Made-Up-Lye — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

—

Unrealized P&L

-$25

Hit rate

—

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

163 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$2.64K lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

$78

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-08 08:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Other

65% 32% -$499

Sports

23% 40% -$12

Tech

10% 100% +$51

Crypto

2% 0% -$40

Politics

1% 100% +$19

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-08).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-80	-$53	98¢	$-78	-$25	05-08 08:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	2	$211	409	409	+0	No	+$51	02-06 21:30
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$196	889	1,333	-444	No	+$36	02-18 09:05
Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	44	$194	4,337	4,337	+0	No	-$1	01-25 11:49
will nyc have less than 2 inches of precipitation in february	20	$191	1,617	262	+1,355	No	-$8	02-24 04:40
will seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in february	33	$139	241	171	+71	No	+$8	02-19 18:16
tim walz charged by march 31	4	$109	506	506	+0	No	+$20	01-16 22:55
will seattle have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in february	3	$100	331	331	+0	No	-$60	02-20 14:00
will global temperature increase by between 1pt10c and 1pt14c in january 2026	1	$100	1,237	0	+1,237	No	-$100	02-10 14:58
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$96	837	837	+0	No	-$4	01-12 18:21
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	1	$80	250	0	+250	Seahawks	-$80	02-08 19:29
will seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in february	5	$74	50	50	+0	Yes	-$2	02-19 09:23
will nyc have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in march	7	$63	167	160	+7	Yes	+$18	03-23 09:14
highest temperature in toronto on april 10 2026 6corbelow	1	$60	176	0	+176	No	-$60	04-09 08:03
highest temperature in toronto on april 9 2026 18corhigher	1	$60	99	0	+99	Yes	-$60	04-09 08:02
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 56°F or higher on April 29?	1	$60	120	0	+120	Yes	-$60	04-28 08:31
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	1	$53	0	80	-80	open	—	05-08 08:55
epl bur wes 2026 02 07 wes	1	$51	90	0	+90	Yes	-$51	02-07 11:40
epl wol bou 2026 01 31 bou	1	$50	88	0	+88	Yes	-$50	01-29 02:56
highest temperature in wellington on april 7 2026 21corhigher	1	$50	169	0	+169	No	+$119	04-06 08:03
will global temperature increase by between 1pt05c and 1pt09c in january 2026	1	$50	500	0	+500	Yes	-$50	02-11 09:23
epl wol che 2026 02 07 che	1	$50	125	0	+125	Yes	-$50	02-07 11:02
highest temperature in dallas on april 21 2026 62 63f	1	$50	171	0	+171	Yes	-$50	04-21 12:37
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 8?	1	$50	92	0	+92	Yes	-$50	05-08 08:56
highest temperature in toronto on april 22 2026 19corhigher	1	$40	82	0	+82	No	+$42	04-22 08:43
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 25?	1	$40	67	0	+67	Yes	-$40	04-24 08:35
lal gir get 2026 01 26 draw	1	$40	105	0	+105	Yes	+$65	01-26 20:34
highest temperature in madrid on april 22 2026 24c	1	$40	81	0	+81	Yes	-$40	04-22 08:44
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on April 25?	1	$40	63	0	+63	No	+$23	04-24 08:36
por ton ben 2026 02 01 ben	1	$40	54	0	+54	No	-$40	02-01 18:59
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$37	0	1,760	-1,760	No	+$37	01-12 18:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 08:56:59	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 8?	No	BUY	92	54¢	$50	0x01ac36…
05-08 08:55:36	Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	67¢	$53	0x07b53c…
04-28 08:31:02	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 56°F or higher on April 29?	No	BUY	120	50¢	$60	0x4ae3f4…
04-24 08:36:02	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on April 25?	No	BUY	63	63¢	$40	0xef421b…
04-24 08:35:18	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 25?	No	BUY	67	60¢	$40	0x648de1…
04-22 08:44:50	highest temperature in madrid on april 22 2026 24c	No	BUY	81	49¢	$40	0x344262…
04-22 08:43:34	highest temperature in toronto on april 22 2026 19corhigher	No	BUY	82	49¢	$40	0x7d1796…
04-21 12:37:40	highest temperature in dallas on april 21 2026 62 63f	No	BUY	171	29¢	$50	0x5e6bef…
04-09 08:03:09	highest temperature in toronto on april 10 2026 6corbelow	Yes	BUY	176	34¢	$60	0xd79446…
04-09 08:02:21	highest temperature in toronto on april 9 2026 18corhigher	No	BUY	99	61¢	$60	0x7f0116…
04-06 08:03:35	highest temperature in wellington on april 7 2026 21corhigher	No	BUY	169	30¢	$50	0x14d02d…
