Dependent-Picturesque — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

45.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.05K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

$70

1 position

First seen

2026-01-10

last 06-30 01:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

65% 50% $-0

Politics

20% — —

Crypto

8% — —

Tech

6% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Allegiant announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No		-72	$-70	96¢	$-70	+$0	06-03 01:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $495 in May?	2	$140	71	71	+0	open	—	05-25 02:13
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?	2	$119	61	61	+0	open	—	06-10 01:43
GTA VI released before June 2026?	4	$102	53	53	+0	open	—	04-14 01:55
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	2	$80	41	41	+0	open	—	06-30 01:38
Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	2	$80	41	41	+0	open	—	04-24 02:10
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	1	$71	0	72	-72	open	—	05-13 02:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 20?	1	$70	72	0	+72	open	—	05-15 01:57
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$70	35	35	+0	open	—	04-27 02:06
Will Allegiant announce bankruptcy by December 31?	1	$70	0	72	-72	open	—	06-03 01:44
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 380 399	2	$64	32	32	+0	open	—	04-09 01:54
will the indian union muslim league iuml win the most seats in the 2026 kerala legislative assembly election	2	$62	31	31	+0	open	—	04-05 13:33
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	2	$60	31	31	+0	open	—	04-27 02:06
Will Malta be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	2	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	04-16 11:07
will elon musks net worth be less than 630b on february 28	2	$51	26	26	+0	open	—	02-28 02:00
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	2	$51	26	26	+0	open	—	02-20 02:32
will trump cut off trade with spain	2	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	03-31 16:24
Will San Marino be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$50	26	26	+0	No	$-0	04-12 13:44
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 460 479	2	$49	25	25	+0	open	—	04-07 14:07
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$45	23	23	+0	open	—	04-12 13:44
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$42	21	21	+0	No	+$0	04-12 13:44
will the 10 year treasury yield hit 4pt4 by march 31	2	$42	22	22	+0	open	—	03-05 01:36
will the 10 year treasury yield hit 4pt6 by march 31	2	$41	22	22	+0	open	—	03-29 11:55
will antnio jos seguro win the second round by at least 35	2	$41	21	21	+0	open	—	02-10 01:38
nikita bier out as head of product at x by march 31	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	03-31 16:23
will annual inflation increase by 2pt6 in march 845	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	03-31 16:24
Will Jonathan Young win Survivor Season 50?	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	04-16 11:08
will anthropic have the best ai model for coding on march 31	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	03-31 16:24
will trump say taco or trump always chickens out this week april 19	1	$35	35	0	+35	open	—	04-20 01:45
will dogecoin dip to 0pt05 in march 2026	2	$35	17	17	+0	open	—	03-29 11:55
elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 0 39	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	04-05 13:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 01:38:38	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	No	SELL	41	99¢	$40	0x1af4ab…
06-17 01:48:23	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	No	BUY	41	99¢	$40	0x4fae6b…
06-10 01:43:33	Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?	No	SELL	61	96¢	$59	0x15847e…
06-03 01:45:18	Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?	No	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0x6e59e3…
06-03 01:44:42	Will Allegiant announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	SELL	72	96¢	$70	0xebe8af…
05-25 02:13:44	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $495 in May?	No	SELL	71	99¢	$70	0x174804…
05-24 01:56:56	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $495 in May?	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0x20bbf8…
05-15 01:57:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	72	98¢	$70	0x83403d…
05-13 02:04:10	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	No	SELL	72	98¢	$71	0xe34cad…
04-27 02:06:50	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	31	99¢	$30	0xfcf8d6…
04-27 02:06:44	Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0xa7dd94…
04-25 15:27:10	Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x75804b…
04-25 15:26:42	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xa7a17a…
04-24 02:10:56	Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	41	98¢	$40	0x98d4ef…
04-22 02:02:54	Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0xafeea9…
04-20 01:45:00	will trump say taco or trump always chickens out this week april 19	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x6258d5…
04-16 11:09:46	Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 20, 2026?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x25dc2d…
04-16 11:08:06	Will Jonathan Young win Survivor Season 50?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0xc5fc86…
04-16 11:07:58	Will Malta be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xd1f179…
04-14 01:55:49	open above 7pt5 on april 17 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x7cb7df…
04-14 01:55:37	Will Jonathan Young win Survivor Season 50?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x9a4ba5…
