Clueless-Ferret — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

45.6%

Resolved

Trades

633

lifetime

Volume

$9.11K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-11 07:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

48% 100% +$8

Politics

45% 0% $-2

Sports

5% — —

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?	Yes		+34	$5	12¢	$4	$-1	06-07 19:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	47	$1.9K	2,327	2,939	-612	open	—	01-06 21:25
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	29	$738	3,140	2,263	+877	open	—	01-14 10:26
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	17	$505	419	419	+0	open	—	02-28 06:52
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 300 319	12	$440	469	500	-31	open	—	04-13 17:08
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	4	$325	200	200	+0	open	—	03-30 13:09
highest temperature in london on april 18 2026 18c	9	$227	125	175	-50	open	—	04-18 10:58
highest temperature in london on march 30 2026 13c	5	$190	101	101	+0	open	—	03-30 14:56
will lus marques mendes win the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$188	200	200	+0	open	—	01-08 13:05
spx opens up or down on april 1 2026	2	$167	100	100	+0	open	—	04-01 08:19
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 320 339	4	$157	250	247	+3	open	—	04-13 18:00
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	13	$148	125	125	+0	open	—	04-18 09:53
highest temperature in london on april 5 2026 13c	13	$145	85	100	-15	open	—	04-05 10:09
Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?	9	$144	137	198	-61	open	—	04-14 04:08
nba dal sas 2026 04 10	20	$143	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	04-10 21:00
will prodzy win the legend trade series	3	$137	50	100	-50	open	—	04-13 18:44
will jim parillo win the legend trade series	4	$130	50	100	-50	open	—	04-13 20:58
Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?	15	$126	359	394	-35	open	—	01-13 15:01
spx opens up or down on march 30 2026	2	$119	100	100	+0	open	—	03-30 08:15
highest temperature in london on april 3 2026 16c	13	$113	100	100	+0	open	—	04-03 09:52
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?	24	$104	120	120	+0	open	—	01-14 04:15
highest temperature in london on april 4 2026 15c	3	$100	26	78	-51	open	—	04-04 15:13
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$98	59	59	+0	open	—	04-13 16:00
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	5	$94	241	241	+0	open	—	06-11 07:04
will mrbeasts latest video get between 74 and 75 million views on day 6	4	$80	62	62	+0	open	—	04-09 19:05
us forces in venezuela by january 31 2026	3	$80	40	40	+0	open	—	01-03 12:30
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	2	$72	200	200	+0	open	—	06-08 17:10
Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?	4	$69	211	211	+0	Yes	$-2	04-19 12:25
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	3	$65	63	63	+0	open	—	04-13 16:09
will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	6	$53	40	40	+0	open	—	06-09 13:51
will 20 24 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	3	$50	50	50	+0	open	—	03-30 16:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 07:04:31	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	SELL	91	30¢	$27	0xf2161f…
06-11 07:00:04	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	BUY	91	30¢	$27	0xbbe40f…
06-10 04:40:46	will kimbal musk be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212489	Yes	SELL	33	11¢	$4	0xcf4f75…
06-09 18:40:45	will antonio gracias be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212487	Yes	SELL	8	27¢	$2	0xc49e00…
06-09 18:36:21	will x a xii be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212476	Yes	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x8b9abd…
06-09 18:25:10	will kimbal musk be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212489	Yes	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0xbcf80d…
06-09 18:03:18	will antonio gracias be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212487	Yes	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0x7f98fd…
06-09 17:42:30	will x a xii be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212476	Yes	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0xede613…
06-09 17:41:34	will antonio gracias be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212487	Yes	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0xb6a2c9…
06-09 17:37:52	will antonio gracias be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212487	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x7b4754…
06-09 17:32:22	will x a xii be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212476	Yes	BUY	40	31¢	$12	0xf27a13…
06-09 17:29:46	will kimbal musk be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212489	Yes	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0x8d80cc…
