Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$1.35K

Unrealized P&L

-$25.0K

Hit rate

88.0%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

608

608 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$1.41M

$1.41M lifetime

Avg / trade

$2.33K

Open exposure

$93.8K

7 positions

First seen

2026-09-13

last 11-05 14:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Politics

47% 67% +$2,128

Other

43% 50% -$2,484

Tech

7% — —

Sports

3% 0% -$994

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 87 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	No	+100,000	$93,000	92¢	$92.5K	-$500	10-03 03:33
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+20,235	$20,874	6¢	$1.2K	-$19,660	10-30 11:00
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+100	$93	97¢	$97	+$5	09-13 14:20
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	+8,750	$5,781	0¢	$9	-$5,772	10-19 19:16
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	+100	$6	3¢	$3	-$3	09-13 13:17
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+0	-$1,069	77¢	$0	+$1,069	10-22 14:12
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	+0	$150	18¢	$0	-$150	10-27 12:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	27	$262.9K	158,437	158,437	+0	No	+$1,863	10-27 11:57
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	34	$198.4K	105,000	105,000	+0	No	+$1,050	11-03 12:47
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	56	$170.2K	119,870	119,870	+0	No	+$2,397	11-02 11:03
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	101	$147.0K	105,000	105,000	+0	Yes	+$0	10-31 03:11
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	1	$93.0K	100,000	0	+100,000	open	—	10-03 03:33
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	36	$73.7K	53,439	53,439	+0	open	—	10-22 14:12
Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	7	$68.2K	38,342	38,342	+0	open	—	10-03 19:34
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	51	$68.2K	408,764	388,529	+20,235	open	—	10-30 11:00
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	25	$61.1K	31,750	31,750	+0	open	—	10-29 16:48
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	14	$50.4K	105,000	105,000	+0	open	—	11-05 14:55
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	26	$42.7K	43,688	43,688	+0	Yes	-$3,684	10-01 15:21
Steelers vs. Saints: O/U 44.5	17	$38.2K	40,000	40,000	+0	Under	-$994	10-25 00:54
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	9	$24.0K	30,000	30,000	+0	open	—	10-27 04:57
will missouri enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2028	2	$22.3K	28,267	28,267	+0	open	—	10-02 05:52
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	13	$22.2K	15,000	15,000	+0	Yes	+$17	09-19 06:03
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	11	$10.8K	42,000	42,000	+0	Yes	-$130	10-08 17:24
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	16	$9.4K	15,428	15,428	+0	open	—	10-28 21:49
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?	14	$9.4K	14,616	14,616	+0	open	—	10-01 04:16
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	6	$8.0K	11,791	4,000	+7,791	No	-$810	11-03 09:28
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	6	$6.2K	8,072	8,072	+0	open	—	10-16 22:29
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	16	$6.0K	9,084	334	+8,750	open	—	10-19 19:16
No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?	11	$5.4K	7,689	311	+7,377	No change	-$1,231	10-01 17:49
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	17	$5.1K	15,145	3,145	+12,000	No	-$440	11-02 02:27
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	3	$2.7K	1,435	1,435	+0	Yes	+$34	10-10 13:34
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?	6	$2.5K	3,801	3,801	+0	open	—	10-03 06:54
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?	9	$2.3K	5,040	5,040	+0	open	—	10-03 10:47
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	2	$2.0K	1,352	1,352	+0	open	—	10-24 06:17
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	3	$1.4K	4,098	4,098	+0	No	+$0	10-29 00:36
LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	11	$880	1,000	1,000	+0	LYON	+$0	10-24 20:35
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	9	$721	988	988	+0	open	—	10-16 20:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 14:55:54	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	93,597	24¢	$22,463	0xcd28c9…
11-05 14:55:48	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	286	24¢	$69	0xf44f2c…
11-05 14:55:48	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	982	24¢	$236	0x6b0c03…
11-05 14:55:48	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1,355	24¢	$325	0x3ff446…
11-05 14:55:46	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	394	24¢	$94	0xb3d827…
11-05 14:55:46	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	845	24¢	$203	0x4760ae…
11-05 14:55:46	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1,246	24¢	$299	0x0ccab2…
11-05 14:55:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	459	24¢	$110	0x234ba6…
11-05 14:55:09	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1,045	24¢	$251	0xd45640…
11-05 14:55:09	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1,418	24¢	$340	0x1cf329…
11-05 14:55:07	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	2,813	24¢	$675	0xe7c751…
11-05 14:55:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	52	24¢	$12	0xfc9871…
11-04 04:28:36	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	105,000	24¢	$25,200	0xf49855…
11-03 12:47:06	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	45,817	95¢	$43,526	0x44c4cb…
11-03 12:31:40	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	1,158	95¢	$1,100	0x156cb6…
11-03 12:19:13	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	300	95¢	$285	0xdd29a6…
11-03 12:13:21	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	316	95¢	$300	0x1ae428…
11-03 12:08:31	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	184	95¢	$175	0x60024d…
11-03 12:06:40	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	774	95¢	$735	0x298b2a…
11-03 12:04:06	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	2,229	95¢	$2,117	0x789168…
11-03 12:02:58	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	13,260	95¢	$12,597	0x314397…
11-03 11:51:09	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	3,277	95¢	$3,113	0x92a1ca…
11-03 11:48:18	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	1,000	95¢	$950	0x0852a6…
11-03 11:42:28	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	1,053	95¢	$1,000	0x3f30ad…
11-03 11:40:27	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	21	95¢	$20	0xb68b0e…
