Earnest-Load — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

69.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-15 03:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 83% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up		-1	$-0	86¢	$-1	$-1	05-15 03:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	2	$1	1	1	+0	Up	$-1	05-11 03:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	05-10 10:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-10 22:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-15 00:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	1	$0	0	1	-1	Down	+$0	05-11 03:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	1	$0	0	1	-1	Up	+$0	05-06 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	1	$0	0	1	-1	open	—	05-15 03:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	1	$0	0	1	-1	Down	+$0	05-07 16:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 03:03:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	28¢	$0	0x4c0896…
05-15 00:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x9a51da…
05-11 03:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	22¢	$0	0x168ccc…
05-11 03:37:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x5b8e39…
05-11 03:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0x4d082b…
05-10 22:42:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x3b36a8…
05-10 10:53:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x1601b6…
05-07 16:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0xa4f47c…
05-06 01:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	32¢	$0	0x9b07ee…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	8	$1.66K	65	05-15 03:03
Equal-Renaissance 0x1c4e…4150	8	$509	122	05-15 03:03
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	7	$1.49K	73	05-15 03:03
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	7	$870	75	05-15 03:03
Hard-Counter 0x32e4…beed	7	$747	35	05-15 03:00
Flaky-Wreck 0x0484…1b1a	6	$750	34	05-15 03:00
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	6	$592	36	05-15 03:03
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	6	$541	33	05-15 03:00