Anguished-Symmetry — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

99.0%

Resolved

134

Trades

140

lifetime

Volume

$2.34K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$28

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 11-06 22:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 91 days

Categories

Crypto

49% 100% +$4

Other

42% 98% -$21

Politics

9% 100% +$1

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No		+16	$16	100¢	$16	+$0	11-06 22:11
Gemini Carbon released by November 6, 2026?	No		+12	$12	99¢	$12	$0	11-05 02:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Dawn Buckingham win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	2	$42	21	21	+0	No	+$0	03-29 22:56
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	2	$38	38	0	+38	No	+$0	07-10 13:23
bitcoin above 70k on april 22	1	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	04-21 17:22
will openais valuation hit low 800b by june 30	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	07-01 01:28
will seattle have more than 8 inches of precipitation in march	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	03-31 04:07
ethereum above 2100 on april 4	1	$29	29	0	+29	No	+$0	04-04 12:33
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	1	$29	29	0	+29	No	+$0	07-04 22:32
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	06-21 20:47
Will Tim Skelton be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	05-17 22:53
bitcoin above 72k on april 23	2	$28	28	0	+28	Yes	+$0	04-22 19:23
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	1	$27	27	0	+27	No	+$0	10-28 18:36
will bitcoin dip to 58k july 6 12 2026	1	$27	27	0	+27	No	+$0	07-11 23:53
will bitcoin dip to 56k july 6 12 2026	1	$26	26	0	+26	No	+$0	07-10 20:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 19?	1	$26	26	0	+26	No	+$0	09-18 18:05
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on May 24?	1	$26	26	0	+26	No	+$0	05-24 03:36
Will Ethereum reach $3,300 September 21-27?	1	$26	26	0	+26	No	+$0	09-26 04:15
will ethereum dip to 1700 august 3 9 2026	1	$26	26	0	+26	No	+$0	08-08 14:55
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on april 19	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	04-18 21:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	09-28 04:27
Will Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	05-02 20:04
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?	1	$24	24	0	+24	Yes	+$0	09-21 16:53
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	08-17 17:12
Will Solana reach $160 in August?	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	08-27 21:28
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	1	$24	24	0	+24	Yes	-$24	10-08 04:09
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	2	$23	24	0	+24	No	+$0	06-24 23:45
will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	04-10 20:03
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	07-13 10:54
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	06-03 15:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $72,000 on August 22?	1	$21	21	0	+21	Yes	+$0	08-22 14:21
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	06-29 20:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 22:11:27	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x834086…
11-05 02:51:09	Gemini Carbon released by November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xf4be12…
11-02 13:30:15	Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x1a719e…
10-28 18:36:43	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x41a97a…
10-25 22:25:20	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 19-25?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xa0a0a8…
10-24 15:38:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x6adb0c…
10-19 17:07:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xfa6b9c…
10-18 02:41:11	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 October 12-18?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x08ff4c…
10-15 11:01:49	Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by October 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4bc827…
10-11 01:19:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 11?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xe5a2bb…
10-08 04:09:25	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x115a9b…
10-07 01:27:00	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 7?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x21fc6d…
10-02 00:24:11	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x5d1ff1…
10-01 06:23:09	ethereum above 3100 on october 2 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xcd9a8c…
09-28 04:27:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xbe0efc…
09-26 04:15:05	Will Ethereum reach $3,300 September 21-27?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x187a04…
09-22 00:00:51	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0xf113dc…
09-21 16:53:17	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xf7b1f3…
09-18 18:05:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 19?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xed1544…
09-14 16:06:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 15?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc2c433…
09-12 07:27:09	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xbb950f…
08-27 21:28:46	Will Solana reach $160 in August?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x6556b3…
08-26 07:58:52	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x23b461…
08-22 14:21:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $72,000 on August 22?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x71d37b…
08-20 11:31:19	ethereum above 1900 on august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x9d59b4…
08-19 16:05:46	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x3ec8d1…
08-17 17:12:33	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0xd096aa…
08-14 22:25:18	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$18	0x3f2695…
08-14 10:45:36	will bitcoin dip to 58k august 10 16 2026	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xbf35cc…
08-09 12:46:15	will ethereum reach 2000 august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x144e46…
08-08 14:55:42	will ethereum dip to 1700 august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x62c078…
