Instructive-Gumshoe — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$865

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.9%

Resolved

105

Trades

733

lifetime

Volume

$366.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$500

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 21:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 73 days

Categories

Politics

57% 100% +$627

Other

38% 98% +$180

Crypto

3% 100% +$48

Sports

2% 100% +$6

Tech

1% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	77	$29.8K	15,987	14,110	+1,876	Yes	+$39	05-03 16:26
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	51	$22.6K	14,688	8,100	+6,588	Yes	+$60	05-27 16:20
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	236	$22.3K	11,800	11,800	+0	No	+$44	08-22 16:41
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	6	$14.0K	7,100	7,071	+29	No	+$80	05-20 07:40
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	10	$10.7K	6,000	6,000	+0	open	—	07-05 00:40
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	51	$10.3K	5,876	5,876	+0	Yes	+$95	10-27 21:05
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	3	$9.8K	6,622	3,230	+3,392	No	+$13	04-29 23:29
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	4	$7.4K	3,700	3,700	+0	No	$0	06-26 01:06
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs South America Rejects (BO3) - 1win Essence Group A	19	$6.8K	3,400	3,400	+0	Yellow Submarine	+$0	05-03 16:04
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	1	$3.8K	3,784	0	+3,784	Yes	+$4	07-22 04:05
us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	1	$3.7K	3,700	0	+3,700	Yes	+$4	06-17 12:34
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	3	$3.7K	3,700	0	+3,700	No	+$4	06-29 23:04
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	1	$3.7K	3,687	0	+3,687	Yes	+$4	06-07 20:26
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$3.6K	3,682	0	+3,682	No	+$40	06-02 10:53
fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 total 0pt5	1	$3.6K	3,600	0	+3,600	Over	+$4	06-13 22:56
Trump kiss by May 31?	1	$3.6K	3,569	0	+3,569	Yes	+$4	05-21 04:10
Will Trump say "TikTok" during events with Xi Jinping?	6	$3.5K	3,500	0	+3,500	No	+$4	05-15 11:10
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	5	$3.5K	3,497	0	+3,497	Yes	+$10	05-15 19:19
will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	10	$3.4K	3,401	0	+3,401	Yes	+$3	06-09 18:38
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	2	$3.4K	3,401	0	+3,401	Yes	+$3	05-01 22:04
Will Trump dance today?	7	$3.3K	3,361	0	+3,361	Yes	+$13	04-27 13:20
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	1	$3.3K	3,330	0	+3,330	Yes	+$13	04-16 19:56
another critical cloudflare incident by april 30 2026	1	$3.3K	3,316	0	+3,316	Yes	+$7	04-29 12:03
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	17	$3.3K	3,316	0	+3,316	Yes	+$53	04-12 11:30
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	5	$3.3K	3,263	0	+3,263	Yes	+$10	04-11 18:32
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	1	$3.2K	3,253	0	+3,253	Yes	+$7	04-09 11:17
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	6	$3.2K	3,246	0	+3,246	Yes	+$10	04-06 07:10
netanyahu out by march 31 854	1	$3.2K	3,237	0	+3,237	No	+$3	03-31 06:14
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	5	$3.2K	3,200	0	+3,200	No	+$3	05-15 08:37
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	1	$3.2K	3,230	0	+3,230	Yes	+$65	03-22 09:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 21:05:26	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	1,000	91¢	$910	0xd314b9…
09-16 12:49:57	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	206	88¢	$182	0x501baa…
09-16 12:45:13	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	31	88¢	$27	0x5bff5a…
09-16 10:53:48	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	27	88¢	$24	0xcaf748…
09-16 10:45:31	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	28	88¢	$25	0xdd98e4…
09-16 10:08:16	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	39	88¢	$34	0xb0c6b0…
09-16 09:15:45	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	3	88¢	$3	0xb8c7ff…
09-16 09:14:43	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	3	88¢	$3	0x57dbf1…
09-16 09:13:40	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	4	88¢	$4	0x26c1d1…
09-16 09:09:30	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	3	88¢	$3	0x6a4f11…
09-16 09:07:07	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	4	88¢	$3	0x243b44…
09-16 09:03:21	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	4	88¢	$4	0x62f361…
09-16 08:41:24	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	3	88¢	$3	0x7b0701…
09-16 08:40:42	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	4	88¢	$3	0x64399b…
09-16 08:39:43	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x167cd9…
09-16 08:38:48	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	3	88¢	$3	0xf50701…
09-16 08:37:25	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	4	88¢	$3	0x7b85ba…
09-16 08:36:58	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	5	88¢	$5	0x42c0c6…
09-16 08:19:34	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	600	88¢	$528	0xa876d7…
09-16 08:08:54	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x3a739b…
09-16 08:08:22	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	4	88¢	$3	0x240300…
09-16 08:08:09	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	4	88¢	$3	0xca7780…
09-16 08:07:57	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	3	88¢	$3	0xaa40a2…
09-16 08:07:46	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	4	88¢	$3	0x21b83f…
09-16 08:07:30	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	4	88¢	$4	0x133fbb…
09-16 08:07:06	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	4	88¢	$3	0xb98410…
09-12 16:45:25	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,000	87¢	$870	0xdae6b6…
09-10 02:45:19	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,000	87¢	$870	0x36644d…
09-09 07:16:51	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	165	88¢	$145	0xd4ac83…
09-09 07:16:51	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	400	88¢	$352	0x8578ee…
