	$181	233	160	+73	Yes	+$6	04-09 18:30
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 22?	2	$174	102	102	+0	No	+$26	06-22 19:57
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 71°F or below on April 28?	2	$171	110	110	+0	Yes	-$5	04-28 18:17
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?	2	$170	105	105	+0	No	+$34	05-04 20:59
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	2	$149	100	100	+0	No	+$49	04-27 13:28
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	2	$148	101	101	+0	Yes	+$10	06-03 15:14
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 26?	3	$148	103	103	+0	Yes	+$49	06-26 22:27
will giannis antetokounmpo not be traded	3	$143	200	100	+100	Yes	+$41	02-01 15:42
will yngvill kolset haga avy kaufman sentimental value be nominated for achievement in casting at the 98th academy awards	3	$127	269	0	+269	No	-$127	01-11 05:29
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	3	$126	469	444	+25	Yes	+$90	05-19 18:36
Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?	2	$124	101	101	+0	Yes	+$67	04-23 20:31
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	5	$124	5,269	0	+5,269	No	-$124	05-18 16:51
cs2 bcg faze 2026 02 02	2	$121	139	0	+139	FaZe	+$18	02-02 16:45
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	5	$119	5,481	0	+5,481	No	-$119	05-18 16:51
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$118	5,177	0	+5,177	No	-$118	05-17 19:50
will j balvin perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	2	$113	153	0	+153	No	+$39	02-08 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	30	$111	150	0	+150	Down	+$11	05-06 14:03
nba sas gsw 2026 02 11 points pat spencer 13pt5	1	$111	218	0	+218	No	-$111	02-12 02:32
dota2 ic ngx 2026 02 04	3	$110	142	42	+100	Inner Circle	+$3	02-04 18:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-24 16:35:46	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 24?	Yes	BUY	13	47¢	$6	0x49ca0b…
07-23 15:33:46	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on July 23?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xe7ef61…
07-23 15:30:51	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on July 23?	Yes	BUY	8	42¢	$3	0xb30bb8…
07-23 15:29:04	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 23?	Yes	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0xb62f08…
07-22 20:43:21	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 22?	Yes	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x8c76fc…
07-22 19:32:42	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on July 22?	Yes	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x81eba9…
07-22 19:26:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 19:25 UTC	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x2344f3…
07-22 19:22:40	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 22?	Yes	BUY	10	55¢	$5	0xb682b6…
07-22 16:08:36	cs2 hotu gl1 2026 07 22	GamerLegion	BUY	8	46¢	$3	0x7fccf9…
07-22 15:43:16	cs2 nip 100t 2026 07 22	NIP	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0x6b7999…
07-22 15:34:30	cs2 nip 100t 2026 07 22	NIP	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0x83fdfc…
07-22 15:29:24	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 22?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x024fac…
07-22 14:49:33	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on July 22?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xf00a1e…
07-22 14:47:21	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 22?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xd30d21…
07-22 14:45:27	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 22?	Yes	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0xffddfd…
07-21 20:07:49	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x67a6e5…
07-21 20:07:06	Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on July 21?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6d2ee6…
07-21 20:06:54	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 21?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xd5c026…
07-21 19:47:03	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on July 21?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x658caf…
07-21 18:05:58	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 21?	Yes	BUY	6	63¢	$3	0x6f3bb0…
07-21 16:20:33	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on July 21?	Yes	BUY	8	43¢	$3	0x34ad13…
07-21 16:15:28	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 21?	Yes	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x493345…
07-20 21:27:12	Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x9a3700…
07-20 21:25:13	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x2d11aa…
07-20 21:16:40	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x6a21c6…
07-20 21:15:49	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 20?	Yes	SELL	16	96¢	$15	0x58369b…
07-20 18:45:03	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	16	55¢	$9	0x00be5e…
07-20 18:44:27	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 20?	Yes	SELL	11	80¢	$9	0x482af2…
07-20 18:44:03	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on July 20?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x99eec0…
07-20 15:46:24	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x7a621a…
07-20 15:45:43	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 20?	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xc5d4da…
07-20 13:36:54	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 20?	Yes	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0xec50c3…
07-20 12:28:01	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 20?	Yes	BUY	11	51¢	$5	0x56f427…
07-20 12:25:37	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x651287…
07-19 23:31:13	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	113	3¢	$3	0xe3e35d…
07-19 23:30:48	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	107	3¢	$3	0xf35749…
07-19 23:27:03	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xc8ad37…
07-19 23:26:07	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	10	54¢	$6	0x52de87…
07-19 23:25:01	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0x28e415…
07-19 23:23:24	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	37	2¢	$1	0x69a881…
07-19 23:22:28	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on July 19?	Yes	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x0f2f0d…
07-19 23:21:40	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	90	2¢	$2	0x1d1cf4…
07-19 23:21:22	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x9be1e6…
