Made-Up-Doubt — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

292

Trades

293

lifetime

Volume

$3.50K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-01 10:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 232 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$5

Politics

3% 80% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on May 14?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-14 13:13
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$24	25	+25	No	-$24	05-15 05:21
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-13 06:09
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 12?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-12 07:15
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-11 09:33
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C or higher on May 10?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-10 08:45
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 9?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-09 09:09
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 54-55°F on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 10:38
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C or below on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 03:46
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on May 7?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-07 11:47
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 44-45°F on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-07 03:10
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C or higher on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-06 08:50
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 5?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-05 11:33
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-05 02:38
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-04 09:25
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 3?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-03 13:31
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on May 2?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-02 08:19
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$1	04-12 02:25
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-08 10:20
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-07 06:58
highest temperature in moscow on april 6 2026 7c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-06 15:12
highest temperature in seoul on april 5 2026 14c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-05 09:01
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 3 2026 24c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-03 15:12
highest temperature in denver on april 2 2026 72 73f	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-03 02:38
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 2 2026 28c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-02 14:49
highest temperature in wellington on april 2 2026 20c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-02 06:36
highest temperature in hong kong on april 1 2026 27c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-01 14:44
highest temperature in wellington on april 1 2026 17c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-01 08:42
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	03-31 08:22
highest temperature in miami on march 30 2026 78 79f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	03-31 01:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 10:18:43	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd8f039…
10-31 15:50:07	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd7ea3d…
10-30 14:46:18	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd96788…
10-29 17:47:08	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x470be9…
10-29 09:09:20	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x21e89e…
10-28 07:44:58	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4f5bef…
10-27 08:41:53	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9e1b50…
10-26 09:23:14	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xabbd20…
10-24 11:43:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf9065f…
10-22 10:21:03	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x84eaa9…
10-20 07:37:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x841d52…
10-19 09:16:29	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x79742e…
10-18 09:56:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7568c6…
10-17 15:23:08	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8247e1…
10-16 09:12:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5e167d…
10-15 09:28:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe232fd…
10-14 09:33:32	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaaad23…
10-13 09:18:29	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6408d3…
10-12 09:09:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x513a6d…
10-11 08:25:48	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x85c4f9…
10-08 09:13:30	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf14173…
10-07 15:24:50	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x89be59…
10-06 08:41:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x37f26d…
10-05 01:59:29	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeaabec…
10-03 08:19:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7fe4fe…
10-02 11:43:30	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1c8fb6…
10-01 08:28:08	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6143c3…
09-30 12:56:05	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcf0493…
09-29 15:58:47	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on September 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x339e45…
09-28 09:52:35	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x18ba3d…
09-27 08:51:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcbd6a9…
09-25 16:10:00	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd94306…
09-24 08:38:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5e6bbb…
09-23 07:57:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1d057f…
09-22 08:30:24	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x940b2d…
09-21 09:28:47	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x980438…
09-20 05:50:42	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x933380…
09-19 08:47:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb4e991…
09-18 06:28:09	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x125c55…
09-17 04:07:39	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x76ca36…
09-16 08:25:48	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x559e11…
09-15 10:15:40	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa2685c…
09-14 09:11:04	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x89dcc8…
09-12 16:32:40	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6549e9…
09-11 07:21:49	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa8e7c0…
09-10 08:20:27	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3cae68…
09-09 09:27:36	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C or below on September 9?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x44d22a…
09-08 15:44:55	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc5be10…
09-08 06:10:21	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x032c9b…
09-07 08:24:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3428bc…
09-06 17:12:55	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x876506…
09-06 09:33:09	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeeb425…
09-05 01:15:31	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C or below on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2f0a9e…
09-03 16:56:37	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf4be5b…
09-02 07:45:42	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xabefd5…
08-30 09:14:36	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5304c0…
08-29 09:37:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x71ad80…
08-28 08:14:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5debd3…
08-27 08:57:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc9fc7d…
08-26 08:37:42	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C or higher on August 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3164ed…
08-25 09:20:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb7cf36…
08-24 13:09:55	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x219a86…
08-23 14:54:54	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4dbb21…
08-22 08:51:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe6aa17…
08-21 07:44:33	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe7e5eb…
08-20 08:47:52	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb62631…
08-18 08:21:01	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaa7c17…
08-17 07:29:46	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa6c2bb…
08-16 11:24:49	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5563b8…
08-15 09:53:46	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb19b08…
08-14 06:52:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x91d6c5…
08-13 08:53:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeb9b9a…
08-12 07:58:45	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5c9863…
08-11 06:57:37	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa6a162…
08-10 07:50:46	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaeac67…
08-09 02:13:06	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 67°F or below on August 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf2a7f2…
08-08 07:32:48	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcd3b7c…
08-07 07:47:51	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfd0526…
08-06 06:47:14	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1ac337…
08-05 07:58:50	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x480563…
08-04 08:20:50	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcc7c9a…
08-03 07:39:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5ea490…
08-02 02:13:27	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on August 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa8f779…
08-01 07:05:38	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x691a3b…
07-31 13:06:33	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xada6b7…
07-30 06:59:56	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xab0a1d…
07-29 07:10:35	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x98db35…
07-28 06:33:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x415e7b…
07-27 08:25:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x637434…
07-26 07:21:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x735882…
07-25 08:15:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf93915…
07-24 10:12:13	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x49d469…
07-23 08:11:18	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdd2652…
07-22 02:05:36	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x58c448…
07-21 09:14:21	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcd9801…
07-21 00:16:36	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7a3c8e…
07-20 07:59:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xff0736…
07-18 23:20:30	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5ed833…
07-18 00:31:06	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x461fed…
07-17 07:22:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfc193d…