Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$207

Unrealized P&L

+$27

Hit rate

82.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.61K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$57

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-09 11:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Other

66% 67% -$15

Politics

16% 73% -$219

Tech

9% 33% +$1

Crypto

7% 60% +$0

Sports

3% 60% +$26

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-09).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?	Yes		-56	-$19	12¢	$-7	+$13	05-02 11:48
Discord IPO before 2027?	Yes		-32	-$16	6¢	$-2	+$14	05-14 08:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	3	$1.8K	1,822	23	+1,800	Yes	+$12	01-28 06:49
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?	2	$244	129	129	+0	Yes	+$4	05-18 06:29
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	1	$231	265	0	+265	Yes	-$231	06-05 06:39
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$120	126	0	+126	Yes	+$6	05-18 06:30
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	2	$72	42	42	+0	Yes	-$6	02-01 08:07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$66	82	0	+82	No	+$16	05-25 01:45
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 6 million	2	$63	33	33	+0	Yes	+$3	01-16 01:55
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	1	$52	0	55	-55	Yes	-$3	05-14 08:57
will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	2	$50	27	27	+0	Yes	+$3	03-14 01:57
will ethereum reach 3600 in february 2026	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	02-25 03:40
Cerebras IPO before 2027?	2	$49	29	29	+0	Yes	+$3	03-14 01:57
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	2	$45	31	31	+0	Yes	-$1	05-25 01:45
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	2	$43	26	26	+0	Yes	-$3	05-25 01:45
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?	2	$41	22	22	+0	Yes	+$1	03-30 03:12
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$37	38	0	+38	No	+$1	03-30 03:13
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	2	$36	24	24	+0	Yes	-$8	02-25 03:40
will the new york knicks finish as the 1 seed in the 20252026 nba eastern conference	2	$36	18	18	+0	No	+$0	03-30 03:12
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	1	$36	45	0	+45	Yes	+$9	04-18 05:57
will ethereum reach 3000 in march 2026	2	$35	18	18	+0	No	+$0	03-30 03:12
Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?	2	$33	17	17	+0	No	+$1	05-02 11:48
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?	2	$33	17	17	+0	No	+$1	03-30 03:12
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$32	0	34	-34	Yes	+$32	05-02 11:48
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	1	$27	44	0	+44	Yes	-$27	05-14 09:03
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?	1	$25	0	26	-26	No	$0	05-18 06:29
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	1	$25	29	0	+29	No	+$4	03-30 03:14
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	1	$23	29	0	+29	Yes	+$6	05-18 06:30
us strikes iran by february 5 2026	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	02-04 06:11
will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	1	$20	23	0	+23	No	+$3	04-04 02:58
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?	1	$19	0	56	-56	open	—	05-02 11:48
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	2	$18	15	15	+0	No	-$8	04-06 04:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 11:35:31	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	Yes	SELL	17	4¢	$1	0x8b4a90…
06-05 06:39:06	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	265	87¢	$231	0x65f3d1…
05-25 01:46:08	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x195a6b…
05-25 01:45:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	82	80¢	$66	0x836606…
05-25 01:45:26	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	71¢	$22	0x16a27a…
05-25 01:45:21	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	78¢	$20	0x7e9f23…
05-18 06:30:27	Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	29	80¢	$23	0xe53e5c…
05-18 06:30:11	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	126	95¢	$120	0x78280b…
05-18 06:29:47	Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	129	96¢	$124	0xdda401…
05-18 06:29:33	Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	26	99¢	$25	0x4c459e…
05-14 09:03:41	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	No	BUY	44	62¢	$27	0xce9b05…
05-14 09:02:33	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	74¢	$23	0x425ab1…
05-14 09:00:34	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	88¢	$23	0x1581bf…
05-14 08:57:53	SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	55	94¢	$52	0xa77bac…
05-14 08:57:44	Discord IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	32	51¢	$16	0x9de9cc…
05-02 11:50:18	Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	129	93¢	$120	0x372cda…
