Realized P&L
-$4
Unrealized P&L
-$20
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
5
Trades
112
lifetime
Volume
$585
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$271
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-29
last 11-12 08:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
64% 0% -$1
Tech
29% — —
Sports
2% — —
Crypto
2% 0% -$3
Politics
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 76 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026? No -60 -$42 65¢ $-39 +$3 10-29 01:26
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026? No -35 -$13 73¢ $-26 -$12 10-29 01:33
Will Google be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026? No -35 -$25 68¢ $-24 +$2 10-29 01:24
Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026? Yes -40 -$12 55¢ $-22 -$10 10-29 01:28
Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026? Yes -60 -$15 35¢ $-21 -$6 10-29 01:25
Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026? No -40 -$26 46¢ $-18 +$8 10-29 01:29
Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026? No -30 -$17 57¢ $-17 +$0 10-29 01:31
Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026? Yes -30 -$11 43¢ $-13 -$2 10-29 01:30
Will Google be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026? Yes -35 -$7 32¢ $-11 -$4 10-29 01:23
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes -35 -$20 27¢ $-9 +$11 10-29 01:32
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No -10 -$9 92¢ $-9 -$1 10-29 00:29
Gemini Krypton released by January 31, 2027? Yes +20 $13 44¢ $9 -$4 11-12 08:32
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes -10 -$7 79¢ $-8 -$1 10-29 00:29
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027? Yes -10 -$8 74¢ $-7 +$1 10-29 00:31
Will DeepSeek be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of December 2026? No -5 -$5 98¢ $-5 $0 10-29 00:10
Will Google have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026? Yes -5 -$1 85¢ $-4 -$3 10-29 00:32
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026? Yes -5 -$4 82¢ $-4 $0 10-29 00:34
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027? No -5 -$3 82¢ $-4 -$1 10-29 00:30
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No -5 -$3 79¢ $-4 -$1 10-29 00:30
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes -5 -$2 72¢ $-4 -$1 10-29 10:35
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027? No -10 -$2 26¢ $-3 -$1 10-29 00:31
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No -10 -$3 21¢ $-2 +$1 10-29 00:30
will the democrats win connecticut in the 2028 presidential election No +20 $6 9¢ $2 -$4 11-11 22:41
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No -5 -$2 28¢ $-1 +$1 10-29 00:09
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes -5 -$2 21¢ $-1 +$1 10-29 00:29
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027? Yes -5 -$2 18¢ $-1 +$1 10-29 00:29
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026? No -5 -$1 18¢ $-1 +$0 10-29 00:34
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes -10 -$1 8¢ $-1 +$0 10-29 00:29
Will Google have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026? No -5 -$4 15¢ $-1 +$3 10-29 00:32
Will DeepSeek be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of December 2026? Yes -5 $0 2¢ $-0 $0 10-29 00:10