03-23 09:14:03	will nyc have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in march	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x87c8ce…
03-22 18:50:31	will seattle have between 6 and 7 inches of precipitation in march	Yes	BUY	313	6¢	$19	0x282924…
03-19 12:22:07	will seattle have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in march	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xaea783…
03-19 09:50:17	will nyc have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in march	Yes	SELL	87	23¢	$20	0x798ba1…
03-19 01:33:45	will nyc have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in march	Yes	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0x176b1a…
03-19 01:33:43	will nyc have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in march	Yes	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x0367b7…
03-18 11:20:59	will nyc have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in march	Yes	SELL	22	23¢	$5	0xf820e8…
03-18 10:48:27	will nyc have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in march	Yes	SELL	22	23¢	$5	0x5e848f…
03-16 13:50:05	will nyc have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in march	Yes	BUY	160	15¢	$24	0xc58b37…
03-16 12:05:15	will seattle have between 6 and 7 inches of precipitation in march	Yes	BUY	87	6¢	$5	0xa3d038…
02-24 04:40:40	will nyc have less than 2 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	BUY	700	3¢	$20	0x34acc1…
02-23 13:51:20	will nyc have less than 2 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xb55309…
02-23 13:51:16	will nyc have less than 2 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x723d2a…
02-23 13:50:36	will nyc have less than 2 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xe66e2b…
02-23 13:14:18	will nyc have less than 2 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0xd15676…
02-23 11:48:46	will nyc have less than 2 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	BUY	400	4¢	$16	0x35a30d…
02-23 10:57:20	will nyc have less than 2 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0x03689f…
02-23 10:55:22	will nyc have less than 2 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	BUY	11	4¢	$0	0x0f0f23…
02-23 10:55:20	will nyc have less than 2 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	BUY	11	4¢	$0	0x5d0b48…
02-23 10:34:30	will nyc have less than 2 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x0d08c1…
02-23 10:33:58	will nyc have less than 2 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x0ce665…
02-23 09:26:12	will nyc have less than 2 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	BUY	219	4¢	$9	0x099357…
02-22 09:45:00	will nyc have less than 2 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	SELL	39	12¢	$5	0x4e9012…
02-22 09:44:54	will nyc have less than 2 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	SELL	83	12¢	$10	0xd49344…
02-22 09:06:46	will nyc have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xd82181…
02-20 14:00:04	will seattle have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	SELL	51	6¢	$3	0x1c40e3…
02-20 13:50:58	will seattle have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	SELL	281	6¢	$17	0xdc3ca0…
02-19 18:16:20	will seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x8f6082…
02-19 17:22:54	will seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	SELL	1	59¢	$1	0x51b834…
02-19 14:28:36	will seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	SELL	22	59¢	$13	0x4e205e…
02-19 14:28:32	will seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	SELL	21	59¢	$12	0xa0eae1…
02-19 09:23:12	will seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in february	No	SELL	15	72¢	$11	0xfe65c8…
02-19 07:28:52	will seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in february	No	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0xad05f7…
02-19 07:28:48	will seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in february	No	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x43dc34…
02-19 06:01:04	will seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in february	No	SELL	25	72¢	$18	0x350138…
02-18 09:41:14	will seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	BUY	46	40¢	$18	0xb8d87a…
02-18 09:05:30	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	889	9¢	$80	0x29c46d…
02-18 02:31:35	will seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in february	No	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x3575a7…
02-17 09:05:47	will seattle have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	BUY	331	24¢	$80	0x50cfed…
02-17 00:04:23	will seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x3c5e82…
02-16 21:20:53	will seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	SELL	68	37¢	$25	0x09ad9a…
