Elastic-Advent — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.2%

Resolved

Trades

466

lifetime

Volume

$471

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 05-13 17:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 50% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	5	$5	8	6	+2	Down	$-1	05-13 10:28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?	2	$4	5	5	+0	No	+$2	05-06 10:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	4	$4	13	13	+0	No	$-0	05-11 14:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-02 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	3	$4	4	3	+2	open	—	05-04 19:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	3	$3	5	3	+2	Up	+$1	05-10 18:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5?	2	$3	19	19	+0	No	+$1	05-04 14:58
btc updown 15m 1775028600	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-01 07:44
btc updown 5m 1774353900	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	03-24 12:09
btc updown 5m 1774352100	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	03-24 11:37
btc updown 5m 1773867900	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	03-18 21:09
btc updown 5m 1774349400	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	03-24 10:53
btc updown 5m 1774083900	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	03-21 09:09
btc updown 5m 1774953000	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	03-31 10:34
btc updown 15m 1774981800	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	03-31 18:38
btc updown 15m 1774948500	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	03-31 09:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-28 18:56
btc updown 15m 1775025000	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	04-01 06:34
btc updown 5m 1774260600	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	03-23 10:15
btc updown 5m 1774358400	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	03-24 13:23
btc updown 15m 1774986300	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	03-31 19:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-27 14:38
btc updown 15m 1774900800	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	03-30 20:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-27 14:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 18:48
btc updown 15m 1774987200	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	03-31 20:11
btc updown 15m 1774979100	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	03-31 17:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-03 19:33
btc updown 5m 1774351200	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	03-24 11:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 11:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 17:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xd3bd41…
05-13 16:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x80f47d…
05-13 16:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x71bcd1…
05-13 16:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xe94f37…
05-13 16:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x722da3…
05-13 15:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x249c38…
05-13 14:58:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x187f59…
05-13 14:10:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x09a4e3…
05-13 12:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x26e1ad…
05-13 10:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xc1b6be…
05-13 10:07:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	12	4¢	$0	0x96e28b…
05-13 10:06:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xcc81ca…
05-13 09:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x3d3746…
05-13 09:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x9bd024…
05-13 08:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x281ae0…
05-13 08:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x45ed85…
05-13 06:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	25¢	$1	0x9fd9b2…
05-13 05:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xf652bf…
05-12 17:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xbdfe5b…
05-12 16:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x246731…
05-12 14:06:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x33ad02…
05-12 13:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x35e7a0…
05-12 12:50:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x3e6661…
05-12 11:57:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0xc04544…
05-12 11:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0x9971fa…
05-12 08:13:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa734d4…
05-12 06:26:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x1bfb7c…
05-12 03:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x922ca8…
05-12 00:07:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x57aa6b…
05-11 20:31:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xaf0ca6…
05-11 16:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0x631af1…
05-11 16:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x253991…
05-11 14:18:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0xa8d09b…
05-11 06:12:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x28ef56…
05-11 00:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xb080b7…
05-10 20:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x6d4be5…
05-10 18:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x793a3f…
05-10 17:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x699a4b…
05-10 17:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x45eea8…
05-10 15:53:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0xb35efa…
05-10 11:42:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x53b655…
05-10 11:21:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x15f341…
05-10 07:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5f855f…
05-10 04:22:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	28	3¢	$1	0xa2be45…
05-09 18:47:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x55a586…
05-09 18:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0x13af15…
05-09 17:58:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0xddc653…
05-09 16:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xdf0eb0…
05-09 12:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x3be620…
05-09 12:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x2d7397…
05-09 11:21:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xca2c1b…
05-09 09:54:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0x34aaa6…
05-09 09:45:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xd1b881…
05-09 09:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5AM ET	Up	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0xc08848…
05-09 09:07:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x318d99…
05-09 04:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x4902e3…
05-08 18:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	57¢	$1	0x388985…
05-08 17:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x7d1324…
05-08 09:55:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0xb29d78…
05-08 09:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	26¢	$1	0x49ca2d…
05-08 08:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xb6160c…
05-08 04:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	51¢	$2	0x75057b…
05-08 04:21:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xdbeff2…
05-07 20:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x129783…
05-07 18:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	74¢	$2	0x9164b9…
05-07 16:06:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xfcdd6f…
05-07 09:36:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x36f6a7…
05-06 19:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x257df3…
05-06 16:04:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x56ea5f…
05-06 12:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x0ccb62…
05-06 12:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x1151b9…
05-06 10:52:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x66b5a6…
05-06 00:35:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xea4bc1…
05-05 18:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0x2eefb7…
05-05 16:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xf0fa7c…
05-05 13:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0x7cbec2…
05-05 13:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xb77677…
05-05 11:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	76¢	$2	0x8c284a…
05-05 11:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x630778…
05-05 06:31:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x69b159…
05-04 19:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xd536ae…
05-04 16:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0x979147…
05-04 16:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xd8e174…
05-04 15:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xc2689b…
05-04 15:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x1517af…
05-04 14:58:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5?	Yes	SELL	19	12¢	$2	0x5510c8…
05-04 14:24:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x92d26b…
05-04 13:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x3412fa…
05-04 12:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x9b44bb…
05-04 08:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe14e4d…
05-03 19:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0x2ffb49…
05-03 16:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc46e51…
05-03 15:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0x426c61…
05-03 13:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xaa3339…
05-03 09:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5AM ET	Up	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0xb9aa0a…
05-03 09:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xb9753b…
05-02 22:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xf440be…
05-02 22:04:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0x7974c9…
05-02 21:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x6df446…
05-02 18:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0x9dd5b8…