04-14 01:55:23	Will Malta be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x86055b…
04-14 01:55:01	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	SELL	26	98¢	$26	0x58c105…
04-12 13:45:03	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$26	0xf488a3…
04-12 13:44:29	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x6f4dd0…
04-12 13:44:21	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	23	96¢	$22	0xd6e016…
04-12 13:44:15	Will San Marino be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	26	96¢	$25	0xcacac0…
04-09 01:55:33	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x4473be…
04-09 01:55:03	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0xdc6ac8…
04-09 01:54:49	Will San Marino be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xee1818…
04-09 01:54:31	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 380 399	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x2847ec…
04-09 01:54:15	Will Leandro Rocha win Big Brother Brasil 26?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x957225…
04-07 14:09:09	Will Leandro Rocha win Big Brother Brasil 26?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x201277…
04-07 14:07:35	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 460 479	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xaf7464…
04-05 13:34:11	elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 0 39	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x1c66ef…
04-05 13:33:57	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 380 399	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0xec79e2…
04-05 13:33:43	will the indian union muslim league iuml win the most seats in the 2026 kerala legislative assembly election	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x0a379f…
04-02 02:33:53	will the indian union muslim league iuml win the most seats in the 2026 kerala legislative assembly election	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xa8db47…
04-02 02:33:33	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 460 479	No	BUY	25	99¢	$24	0x11209c…
03-31 16:24:47	will trump cut off trade with spain	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x88b1f5…
03-31 16:24:37	will trump cut off trade with spain	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xbf4b34…
03-31 16:24:09	will anthropic have the best ai model for coding on march 31	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xe03491…
03-31 16:24:01	will annual inflation increase by 2pt6 in march 845	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x595588…
03-31 16:23:55	nikita bier out as head of product at x by march 31	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xc0ee2a…
03-29 11:56:38	will anthropic have the best ai model for coding on march 31	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x9db147…
03-29 11:56:24	nikita bier out as head of product at x by march 31	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8f0fa6…
03-29 11:56:10	will annual inflation increase by 2pt6 in march 845	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe30996…
03-29 11:55:46	will dogecoin dip to 0pt05 in march 2026	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xe861f3…
03-29 11:55:40	will the 10 year treasury yield hit 4pt6 by march 31	No	SELL	22	94¢	$20	0xda1553…
03-25 15:49:15	will dogecoin dip to 0pt05 in march 2026	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x3e31c8…
03-25 15:48:53	will the 10 year treasury yield hit 4pt6 by march 31	No	BUY	22	98¢	$21	0xa1c53e…
03-18 10:50:11	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	27	95¢	$26	0xe47a65…
03-11 15:39:13	will man i need by olivia dean be the billboard 1 song for the week of march 21	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x0d6cc7…
03-11 15:38:57	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by march 13 158 957	No	BUY	24	98¢	$23	0x719f68…
03-05 01:37:53	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 7th	No	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0xad9b7b…
03-05 01:37:13	tsla above 380 on march 6 2026	Yes	BUY	25	95¢	$23	0xb03bed…
03-05 01:36:55	will the 10 year treasury yield hit 4pt4 by march 31	No	SELL	22	97¢	$21	0xb0160b…
02-28 02:01:07	will the 10 year treasury yield hit 4pt4 by march 31	No	BUY	22	98¢	$21	0xaa59f4…
02-28 02:00:41	will elon musks net worth be less than 630b on february 28	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x5c7cbd…
02-20 02:34:00	will elon musks net worth be less than 630b on february 28	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x3af193…
02-20 02:33:44	will player 167 win beast games season 2 763	Yes	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x06f31a…
02-20 02:33:16	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	SELL	26	97¢	$25	0x211bd8…
02-20 02:32:16	Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	Yes	SELL	26	99¢	$25	0xa7cdb5…
02-10 01:40:19	Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	Yes	BUY	26	99¢	$25	0xb98c82…
02-10 01:39:07	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x0cd1d0…
02-10 01:38:43	will antnio jos seguro win the second round by at least 35	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x96f334…
02-02 02:48:52	will antnio jos seguro win the second round by at least 35	No	BUY	21	98¢	$20	0x6f5e51…
01-23 01:53:00	will bitcoin reach 104k january 19 25	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x03412a…
01-23 01:52:28	will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x9d3544…
01-18 13:48:46	will israel strike lebanon on january 17 2026	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x41fc5f…
01-10 02:55:20	us strikes iran by january 11 2026 946	No	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0xffa4aa…