Clueless-Ferret — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

45.6%

Resolved

Trades

704

lifetime

Volume

$9.40K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-21 07:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

47% 100% +$8

Politics

45% 0% $-2

Sports

6% — —

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?	Yes		+34	$5	4¢	$1	$-4	06-07 19:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	47	$1.9K	2,327	2,939	-612	open	—	01-06 21:25
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	29	$738	3,140	2,263	+877	open	—	01-14 10:26
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	17	$505	419	419	+0	open	—	02-28 06:52
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 300 319	12	$440	469	500	-31	open	—	04-13 17:08
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	4	$325	200	200	+0	open	—	03-30 13:09
highest temperature in london on april 18 2026 18c	9	$227	125	175	-50	open	—	04-18 10:58
highest temperature in london on march 30 2026 13c	5	$190	101	101	+0	open	—	03-30 14:56
will lus marques mendes win the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$188	200	200	+0	open	—	01-08 13:05
spx opens up or down on april 1 2026	2	$167	100	100	+0	open	—	04-01 08:19
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 320 339	4	$157	250	247	+3	open	—	04-13 18:00
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	13	$148	125	125	+0	open	—	04-18 09:53
highest temperature in london on april 5 2026 13c	13	$145	85	100	-15	open	—	04-05 10:09
Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?	9	$144	137	198	-61	open	—	04-14 04:08
nba dal sas 2026 04 10	20	$143	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	04-10 21:00
will prodzy win the legend trade series	3	$137	50	100	-50	open	—	04-13 18:44
will jim parillo win the legend trade series	4	$130	50	100	-50	open	—	04-13 20:58
Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?	15	$126	359	394	-35	open	—	01-13 15:01
spx opens up or down on march 30 2026	2	$119	100	100	+0	open	—	03-30 08:15
highest temperature in london on april 3 2026 16c	13	$113	100	100	+0	open	—	04-03 09:52
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?	24	$104	120	120	+0	open	—	01-14 04:15
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	5	$102	300	300	+0	open	—	07-12 23:04
highest temperature in london on april 4 2026 15c	3	$100	26	78	-51	open	—	04-04 15:13
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$98	59	59	+0	open	—	04-13 16:00
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	6	$95	261	241	+20	open	—	06-17 11:33
will mrbeasts latest video get between 74 and 75 million views on day 6	4	$80	62	62	+0	open	—	04-09 19:05
us forces in venezuela by january 31 2026	3	$80	40	40	+0	open	—	01-03 12:30
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	2	$72	200	200	+0	open	—	06-08 17:10
Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?	4	$69	211	211	+0	Yes	$-2	04-19 12:25
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	3	$65	63	63	+0	open	—	04-13 16:09
will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	6	$53	40	40	+0	open	—	06-09 13:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 07:37:15	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x78fbac…
07-15 03:04:43	Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xb0c587…
07-14 18:56:31	will clavicular visit china in 2026 20260714153003053	No	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xb885f8…
07-14 18:12:58	will the announcers say possession or on the ball 10 times during the argentina vs switzerland fifa world cup match 20260710214414587 474	No	BUY	21	12¢	$3	0x4bdc27…
07-14 17:51:02	will clavicular visit china in 2026 20260714153003053	Yes	SELL	22	10¢	$2	0xca5b6a…
07-14 17:46:14	will clavicular visit north korea in 2026 20260714153003048	Yes	SELL	18	2¢	$0	0x4b518a…
07-14 17:45:25	will clavicular visit north korea in 2026 20260714153003048	Yes	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0xaa60d8…
07-14 17:43:52	will clavicular visit north korea in 2026 20260714153003048	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xc12c6d…
07-14 17:41:22	will clavicular visit north korea in 2026 20260714153003048	Yes	SELL	4	5¢	$0	0xfb9855…
07-14 17:41:22	will clavicular visit north korea in 2026 20260714153003048	Yes	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0xcf5451…
07-14 17:41:22	will clavicular visit north korea in 2026 20260714153003048	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x4e1d24…
07-14 17:41:22	will clavicular visit north korea in 2026 20260714153003048	Yes	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0x4abd61…
07-14 17:41:22	will clavicular visit north korea in 2026 20260714153003048	Yes	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0x3730d8…
07-14 17:41:22	will clavicular visit north korea in 2026 20260714153003048	Yes	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0x0d06d9…
