Realized P&L
-$424
Unrealized P&L
-$77
Hit rate
74.7%
Resolved
1,748
Trades
3,356
lifetime
Volume
$12.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$154
3 positions
First seen
2026-01-27
last 11-03 20:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 38 days
Categories
Crypto
49% 33% -$386
Other
32% 42% -$35
Politics
19% 74% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +467 $133 15¢ $70 -$63 11-03 20:58
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +200 $58 25¢ $50 -$8 08-25 15:50
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +60 $40 56¢ $34 -$6 09-22 13:39