06-09 17:29:16	will kimbal musk be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212489	Yes	BUY	22	15¢	$3	0x94ad7c…
06-09 17:18:00	will grimes be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212475	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x9eac09…
06-09 17:15:28	will grimes be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212475	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x1c10ff…
06-09 14:52:28	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530	Yes	SELL	34	58¢	$20	0x692a96…
06-09 14:51:04	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530	Yes	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xbf7071…
06-09 14:16:45	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530	Yes	SELL	4	58¢	$2	0x834cdf…
06-09 13:51:12	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	Yes	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xf12d8f…
06-09 13:50:55	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	Yes	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0x79a0b5…
06-09 13:50:19	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	Yes	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0xeb596d…
06-09 08:05:28	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	No	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xcd3899…
06-09 08:05:03	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x605d4c…
06-09 07:55:58	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	No	BUY	17	23¢	$4	0x2012fe…
06-09 07:52:03	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	SELL	150	13¢	$20	0x062f38…
06-09 07:41:55	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	BUY	70	13¢	$9	0x0eff20…
06-09 06:12:24	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	Yes	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x771f7f…
06-09 06:12:21	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	Yes	SELL	0	69¢	$0	0x115e42…
06-09 06:09:42	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530	Yes	BUY	40	58¢	$23	0x5ac7b7…
06-09 06:09:30	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	Yes	BUY	40	66¢	$26	0xf0f28d…
06-09 06:06:30	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	BUY	80	14¢	$11	0x0c28e5…
06-08 17:10:06	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	SELL	200	18¢	$36	0xd39010…
06-08 17:09:31	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	BUY	200	18¢	$36	0x815319…
06-07 19:29:04	FDA approves Retatrutide this year?	Yes	BUY	34	15¢	$5	0x5b1883…
06-06 07:07:15	will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score between 1490 and 1500	Yes	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0x669eab…
06-05 14:40:10	fda approves kiniksa regeneron arcalyst 06 19 2026	Yes	SELL	25	82¢	$20	0xa80f8b…
06-05 10:59:03	fda approves gsk spero therapeutics tebipenem hbr 06 18 2026	Yes	SELL	30	70¢	$21	0x57e9fb…
06-05 09:14:30	fda approves kiniksa regeneron arcalyst 06 19 2026	Yes	BUY	25	83¢	$21	0x8e01af…
06-05 08:58:21	fda approves gsk spero therapeutics tebipenem hbr 06 18 2026	Yes	BUY	30	68¢	$20	0x6e184a…
06-04 12:14:33	dota2 flc liquid 2026 06 04	Team Falcons	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x3e3a5a…
05-28 13:05:31	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	35	6¢	$2	0xba46ee…
05-26 05:49:21	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	30	63¢	$19	0x4efb4b…
05-24 06:12:16	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	35	30¢	$11	0x585aa7…
05-24 06:09:58	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x10bfec…
05-23 08:17:28	Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x177527…
05-21 16:11:00	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	91	5¢	$5	0x5660e0…
05-21 15:58:23	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	Team Falcons	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xb8a4a5…
05-21 14:51:12	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	Team Falcons	SELL	19	74¢	$14	0xd28a4d…
05-21 13:42:21	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	Team Falcons	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x47fb9c…
05-21 12:31:05	LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Dplus KIA	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xdc8d5b…
05-21 11:53:23	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B	TheMongolz	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x49b4e0…
05-21 10:13:57	Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	Natus Vincere	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xcdc1dd…
05-20 13:59:11	Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Vici Gaming	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x40ab1f…
05-20 13:22:12	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x376694…
05-20 11:38:34	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x5e5a4a…
05-20 11:30:00	Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	Tundra Esports	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x48060e…