05-02 11:49:48	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	286	1¢	$2	0x0f8456…
05-02 11:49:08	Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0x4c6842…
05-02 11:48:56	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	34	94¢	$32	0x6e07cd…
05-02 11:48:44	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?	Yes	SELL	56	35¢	$19	0xfd31e4…
05-02 11:48:36	Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x873597…
04-25 13:38:20	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	21¢	$6	0x57e574…
04-25 13:38:10	Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0xbfc606…
04-18 05:57:42	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	45	80¢	$36	0xe93acd…
04-18 05:57:18	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 21 2026	No	BUY	21	86¢	$18	0x3fc65c…
04-11 07:21:31	will tatiana auguste win the by election for the seat of terrebone in the house of commons of canada	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$13	0x49a689…
04-11 07:19:25	will juan pablo velasco win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 929	Yes	BUY	17	70¢	$12	0xc42369…
04-06 04:56:33	Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	15	35¢	$5	0xec76af…
04-04 02:58:49	will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	No	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x932334…
04-04 02:54:35	Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	BUY	15	84¢	$13	0x8cf3b5…
03-30 03:14:22	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0xce7b86…
03-30 03:13:26	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0xc5a2f7…
03-30 03:12:58	Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x56d960…
03-30 03:12:50	Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	95¢	$21	0xcfd40f…
03-30 03:12:42	will ethereum reach 3000 in march 2026	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x2167c4…
03-30 03:12:36	will the new york knicks finish as the 1 seed in the 20252026 nba eastern conference	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xd35fb3…
03-20 10:22:33	will the new york knicks finish as the 1 seed in the 20252026 nba eastern conference	No	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0xb95287…
03-20 10:22:19	Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x106e06…
03-14 02:01:35	will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0x32e9ef…
03-14 02:01:11	will ethereum reach 3000 in march 2026	No	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0x79c74d…
03-14 01:57:17	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	29	89¢	$26	0x9f099b…
03-14 01:57:01	will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	Yes	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x11fd74…
03-03 05:43:29	will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	Yes	BUY	27	87¢	$23	0xbce8b2…
03-03 05:40:07	us x iran meeting by march 15 2026	No	BUY	19	89¢	$17	0xbb6031…
02-25 03:43:02	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0x874e41…
02-25 03:40:42	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	Yes	SELL	24	59¢	$14	0xa436be…
02-25 03:40:30	Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?	No	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0xbf8ded…
02-25 03:40:22	will ethereum reach 3600 in february 2026	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xb3f679…
02-19 11:11:28	will russia capture all of pokrovsk by february 28	No	BUY	19	84¢	$16	0x17f5c0…
02-13 11:45:37	will ethereum reach 3600 in february 2026	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x0dbdcd…
02-13 11:43:17	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	Yes	BUY	24	90¢	$22	0x193f38…
02-13 11:41:57	donald trump of truth social posts february 6 february 13 120 139	Yes	BUY	13	91¢	$12	0xa19988…
02-04 06:11:16	us strikes iran by february 5 2026	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x06f6dd…
02-04 06:10:28	will matthew stafford win the 202526 nfl mvp award	Yes	BUY	17	91¢	$15	0x3ae72f…
02-02 00:38:42	spx opens up or down on february 2 2026	Down	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0xd0ee19…
02-01 08:07:36	megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	Yes	SELL	42	78¢	$33	0xbb40eb…
01-28 06:49:53	will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	1,800	99¢	$1,789	0xf6b5a7…
01-28 06:48:33	will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0xd186b1…
01-23 06:41:46	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	29	79¢	$23	0x5557fb…
01-16 01:55:00	will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 6 million	Yes	SELL	33	98¢	$33	0x91a6b5…
01-07 12:20:43	megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	Yes	BUY	42	93¢	$39	0x8c3cba…
01-07 12:19:57	will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 6 million	Yes	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0x607aa5…
01-03 08:01:41	will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	23	92¢	$21	0x6f7aed…