07-31 00:20:09	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952740	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x13d7e0…
07-28 23:22:58	Will Russia capture Myropillia by July 31?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xf76261…
07-25 08:00:25	bitcoin above 62k on july 25 2026	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xfc75ba…
07-24 08:32:45	will bitcoin dip to 58k july 20 26 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6bec0a…
07-21 15:13:04	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xdc0730…
07-16 17:33:52	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x068d6e…
07-16 12:20:28	ethereum above 2000 on july 16 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xf7d8fb…
07-13 10:54:23	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x5df06b…
07-13 09:18:53	Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 44m?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xacf503…
07-11 23:53:04	will bitcoin dip to 58k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xd79422…
07-10 20:45:17	will bitcoin dip to 56k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x7fbc4d…
07-10 13:23:28	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x4b3ccd…
07-08 07:17:53	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x822a48…
07-05 23:19:16	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x1e6ae7…
07-04 22:32:52	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xe1a0c2…
07-04 03:28:23	bitcoin above 60k on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0782a6…
07-03 22:10:53	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x198e2c…
07-03 00:12:11	ethereum above 1900 on july 3 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xe4ceea…
07-02 04:28:31	bitcoin above 50k on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x82ce12…
07-01 12:45:04	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x0388b4…
07-01 01:28:04	will openais valuation hit low 800b by june 30	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x543b87…
06-29 20:30:14	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x8003bd…
06-25 07:05:44	ethereum above 1800 on june 25 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0x782c51…
06-24 23:45:38	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0x4d5c84…
06-24 22:46:53	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x3adeff…
06-23 06:38:47	bitcoin above 70k on june 24 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x872be5…
06-22 11:09:04	bitcoin above 56k on june 24 2026	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x1d71ef…
06-21 20:47:59	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xcc3cc0…
06-03 15:29:57	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xa08829…
06-02 18:46:30	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x4119a5…
06-01 23:27:50	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 2?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x64f76c…
06-01 09:39:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x1f4574…
05-30 20:17:52	Will Sharifah Hardie advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xfe6604…
05-29 21:17:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xc058cb…
05-28 23:48:54	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xef3f44…
05-28 19:08:35	Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x72230b…
05-27 21:07:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xbd4c64…
05-27 11:35:38	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x96f471…
05-27 05:40:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9303e5…
05-26 08:31:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8f79d1…
05-25 23:23:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x4cc380…
05-25 18:54:05	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x79dea9…
05-25 08:17:16	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x0dbd6c…
05-25 00:28:19	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x82b82d…
05-24 11:44:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x959cef…
05-24 03:36:36	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on May 24?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xdad2b8…
05-21 07:47:02	Will "MOULIN by László NEMES" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0x3085ae…
05-20 08:06:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x8f119a…
05-19 13:49:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x5c23d0…
05-18 23:40:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x98a268…
05-18 04:48:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x505aff…
05-17 22:53:58	Will Tim Skelton be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x692843…
05-17 04:03:09	Will Harris English win the 2026 PGA Championship?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x89f333…
05-15 23:54:08	Will Sahith Theegala win the 2026 PGA Championship?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x9a7639…
05-14 18:06:06	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x05e952…
05-14 08:19:47	Will Serbia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xb89cbc…
05-13 17:21:59	Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x6333a4…
05-12 10:21:30	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x9bacfe…
05-12 02:29:37	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 12?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x6177f3…
05-11 23:14:06	Will annual inflation increase by ≤3.1% in April?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x767150…
05-11 10:47:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x6b3908…
05-10 06:32:39	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 May 4-10?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd976b3…
05-09 19:51:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x871c0a…
05-09 04:46:28	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 May 4-10?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x8116d4…
05-08 05:02:46	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xe06fe8…
05-07 09:27:33	Will Helen Dalton win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xd7611a…
05-06 06:36:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $84,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x7bd544…
05-06 03:56:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc6e0db…
05-04 20:05:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x98cc16…