05-20 09:05:48	Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)	T1	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xce7690…
05-20 09:03:31	Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs Virtus.pro (+1.5)	Tundra Esports	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xd5066d…
05-18 06:04:44	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?	No	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xec6e53…
05-12 12:41:47	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Andrey Rublev	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x239fd9…
05-09 15:02:09	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0x9a3a2a…
05-09 13:57:31	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	18	50¢	$9	0x6dcc01…
05-09 13:56:35	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x800f0f…
05-09 13:55:48	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x0b0432…
04-19 12:25:02	Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?	No	SELL	122	15¢	$18	0xb4b7b2…
04-19 11:01:42	FDA approves Sanofi’s Subcutaneous Sarclisa?	Yes	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0x25dcf5…
04-19 04:46:24	Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?	No	SELL	89	17¢	$15	0xc2ac76…
04-18 19:28:02	FDA approves Sanofi’s Subcutaneous Sarclisa?	Yes	SELL	13	79¢	$10	0xcfbe57…
04-18 19:27:28	FDA approves Sanofi’s Subcutaneous Sarclisa?	Yes	SELL	8	79¢	$7	0x8633e8…
04-18 16:44:22	Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?	No	BUY	210	17¢	$36	0x25c33c…
04-18 16:44:00	Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?	No	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x20591a…
04-18 11:20:44	FDA approves Sanofi’s Subcutaneous Sarclisa?	Yes	BUY	28	38¢	$11	0x7535b6…
04-18 10:58:18	highest temperature in london on april 18 2026 18c	No	SELL	100	76¢	$76	0xc08e25…
04-18 10:53:10	highest temperature in london on april 18 2026 18c	No	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0xea154c…
04-18 10:34:24	highest temperature in london on april 18 2026 18c	No	SELL	17	76¢	$13	0x2e2dff…
04-18 10:27:42	highest temperature in london on april 18 2026 18c	No	SELL	13	76¢	$10	0x128db8…
04-18 10:25:06	highest temperature in london on april 18 2026 18c	No	SELL	4	76¢	$3	0x79ced7…
04-18 10:24:26	highest temperature in london on april 18 2026 18c	No	SELL	29	76¢	$22	0x798f36…
04-18 10:22:56	highest temperature in london on april 18 2026 18c	No	SELL	6	76¢	$5	0xd48a79…
04-18 10:19:10	highest temperature in london on april 18 2026 18c	No	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0xf1e011…
04-18 10:17:18	highest temperature in london on april 18 2026 18c	No	BUY	25	74¢	$19	0x065fa6…
04-18 09:56:36	cs2 fal2 ts7 2026 04 18	Team Falcons	BUY	17	61¢	$10	0xea53a2…
04-18 09:53:54	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	Yes	SELL	118	58¢	$68	0x8795e1…
04-18 09:49:00	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	Yes	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0xd3aa85…
04-18 09:49:00	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	Yes	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0x7605b9…
04-18 09:49:00	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	Yes	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x67f1b5…
04-18 09:49:00	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	Yes	SELL	1	63¢	$1	0x677a5d…
04-18 09:49:00	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	Yes	SELL	1	63¢	$0	0x473b78…
04-18 09:49:00	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	Yes	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0x3b5265…
04-18 09:49:00	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	Yes	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0x113ae7…
04-18 09:48:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	Yes	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0xd7ba11…
04-18 09:48:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	Yes	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0xa8affe…
04-18 09:48:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	Yes	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0x2b727d…
04-18 09:45:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	Yes	BUY	19	67¢	$12	0xf92883…
04-18 09:45:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	Yes	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xee06c9…
04-18 09:03:58	highest temperature in london on april 18 2026 17c	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xe441e1…
04-18 08:54:30	highest temperature in london on april 18 2026 17c	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xc75e4f…
04-18 08:25:58	dota2 ts8 vg 2026 04 18 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x8d506f…
04-18 08:25:12	dota2 ts8 vg 2026 04 18 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0x630be6…
04-18 07:43:58	dota2 xtreme navi 2026 04 18 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xe4e467…