Physical-Bottling — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

20.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$161

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$108

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 19:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

84% — —

Crypto

16% 14% $-8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets (4)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?	No		-105	$-102	98¢	$-102	+$0	05-04 20:59
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes		+106	$5	6¢	$6	+$1	05-05 13:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?	1	$102	0	105	-105	open	—	05-04 20:59
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 5?	1	$19	48	0	+48	open	—	05-04 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	2	$12	12	0	+12	open	—	05-05 19:54
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 5?	1	$9	52	0	+52	open	—	05-04 21:39
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	1	$5	106	0	+106	open	—	05-05 13:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	1	$4	6	0	+6	Down	$-4	05-05 02:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	Down	$-3	05-05 03:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	Up	+$3	05-05 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	6	$1	135	0	+135	Down	$-1	05-04 22:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	2	$1	111	0	+111	Down	$-1	05-04 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$1	6	0	+6	Up	$-1	05-05 02:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	1	$1	52	0	+52	Up	$-1	05-05 03:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 19:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x8097ac…
05-05 19:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x4507e5…
05-05 13:11:42	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	106	5¢	$5	0x6f7e5c…
05-05 03:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	52	1¢	$1	0x86db51…
05-05 03:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x5a8d43…
05-05 02:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x30f12e…
05-05 02:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0xf9e2a4…
05-05 01:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x22e8ac…
05-04 22:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x9ec03e…
05-04 22:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xb2e48b…
05-04 22:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	105	1¢	$1	0xe54521…
05-04 22:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x36dad0…
05-04 22:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x5c754e…
05-04 22:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x102456…
05-04 22:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	105	1¢	$1	0x2ff3c3…
05-04 22:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x8b02d3…
05-04 21:39:52	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	52	17¢	$9	0x6af4f3…
05-04 21:39:34	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	48	39¢	$19	0x9dfc36…
05-04 20:59:50	Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	105	98¢	$102	0xce28b9…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	7	$1.72K	30	05-05 19:54
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	4	$844	21	05-05 19:54
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	4	$566	7	05-05 19:54
Slow-Minute 0xdf0d…9f79	3	$5.29K	4	05-05 19:54