Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$222

Unrealized P&L

-$35

Hit rate

66.0%

Resolved

Trades

180

lifetime

Volume

$6.87K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

$47

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 10-25 07:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Other

37% 38% +$255

Tech

34% 38% -$146

Sports

18% 0% -$11

Politics

10% 43% +$124

Crypto

0% 33% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Human moon landing in 2026?	No	-47	-$47	99¢	$-46	+$0	09-03 23:16
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	-122	$91	0¢	$-0	-$92	10-09 01:24
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	+0	-$57	97¢	$0	+$57	06-26 03:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	32	$1.0K	2,758	2,758	+0	open	—	07-17 00:12
will wei yi win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	2	$519	269	269	+0	No	+$19	04-05 13:44
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	5	$498	380	380	+0	open	—	06-26 03:13
will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	4	$415	267	266	+1	No	+$118	03-31 10:41
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	4	$375	613	0	+613	No	+$238	09-11 05:41
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?	5	$296	244	244	+0	open	—	09-16 16:44
Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?	2	$228	180	179	+1	Yes	+$24	06-09 09:07
will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	6	$227	180	180	+0	Yes	-$22	06-09 13:14
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	2	$221	380	380	+0	No	+$45	08-31 12:06
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?	2	$202	270	0	+270	Yes	-$202	07-23 23:36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$158	193	0	+193	No	+$35	05-26 02:30
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?	6	$148	581	0	+581	open	—	10-16 08:36
deepseek v4 released by february 28	2	$145	93	93	+0	No	+$11	02-23 00:18
Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?	1	$124	200	0	+200	open	—	10-04 07:22
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by December 31?	3	$123	210	0	+210	open	—	10-13 07:53
Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 94?	8	$113	1,000	219	+781	open	—	10-25 07:50
nothing ever happens us strike edition	6	$111	94	86	+8	No	-$1	02-27 09:58
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$109	152	274	-122	open	—	10-09 01:24
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	9	$103	705	705	-0	open	—	10-09 01:23
will claude 5 be released by february 28 2026 352 784	2	$102	67	67	+0	No	+$32	02-18 07:51
will israel take military action in gaza on march 20 2026	2	$102	81	81	+0	No	+$52	03-22 04:49
us forcibly removes khamenei from power by march 31	1	$100	118	0	+118	No	+$18	03-01 02:52
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?	1	$100	333	0	+333	No	+$233	09-02 09:16
will the us invade iran by march 31	4	$94	295	295	+0	No	-$7	03-18 14:54
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	2	$94	0	277	-277	Yes	+$94	06-25 05:54
will openais astra model be released by september 9 2026	3	$90	458	175	+283	Yes	-$30	09-04 16:24
GPT-5.5 released by June 30, 2026?	8	$90	682	682	+0	Yes	+$0	04-09 10:42
gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026 458 893 534	1	$81	278	0	+278	Yes	-$81	06-26 00:36
deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	3	$79	114	114	+0	No	-$21	03-06 05:57
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?	2	$77	239	0	+239	No	+$162	07-23 08:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 07:50:56	Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 94?	No	SELL	120	13¢	$16	0xdc36b4…
10-25 07:49:17	Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 94?	No	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xd37ed8…
10-25 07:49:17	Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 94?	No	SELL	15	13¢	$2	0xcc8dac…
10-25 07:49:17	Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 94?	No	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x8d6b08…
10-25 07:49:17	Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 94?	No	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x88cc99…
10-23 18:57:27	Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 94?	No	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xb20020…
10-23 18:57:14	Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 94?	No	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0xa89f7b…
10-21 23:54:03	Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 94?	No	BUY	1,000	8¢	$84	0x5691bc…
10-20 08:09:58	Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 96?	No	BUY	200	19¢	$38	0x63a320…
10-16 08:36:31	Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?	No	BUY	176	26¢	$46	0x79a6d1…
10-16 07:54:25	Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?	No	BUY	31	26¢	$8	0x7cbe0f…
10-16 07:44:12	Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?	No	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x657bdc…
10-16 07:01:13	Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?	No	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x07785d…
10-16 04:35:54	Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?	No	BUY	52	26¢	$14	0x8ef2d7…
10-13 07:53:47	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by December 31?	No	BUY	71	60¢	$43	0xfe06c6…
10-09 01:30:41	Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	80	14¢	$11	0x576b0f…
10-09 01:24:32	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	274	3¢	$9	0xddedb6…
10-09 01:23:42	Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	SELL	654	0¢	$2	0x1c38f1…
10-06 00:18:58	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by December 31?	No	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0x3a155f…
10-04 07:22:53	Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	62¢	$124	0xc41f56…
10-04 07:13:13	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by December 31?	No	BUY	90	61¢	$54	0x83a38a…
09-17 09:07:52	Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?	No	BUY	271	25¢	$68	0x223253…
09-16 16:44:27	AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?	No	SELL	244	95¢	$232	0xc90ad2…
09-11 05:41:18	Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0x6603f4…
09-11 00:59:40	Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	250	62¢	$155	0x67bfa5…
