Rusty-Pricing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.0%

Resolved

291

Trades

1,470

lifetime

Volume

$3.20K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-01

last 05-17 02:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 56% $-18

Other

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 262 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$16	11	11	+0	open	—	05-17 01:46
eth updown 5m 1776561000	2	$10	9	8	+0	open	—	04-19 01:15
xrp updown 5m 1775324700	2	$8	6	5	+0	open	—	04-04 17:49
btc updown 5m 1775428800	4	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	04-05 22:42
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 240 259	1	$6	21	0	+21	open	—	04-01 01:59
ufc kyl5 cha3 2026 04 18	1	$6	11	0	+11	open	—	04-18 12:41
eth updown 5m 1775678400	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	04-08 20:01
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	1	$4	16	0	+16	open	—	04-01 01:59
sol updown 5m 1776619500	2	$4	7	0	+7	open	—	04-19 17:26
eth updown 5m 1776600900	2	$4	9	0	+9	open	—	04-19 12:15
btc updown 5m 1776560700	2	$4	6	0	+6	open	—	04-19 01:07
Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$4	12	0	+12	open	—	05-16 15:38
xrp updown 5m 1775315700	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	04-04 15:19
doge updown 5m 1775414100	2	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	04-05 18:36
eth updown 5m 1775393100	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	04-05 12:46
btc updown 5m 1775407200	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	04-05 16:40
sol updown 5m 1775415600	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	04-05 19:00
sol updown 5m 1775425500	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	04-05 21:45
sol updown 5m 1775435100	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	04-06 00:25
btc updown 5m 1775425200	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	04-05 21:43
sol updown 5m 1775435700	2	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	04-06 00:35
sol updown 5m 1775401200	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	04-05 15:00
sol updown 5m 1775418000	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	04-05 19:40
sol updown 5m 1775393100	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	04-05 12:45
eth updown 5m 1775423700	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	04-05 21:15
btc updown 5m 1775418900	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	04-05 19:57
eth updown 5m 1775403300	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	04-05 15:36
sol updown 5m 1775423100	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	04-05 21:06
eth updown 5m 1775429400	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	04-05 22:50
sol updown 5m 1775419200	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	04-05 20:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 02:35:25	UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)	Melquizael Costa	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xf23987…
05-17 02:25:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x52fe61…
05-17 02:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x9a8356…
05-17 02:20:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x22a67a…
05-17 02:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xfe2083…
05-17 02:19:03	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xba357b…
05-17 02:15:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xd00ecf…
05-17 02:14:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x92e484…
05-17 02:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x4fd815…
05-17 02:05:10	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xfead54…
05-17 02:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xea8063…
05-17 01:59:34	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x0315a3…
05-17 01:58:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x7872af…
05-17 01:55:10	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x383414…
05-17 01:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x963a02…
05-17 01:50:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x14a3b4…
05-17 01:46:54	Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xce4e0e…
05-16 15:38:21	Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	30¢	$4	0xf52551…
05-16 15:30:46	Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	50¢	$5	0xf38368…
05-09 19:05:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x2d1807…
05-09 19:01:07	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x3aee8a…
05-09 19:01:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xf97ad0…
05-09 18:58:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xe86e72…
05-09 18:55:13	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x07472a…
05-09 18:51:50	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xb64e42…
05-09 18:41:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xd2bd24…
05-09 18:41:18	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xedbdd3…
05-09 18:35:13	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xbca475…
05-09 18:25:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xd38f4c…
05-09 18:21:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x5c859a…
05-09 18:16:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x889426…
05-09 18:10:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x3042da…
05-09 18:07:28	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x18dcda…
05-09 18:00:51	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x9171c1…
05-09 18:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x8a203a…
05-09 17:55:33	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xe12d39…
05-09 17:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x410cfa…
05-09 17:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x5b4b63…
05-09 17:45:34	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x9847ca…
05-09 17:45:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x05512d…
05-09 17:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x73a926…
05-09 17:40:28	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x243d6e…
05-09 17:36:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xf7b024…
05-09 17:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xa7fcbb…
05-09 17:30:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x5ef8e7…
05-09 17:25:37	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x57500e…
05-09 17:21:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xa83ae9…
05-09 17:20:38	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x494ceb…
05-09 17:20:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x407e6e…
05-09 17:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x02997f…
05-09 17:16:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x3d137e…
05-09 17:15:30	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x08dab8…
05-09 17:13:19	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xfe444d…
05-09 17:06:55	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x284abd…
05-09 16:56:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xf9747d…
05-09 16:55:36	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x00263a…
05-09 16:53:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x9c8f3f…
05-09 16:50:44	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x693093…
05-09 16:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x03a79e…
05-09 16:45:27	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xf2ed56…
05-06 11:20:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x551d81…
05-06 11:10:30	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x27773f…
05-06 11:00:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xb38d14…
05-06 11:00:18	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x170018…
05-06 11:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xc7c529…
05-06 10:56:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x905058…
05-06 10:55:32	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x5d3bc7…
05-06 10:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x585704…
05-06 10:50:22	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	52¢	$1	0x606af1…
05-06 10:50:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xf62805…
05-06 10:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x177788…
05-06 10:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x70c33c…
05-06 10:45:50	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x963671…
05-06 10:45:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x23baf9…
05-06 10:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x177c70…
05-06 10:40:12	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x48ae59…
05-06 10:35:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xa7146d…
05-06 10:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x108993…
05-06 10:35:10	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xa5db79…
05-06 10:26:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xeb2e6b…
05-06 10:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xe7153a…
05-06 10:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x1093f7…
05-06 10:20:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x244a2c…
05-06 10:20:12	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xfaa4e2…
05-06 10:18:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xe694c5…
05-06 10:17:12	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xd76a17…
05-06 10:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x5a54c5…
05-06 10:10:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x293b11…
05-06 10:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xe7b8bd…
05-06 10:05:14	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xa64f23…
05-06 10:05:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x8f18d9…
05-06 10:00:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x225150…
05-06 09:55:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xdfefd2…
05-06 09:55:16	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xa9e2a2…
05-06 09:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x40919e…
05-06 09:52:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xf3b406…
05-06 09:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xfe7d20…
05-06 09:50:12	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xe9a76d…
05-06 09:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xa3489f…
05-06 09:35:28	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xf7bba8…