07-14 17:41:20	will clavicular visit north korea in 2026 20260714153003048	Yes	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0xccac07…
07-14 17:41:20	will clavicular visit north korea in 2026 20260714153003048	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0xada868…
07-14 17:41:20	will clavicular visit north korea in 2026 20260714153003048	Yes	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0xaac019…
07-14 17:41:17	will clavicular visit north korea in 2026 20260714153003048	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xefa6d7…
07-14 17:40:25	will clavicular visit north korea in 2026 20260714153003048	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xba19d0…
07-14 17:19:08	will clavicular visit colombia in 2026 20260714153003046	Yes	SELL	22	9¢	$2	0x447ab9…
07-14 11:27:07	will bts perform at the 2026 fifa world cup final halftime show 20260706143941002	No	SELL	75	1¢	$1	0x94bd84…
07-12 23:04:34	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	180	17¢	$31	0x626537…
07-12 22:26:53	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	80	1¢	$1	0x3edda8…
07-12 22:08:35	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	29	17¢	$5	0x4bdb61…
07-12 21:28:04	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	84	17¢	$14	0x35d9ef…
07-12 21:27:11	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0xd7949b…
07-12 17:22:47	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	300	17¢	$51	0xce9d23…
07-11 19:55:47	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	81	1¢	$1	0x7315a4…
07-11 19:48:59	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0xdb2b1e…
07-11 17:35:14	will the ornn b200 index hit 7pt50 high by december 31 2026 20260709171530827	Yes	SELL	21	31¢	$7	0xf69578…
07-11 15:19:56	will the ornn b200 index hit 7pt50 high by december 31 2026 20260709171530827	Yes	BUY	21	33¢	$7	0xdf4f58…
07-11 03:06:17	abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by july 31 2026 20260709234123316	Yes	BUY	16	5¢	$1	0x7fbf78…
07-11 03:05:29	abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by july 31 2026 20260709234123316	Yes	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x2f5475…
07-10 15:37:08	abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by july 31 2026 20260709234123316	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xda8d83…
07-10 07:15:23	atp fery zverev 2026 07 10	Arthur Fery	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xfc57aa…
07-09 11:44:46	will bts perform at the 2026 fifa world cup final halftime show 20260706143941002	No	BUY	150	1¢	$1	0xc82125…
07-09 09:25:26	Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	74	1¢	$1	0x71dde1…
07-09 09:18:26	Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xaabdb5…
07-09 09:18:26	Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x705856…
07-09 09:15:17	Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x8f952f…
07-09 09:11:11	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	150	20¢	$30	0x6023e8…
07-07 11:15:35	atp sinner struff 2026 07 07 match total 36pt5	Over	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xb77311…
07-07 07:25:38	atp sinner struff 2026 07 07 set totals 4pt5	Over 4.5	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xbf15b5…
07-07 07:25:17	atp sinner struff 2026 07 07	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x7b0678…
06-28 20:58:25	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	BUY	25	23¢	$6	0x0961db…
06-26 21:10:32	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	27	2¢	$1	0x1f4764…
06-26 18:14:31	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	88	2¢	$2	0x2d5214…
06-26 07:23:35	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	85	2¢	$2	0x9cc526…
06-25 16:33:29	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$3	0xde0bc8…
06-17 11:33:28	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xb3b09b…
06-16 07:38:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	60	1¢	$0	0xe1eb3e…
06-15 05:58:54	Will Pitbull perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	SELL	22	3¢	$1	0x745066…
06-15 05:58:42	Will David Guetta perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	SELL	25	5¢	$1	0x2fe92b…
06-13 08:09:16	Will Drake perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	SELL	22	9¢	$2	0x1ea52f…
06-13 08:08:30	Will Karol G perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	SELL	44	10¢	$4	0xc7b99b…
06-13 07:36:40	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	22	13¢	$3	0x13bedf…
06-13 07:06:06	Will David Guetta perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x723430…
06-13 07:02:57	Will Pitbull perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x8d2784…
06-12 19:41:36	Will Drake perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0x2d1c97…
06-12 18:39:40	will south korea go unbeaten in the 2026 fifa world cup group stage 20260612152622422	No	BUY	22	58¢	$13	0x048df6…