09-09 07:16:51	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	746	88¢	$657	0x4253f5…
09-07 23:14:42	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	600	86¢	$516	0xbb642c…
09-06 01:53:31	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	700	87¢	$609	0xeea6c0…
08-27 06:08:22	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	789	88¢	$695	0xe615ee…
08-25 22:39:13	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	11	87¢	$9	0x4f137e…
08-25 20:32:54	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xb3546e…
08-25 20:06:39	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x7465cb…
08-25 17:28:09	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	773	87¢	$673	0x6de9d6…
08-22 16:41:57	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	8	94¢	$8	0x4898ba…
08-22 16:41:57	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	8	94¢	$8	0x29f25a…
08-22 16:41:57	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	259	94¢	$245	0x257b66…
08-22 16:33:34	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	19	94¢	$18	0xb478aa…
08-22 16:33:34	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	15	94¢	$14	0x1d5fe1…
08-22 16:33:33	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	40	94¢	$38	0x9badb8…
08-22 15:48:06	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	212	94¢	$199	0xc5bf73…
08-22 15:48:01	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	24	94¢	$23	0x6c3391…
08-22 15:48:01	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	76	94¢	$72	0x316516…
08-22 15:48:01	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	38	94¢	$36	0x2c3a16…
08-22 12:17:12	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	146	94¢	$137	0xdbd167…
08-22 12:17:01	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	76	94¢	$71	0x843b14…
08-22 12:17:01	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	128	94¢	$120	0x41e826…
08-22 09:42:24	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xef5bd0…
08-22 09:42:03	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	76	94¢	$72	0xf1a5a8…
08-22 09:42:03	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	150	94¢	$141	0xe2bad7…
08-22 09:42:03	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	40	94¢	$38	0xcc2747…
08-22 09:42:03	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	83	94¢	$78	0x2d8c7f…
08-22 08:48:42	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	400	93¢	$372	0xdacab3…
08-21 23:06:09	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	87	94¢	$82	0x8b7851…
08-21 22:05:54	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0xc74259…
08-21 22:05:52	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	40	94¢	$38	0xe11d0f…
08-21 22:05:33	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	25	94¢	$24	0xc2c7a8…
08-21 14:49:36	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	202	93¢	$188	0x2c80da…
08-21 12:12:25	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	15	94¢	$14	0x28dd2d…
08-21 11:58:24	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x13ef92…
08-21 10:24:03	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xea13d6…
08-21 10:24:03	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	200	94¢	$189	0xcb26d1…
08-21 10:24:03	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x7db277…
08-21 10:24:03	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	24	94¢	$23	0x71114b…
08-21 10:24:03	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0x6daf51…
08-21 10:24:03	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	25	94¢	$24	0x525489…
08-21 09:50:27	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	124	94¢	$117	0xcf2b3d…
08-21 09:50:25	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x8d592d…
08-21 09:39:28	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x63ede9…
08-21 09:39:28	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x26b38d…
08-21 09:39:27	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x6ff320…
08-21 08:13:13	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	35	94¢	$33	0x4841dd…
08-21 02:16:06	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	164	93¢	$153	0x1ec600…
08-21 00:37:25	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	336	93¢	$314	0x972881…
08-20 21:30:37	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	140	94¢	$132	0xe3fa6d…
08-20 21:06:21	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	65	94¢	$62	0x545957…
08-20 19:27:07	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	26	94¢	$24	0x5ea7db…
08-20 19:09:57	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	71	94¢	$67	0xe8f340…
08-20 15:22:07	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	302	94¢	$284	0x528af9…
08-20 14:58:22	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	40	94¢	$38	0x319273…
08-20 14:58:22	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0x0604a1…
08-20 14:58:13	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xb1099b…
08-20 14:58:04	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	90	94¢	$85	0xeef549…
08-20 14:57:43	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	55	94¢	$52	0x98b4d3…
08-20 14:57:43	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	188	94¢	$178	0x58b195…
08-20 14:57:42	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	40	94¢	$38	0xf110cf…
08-20 14:57:42	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	76	94¢	$72	0x3a72ff…
08-20 14:57:21	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0x180d69…
08-20 14:57:19	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	80	94¢	$76	0xe7842e…
08-20 14:57:19	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	208	94¢	$197	0xa93660…
08-20 14:57:19	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x35af5e…
08-20 14:57:09	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x540623…
08-20 14:57:07	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0xc24a6e…
08-20 12:46:48	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	35	95¢	$33	0x6c8144…
08-20 12:46:48	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x07f048…
08-20 12:11:25	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0xf963b0…