07-19 23:21:07	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x75fbba…
07-19 23:21:03	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0xc0b6eb…
07-19 23:20:58	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x3abe78…
07-19 23:20:57	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xdd631a…
07-19 23:20:57	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x3d8acc…
07-19 18:58:42	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 19?	Yes	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0x537b90…
07-19 16:25:25	Will Si Woo Kim win the 2026 The Open Championship?	Yes	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0x31116b…
07-19 16:13:25	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 19?	Yes	SELL	17	8¢	$1	0xec283c…
07-19 15:34:45	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on July 19?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x524f99…
07-19 14:56:06	Will Si Woo Kim win the 2026 The Open Championship?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xb6c566…
07-19 14:52:07	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on July 19?	Yes	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x1fa978…
07-19 14:51:06	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xde252a…
07-19 14:49:21	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 19?	Yes	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x3dca07…
07-19 14:48:28	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 19?	Yes	BUY	17	31¢	$5	0x1a4ef6…
07-18 21:03:19	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	6	61¢	$3	0x896b6d…
07-18 21:02:09	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	8	44¢	$3	0xc05597…
07-18 20:45:40	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	63	24¢	$15	0x27f6a4…
07-18 20:13:36	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 18?	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0xdb8d84…
07-18 20:10:18	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 18?	Yes	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xa4cee9…
07-18 20:08:34	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 18?	Yes	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x91c1b9…
07-18 18:16:01	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 18?	Yes	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x0b4153…
07-18 18:00:22	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 18?	Yes	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x7fcb36…
07-18 16:04:48	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 18?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x24488a…
07-18 15:44:54	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on July 18?	Yes	BUY	16	56¢	$9	0x9d0cf1…
07-18 15:34:25	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 18?	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0xe21b28…
07-18 15:10:12	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on July 18?	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x2b17c0…
07-18 14:23:39	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 18?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x3e00ac…
07-18 14:22:40	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 18?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xe81d0a…
07-18 14:21:43	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on July 18?	Yes	BUY	10	54¢	$6	0xbac331…
07-18 14:20:57	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 18?	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xa2943d…
07-18 14:20:03	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 18?	Yes	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xa496ec…
07-18 14:18:49	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 18?	Yes	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x1082fb…
07-18 14:18:39	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 18?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xee3d9d…
07-18 14:07:27	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 18?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xa242e4…
07-18 14:06:58	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xaeb6cf…
07-18 14:06:49	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Day Box Office be at least 48m?	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x5e0608…
07-18 12:45:33	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 18?	Yes	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0x6830d3…
07-18 12:45:25	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 18?	Yes	SELL	9	12¢	$1	0xf678df…
07-18 02:16:57	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	No	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x2dc230…
07-17 23:53:58	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 18?	Yes	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0x94b762…
07-17 23:52:30	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 17?	Yes	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0x4d470a…
07-17 23:14:46	mlb lad nyy 2026 07 17	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x57114d…
07-17 23:11:25	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	No	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xba947a…
07-17 23:09:49	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x5f1535…
07-17 23:09:18	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	24	11¢	$3	0x705ef9…
07-17 23:07:43	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 17?	Yes	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x9810a0…
07-17 23:06:21	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xa878ad…
07-17 23:05:52	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x9e315b…
07-17 23:05:30	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xfb785c…
07-17 23:04:54	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	12	29¢	$3	0xab3cc5…
07-17 11:58:45	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 17?	Yes	SELL	2	12¢	$0	0xbb4c8b…
07-17 11:58:42	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 17?	Yes	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0xb6baf1…
07-17 11:58:39	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 17?	Yes	SELL	0	18¢	$0	0x60c0ca…
07-17 00:55:28	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 17?	Yes	SELL	10	25¢	$3	0x2e29a9…
07-16 23:44:08	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 17?	Yes	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0xd28996…
07-16 23:23:58	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x445905…
07-16 23:23:40	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$7	0xd6a55f…