Realized P&L (7d)
-$4.18K
Unrealized P&L
-$24.7K
Hit rate
73.0%
Resolved (7d)
5
Trades (7d)
221
503 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$509.9K
$993.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.97K
Open exposure
$101.8K
11 positions
First seen
2026-09-13
last 11-01 03:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Other
57% 50% -$2,484
Politics
30% 67% -$69
Tech
10% — —
Sports
4% 0% -$994
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk • peak 87 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +100,000 $93,000 92¢ $92.5K -$500 10-03 03:33
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +4,000 $3,576 89¢ $3.6K -$6 10-30 22:38
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +4,000 $3,640 88¢ $3.5K -$100 10-30 22:17
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? Yes +20,235 $20,874 8¢ $1.5K -$19,356 10-30 11:00
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +4,000 $440 12¢ $460 +$20 11-01 03:59
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $93 96¢ $96 +$3 09-13 14:20
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +8,750 $5,781 1¢ $88 -$5,694 10-19 19:16
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? No +100 $6 4¢ $4 -$2 09-13 13:17
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +0 $0 72¢ $0 +$0 10-31 03:11
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +0 -$1,069 64¢ $0 +$1,069 10-22 14:12
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +0 $150 24¢ $0 -$150 10-27 12:38