Realized P&L
-$12.3K
Unrealized P&L
—
Hit rate
3.0%
Resolved
83
Trades
630
lifetime
Volume
$22.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$35
Open exposure
—
0 positions
First seen
2026-02-20
last 06-29 17:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 48 days
Categories
Politics
61%
2%
-$7,660
Other
36%
0%
-$4,352
Crypto
2%
0%
-$330
Sports
1%
50%
+$54
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-29).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound. | ||||||||
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519 | 16 | $3.0K | 105,983 | 5,894 | +100,089 | No | -$1,489 | 04-01 19:41 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | 29 | $2.1K | 254,314 | 25,777 | +228,537 | No | -$1,603 | 05-29 20:24 |
| kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15 | 13 | $1.1K | 17,520 | 6,730 | +10,791 | No | -$506 | 04-12 05:14 |
| will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465 | 1 | $1000 | 4,212 | 0 | +4,212 | No | -$1,000 | 03-04 19:09 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | 10 | $978 | 41,175 | 1,713 | +39,462 | No | -$772 | 04-30 15:21 |
| will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026 | 99 | $977 | 62,982 | 25,732 | +37,250 | No | -$429 | 03-29 12:51 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30? | 5 | $895 | 2,058 | 2,058 | +0 | No | -$97 | 04-14 15:12 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | 22 | $841 | 795,560 | 0 | +795,560 | Yes | -$841 | 03-13 20:04 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | 14 | $820 | 24,535 | 24,535 | +0 | No | -$166 | 06-12 14:31 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346 | 8 | $760 | 401,000 | 3,000 | +398,000 | Yes | -$136 | 04-24 18:27 |
| us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482 | 12 | $746 | 26,718 | 407 | +26,311 | No | -$706 | 06-14 16:35 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 7 | 13 | $674 | 257,830 | 1,666 | +256,165 | Yes | -$602 | 04-10 13:51 |
| will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 4 844 575 | 3 | $598 | 9,390 | 0 | +9,390 | No | -$598 | 03-04 19:19 |
| us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026 | 71 | $571 | 459,391 | 0 | +459,391 | No | -$571 | 04-30 23:41 |
| will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559 | 4 | $550 | 20,268 | 0 | +20,268 | No | -$550 | 02-28 23:12 |
| us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761 | 1 | $500 | 2,941 | 0 | +2,941 | Yes | +$2,441 | 02-21 19:29 |
| israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026 | 14 | $440 | 410,120 | 0 | +410,120 | Yes | -$440 | 04-21 00:16 |
| will iran strike israel on march 6 | 12 | $435 | 435,090 | 0 | +435,090 | No | -$435 | 03-11 18:51 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | 7 | $393 | 4,617 | 4,617 | +0 | No | -$77 | 06-12 08:55 |
| will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026 | 7 | $380 | 11,759 | 0 | +11,759 | No | -$380 | 03-08 22:25 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | 11 | $313 | 18,704 | 16,547 | +2,158 | No | -$32 | 06-17 18:34 |
| us strikes iran by february 22 2026 | 1 | $300 | 3,750 | 0 | +3,750 | No | -$300 | 02-20 23:38 |
| will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694 | 1 | $300 | 4,399 | 0 | +4,399 | No | -$300 | 02-28 13:42 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? | 9 | $292 | 3,223 | 300 | +2,923 | No | -$59 | 04-21 00:16 |
| netanyahu out by march 31 854 | 10 | $278 | 72,719 | 1,695 | +71,024 | No | -$261 | 04-01 17:49 |
| will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998 | 1 | $200 | 9,709 | 0 | +9,709 | No | -$200 | 02-28 23:11 |
| Iran leadership change by March 13? | 19 | $199 | 30,400 | 0 | +30,400 | No | -$199 | 03-17 00:29 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15? | 4 | $186 | 100,684 | 0 | +100,684 | Yes | -$186 | 05-13 08:17 |
| will iran strike yemen in march | 5 | $182 | 3,465 | 0 | +3,465 | No | -$182 | 03-28 05:16 |
| ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14 | 2 | $173 | 143 | 143 | +0 | Justin Gaethje | +$113 | 06-15 05:28 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||