02-16 17:07:01	will seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	SELL	27	37¢	$10	0x2155f8…
02-16 15:56:29	will seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x4638c3…
02-16 15:14:15	will seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	SELL	14	37¢	$5	0xaeb33a…
02-16 12:33:47	will seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	SELL	8	37¢	$3	0x9d8e8a…
02-15 17:28:11	will nyc have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	SELL	53	6¢	$3	0x8fb8b4…
02-15 16:51:55	will nyc have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x18bd9a…
02-15 02:53:35	will nyc have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0xe59d38…
02-15 00:36:31	will nyc have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	BUY	17	10¢	$2	0x284e51…
02-14 22:44:15	will seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x328eac…
02-14 17:36:17	will seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x8509cc…
02-14 09:04:13	will seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	BUY	25	24¢	$6	0x0f36d7…
02-14 05:13:31	will seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xc4aeda…
02-14 05:13:31	will seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x4dfdb8…
02-14 05:13:31	will seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x33f7a5…
02-14 05:11:15	will seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	BUY	3	24¢	$1	0x570602…
02-14 05:11:15	will seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x3b13e9…
02-14 05:11:15	will seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x363b8e…
02-14 05:11:11	will seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	BUY	3	24¢	$1	0xcc399a…
02-14 05:11:11	will seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xa604e8…
02-14 05:11:11	will seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0x8ac945…
02-14 05:11:11	will seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x775d4a…
02-14 05:11:11	will seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	BUY	16	24¢	$4	0x681ea8…
02-14 05:11:11	will seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	BUY	18	24¢	$4	0x6509a4…
02-14 05:11:11	will seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	BUY	15	24¢	$4	0x507f55…
02-14 05:11:11	will seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x4a3f3f…
02-14 05:11:11	will seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	BUY	2	24¢	$0	0x279450…
02-14 05:11:09	will seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	BUY	17	24¢	$4	0xd59252…
02-14 04:50:37	will seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0xcc6a6f…
02-14 04:37:03	will seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xc8ee19…
02-14 04:37:03	will seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x28cc42…
02-13 16:18:23	will nyc have less than 2 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	SELL	120	55¢	$66	0x02d98d…
02-13 13:11:23	will nyc have less than 2 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x6796ef…
02-13 10:05:51	will nyc have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	BUY	26	9¢	$2	0xe32e86…
02-11 14:13:21	will nyc have less than 2 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0x327976…
02-11 10:59:31	will nyc have less than 2 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	BUY	22	35¢	$8	0xabcab6…
02-11 10:58:53	will nyc have less than 2 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x42723e…
02-11 10:58:25	will nyc have less than 2 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	BUY	88	35¢	$31	0xbcb23f…
02-11 09:23:29	will global temperature increase by between 1pt05c and 1pt09c in january 2026	No	BUY	500	10¢	$50	0x5aaa1f…
02-10 14:58:07	will global temperature increase by between 1pt10c and 1pt14c in january 2026	Yes	BUY	1,237	8¢	$100	0x8b77ea…
02-08 19:35:29	lal val rea 2026 02 08 draw	Yes	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0xe28af5…
02-08 19:29:15	nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	Patriots	BUY	250	32¢	$80	0x0c4f18…
02-08 19:26:15	lal mad bet 2026 02 08 draw	Yes	BUY	251	4¢	$10	0xee3a10…
02-07 11:40:23	epl bur wes 2026 02 07 wes	No	BUY	90	57¢	$51	0x8a691b…
02-07 11:02:23	epl wol che 2026 02 07 che	No	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0x1c48fb…
02-06 21:30:39	will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	No	SELL	409	32¢	$131	0xec2413…
02-06 15:00:45	will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	No	BUY	409	20¢	$80	0xc7da61…
02-01 18:59:24	por ton ben 2026 02 01 ben	Yes	BUY	54	74¢	$40	0xb8ee4f…
01-29 02:56:18	epl wol bou 2026 01 31 bou	No	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0xee877a…