11-03 11:38:22	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	2,144	95¢	$2,037	0x85c594…
11-03 11:36:51	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	5,263	95¢	$5,000	0x693ed1…
11-03 11:36:33	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	3,577	95¢	$3,398	0x6376eb…
11-03 11:33:31	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	2,164	95¢	$2,056	0x5356b5…
11-03 11:27:22	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	156	95¢	$148	0x61f1a5…
11-03 11:19:40	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	44	95¢	$42	0xa9171b…
11-03 11:18:16	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	242	95¢	$230	0x0fbaca…
11-03 11:16:15	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	8,112	95¢	$7,707	0x42d223…
11-03 11:09:31	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	600	95¢	$570	0x2acb6b…
11-03 11:08:18	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	534	95¢	$508	0xa20405…
11-03 10:55:51	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x5fcda9…
11-03 10:50:24	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	2,500	95¢	$2,375	0x982bd0…
11-03 10:49:30	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	2,500	95¢	$2,375	0xb13624…
11-03 10:40:40	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	21	95¢	$20	0xcf580c…
11-03 10:36:01	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	18	95¢	$17	0x5dee6b…
11-03 10:35:49	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	7,368	95¢	$7,000	0x988814…
11-03 10:26:31	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	228	95¢	$216	0x4dbc49…
11-03 10:04:46	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x506c1f…
11-03 10:04:45	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x4aeea8…
11-03 10:04:43	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	26	95¢	$25	0x073fe9…
11-03 10:04:40	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	89	95¢	$84	0x0fa977…
11-03 09:28:30	Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	4,000	11¢	$432	0xb9ab6f…
11-02 18:16:01	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	105,000	94¢	$98,700	0x944da7…
11-02 14:48:27	Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	284	10¢	$29	0x8acc52…
11-02 14:48:27	Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	3,507	10¢	$361	0x177307…
11-02 11:03:16	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	14,170	72¢	$10,202	0x581000…
11-02 11:03:13	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	46,601	72¢	$33,553	0x5bded8…
11-02 10:39:36	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	6	72¢	$4	0xdc7d67…
11-02 10:39:31	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	1,250	72¢	$900	0x6f0c44…
11-02 10:31:39	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0xfcf9fe…
11-02 10:30:42	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	241	72¢	$174	0x1a56fa…
11-02 10:28:42	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	400	72¢	$288	0x4641dc…
11-02 10:09:55	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	175	72¢	$126	0xfc139a…
11-02 09:56:18	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x274aca…
11-02 09:55:33	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	9	72¢	$7	0xe90c1e…
11-02 09:55:28	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	11	72¢	$8	0x5a2cee…
11-02 09:49:49	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0x8f8e3b…
11-02 09:41:46	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	12	72¢	$9	0x96e951…
11-02 09:31:34	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	139	72¢	$100	0x719375…
11-02 09:27:15	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	1,389	72¢	$1,000	0x405414…
11-02 09:21:07	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x631200…
11-02 09:21:06	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	694	72¢	$500	0xabd077…
11-02 09:15:48	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0x352ec6…
11-02 09:15:46	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0xd73ea5…
11-02 09:15:45	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	150	72¢	$108	0x5ef17f…
11-02 09:15:45	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	150	72¢	$108	0x23b119…
11-02 09:15:34	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0x0972a8…
11-02 09:15:33	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	6	72¢	$4	0xa3258f…
11-02 09:15:33	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	14	72¢	$10	0x52d928…
11-02 09:15:31	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	2,000	72¢	$1,440	0x02140f…
11-02 09:09:22	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	17	72¢	$12	0x199406…
11-02 09:07:46	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	14	72¢	$10	0xdf4a35…
11-02 09:06:25	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	14	72¢	$10	0x44a749…
11-02 09:02:18	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0x9e6bd2…
11-02 09:00:43	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	6	72¢	$4	0x43ba11…
11-02 08:29:54	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0xeff3b3…
11-02 08:19:13	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	35	72¢	$25	0x208163…
11-02 08:19:09	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	38	72¢	$27	0x7fc97f…
11-02 08:14:42	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x22d023…
11-02 08:04:15	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	13	72¢	$10	0x8b155f…
11-02 08:03:42	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	14	72¢	$10	0x9f0009…
11-02 08:01:04	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	208	72¢	$150	0xc1023d…
11-02 07:58:19	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	139	72¢	$100	0x940083…
11-02 07:51:19	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	44	72¢	$32	0xe64072…
11-02 07:49:09	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x7579b9…
11-02 07:47:04	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	10	72¢	$8	0x26103e…
11-02 07:45:51	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x03e062…
11-02 07:37:58	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	100	72¢	$72	0x55c3db…
11-02 07:21:15	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xebf6bb…
11-02 07:19:30	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	26	72¢	$19	0xab1dc6…
11-02 07:01:25	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0x6e8f25…
11-02 06:56:54	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	560	72¢	$403	0x98b1e9…
11-02 06:54:42	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	310	72¢	$223	0xd3dc33…
11-02 06:49:37	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x290fcc…
11-02 06:36:12	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	69	72¢	$50	0x2257ea…