06-12 18:32:40	will japan go unbeaten in the 2026 fifa world cup group stage 20260612152622420	No	BUY	22	85¢	$19	0xab4b35…
06-12 17:35:55	Will Karol G perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	22	11¢	$2	0xb77b1d…
06-12 08:34:51	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	SELL	30	31¢	$9	0xe62a13…
06-12 08:30:15	atp perrica bublik 2026 06 12	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xbaff2d…
06-12 07:40:45	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 16	Yes	SELL	8	45¢	$4	0xee166f…
06-12 07:16:01	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x64ff45…
06-12 07:07:06	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 16	Yes	SELL	12	45¢	$5	0x528faf…
06-12 06:47:03	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 16	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x1fa7d9…
06-12 06:43:58	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 17	Yes	SELL	1	46¢	$1	0x8d8294…
06-12 06:41:28	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 17	Yes	BUY	1	46¢	$1	0x65ca80…
06-12 05:55:19	Will Karol G perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	22	18¢	$4	0x1b1245…
06-11 07:04:31	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	SELL	91	30¢	$27	0xf2161f…
06-11 07:00:04	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	BUY	91	30¢	$27	0xbbe40f…
06-10 04:40:46	will kimbal musk be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212489	Yes	SELL	33	11¢	$4	0xcf4f75…
06-09 18:40:45	will antonio gracias be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212487	Yes	SELL	8	27¢	$2	0xc49e00…
06-09 18:36:21	will x a xii be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212476	Yes	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x8b9abd…
06-09 18:25:10	will kimbal musk be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212489	Yes	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0xbcf80d…
06-09 18:03:18	will antonio gracias be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212487	Yes	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0x7f98fd…
06-09 17:42:30	will x a xii be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212476	Yes	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0xede613…
06-09 17:41:34	will antonio gracias be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212487	Yes	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0xb6a2c9…
06-09 17:37:52	will antonio gracias be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212487	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x7b4754…
06-09 17:32:22	will x a xii be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212476	Yes	BUY	40	31¢	$12	0xf27a13…
06-09 17:29:46	will kimbal musk be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212489	Yes	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0x8d80cc…
06-09 17:29:16	will kimbal musk be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212489	Yes	BUY	22	15¢	$3	0x94ad7c…
06-09 17:18:00	will grimes be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212475	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x9eac09…
06-09 17:15:28	will grimes be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212475	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x1c10ff…
06-09 14:52:28	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530	Yes	SELL	34	58¢	$20	0x692a96…
06-09 14:51:04	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530	Yes	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xbf7071…
06-09 14:16:45	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530	Yes	SELL	4	58¢	$2	0x834cdf…
06-09 13:51:12	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	Yes	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xf12d8f…
06-09 13:50:55	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	Yes	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0x79a0b5…
06-09 13:50:19	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	Yes	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0xeb596d…
06-09 08:05:28	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	No	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xcd3899…
06-09 08:05:03	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x605d4c…
06-09 07:55:58	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	No	BUY	17	23¢	$4	0x2012fe…
06-09 07:52:03	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	SELL	150	13¢	$20	0x062f38…
06-09 07:41:55	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	BUY	70	13¢	$9	0x0eff20…
06-09 06:12:24	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	Yes	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x771f7f…
06-09 06:12:21	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	Yes	SELL	0	69¢	$0	0x115e42…
06-09 06:09:42	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530	Yes	BUY	40	58¢	$23	0x5ac7b7…