09-11 00:31:58	Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	342	61¢	$208	0xd258a1…
09-11 00:31:58	Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x3d3ccf…
09-09 00:09:31	Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0xe88949…
09-08 22:26:22	Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0x00f5fb…
09-08 22:01:07	Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	SELL	9	4¢	$0	0x16c4ac…
09-08 17:52:16	Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0xa8625d…
09-08 14:47:21	Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0xa54573…
09-08 12:30:31	Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xc907be…
09-04 16:24:13	will openais astra model be released by september 9 2026	No	SELL	175	17¢	$30	0x7f8a0c…
09-03 23:19:40	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 9, 2026?	No	BUY	283	11¢	$30	0x0b3b23…
09-03 23:16:37	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	47	99¢	$47	0xc5cc01…
09-03 23:13:39	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 9, 2026?	No	BUY	176	17¢	$30	0x77831d…
09-02 09:16:03	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?	No	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0xb6d606…
08-31 12:06:25	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	380	35¢	$133	0xd93bed…
08-24 06:34:33	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	380	23¢	$88	0x186dd2…
08-21 09:24:55	Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	BUY	400	15¢	$60	0x774b56…
08-20 13:02:46	Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	BUY	305	13¢	$40	0xdc904b…
07-25 00:55:57	AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?	No	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0xfcb8ad…
07-24 06:38:57	AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?	No	BUY	32	29¢	$9	0x903c15…
07-24 06:38:21	AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?	No	BUY	73	29¢	$21	0xf309bd…
07-23 23:47:37	Will the next Claude Opus model not be released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x58c95a…
07-23 23:43:09	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	19¢	$21	0xa25f07…
07-23 23:41:42	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	119	19¢	$22	0x1fd39d…
07-23 23:40:12	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	114	17¢	$19	0x50a95f…
07-23 23:39:01	Will the next Claude Opus model not be released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	217	18¢	$39	0x9e6fc3…
07-23 23:38:10	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	432	15¢	$66	0x4dc965…
07-23 23:36:39	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	220	75¢	$165	0xb28575…
07-23 23:35:40	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0x14ad8d…
07-23 09:30:15	AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?	No	BUY	39	28¢	$11	0x41aa7c…
07-23 08:30:43	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?	No	BUY	39	33¢	$13	0x15e815…
07-23 08:30:06	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?	No	BUY	200	32¢	$64	0x395abf…
07-17 00:12:02	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	1,721	19¢	$327	0x5d15df…
07-16 17:16:16	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xc3ef7f…
07-16 16:53:32	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	56	19¢	$11	0xe02893…
07-16 14:45:11	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	26	19¢	$5	0x6d2916…
07-16 10:04:04	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	79	19¢	$15	0xab577f…
07-16 06:23:56	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	53	19¢	$10	0x4cd175…
07-16 03:37:28	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	1	19¢	$0	0xc38ff8…
07-16 02:49:20	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x3d99a2…
07-16 02:03:29	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	53	19¢	$10	0xefcf62…
07-15 23:13:53	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	11	19¢	$2	0x58ab33…
07-15 22:30:25	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	7	19¢	$1	0x0ce393…
07-15 22:23:37	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	12	19¢	$2	0xf809da…
07-15 22:20:34	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0xc1ad69…
07-15 21:44:31	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	26	19¢	$5	0x202765…
07-15 21:25:43	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	53	19¢	$10	0xc6c564…
07-15 15:29:04	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	26	19¢	$5	0x991df6…
07-15 13:46:47	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xd1e7cc…
07-15 13:08:13	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	30	19¢	$6	0x59489a…
07-15 12:42:05	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x1de65c…
07-15 12:38:17	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	178	19¢	$34	0xf239b5…
07-10 03:02:32	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	196	28¢	$55	0xb56494…
07-10 00:32:49	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0xdf8143…
07-09 23:55:20	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	59	28¢	$17	0x09d6a2…
07-09 23:54:55	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0xa4cb54…
07-09 23:51:19	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0x8728c2…
07-09 13:25:14	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	83	22¢	$18	0xbed26c…
07-09 08:47:34	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	50	22¢	$11	0x263a79…
07-09 08:47:32	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	50	22¢	$11	0xf8aa1f…
07-09 02:11:11	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	100	22¢	$22	0xdea3f2…
07-09 01:10:46	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	30	22¢	$7	0xbbbd51…
07-09 00:53:02	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x45d9d1…
07-09 00:52:14	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xe0b773…
07-08 23:01:02	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	50	22¢	$11	0xab6fb2…
07-08 10:20:31	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xbf9e33…
07-08 08:26:22	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	22	22¢	$5	0x5a3e68…
07-06 06:26:01	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	858	18¢	$154	0x937db2…
07-06 00:43:38	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	1,900	18¢	$342	0x2d3da8…
06-26 03:13:01	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	86	73¢	$63	0xcefd15…
06-26 03:12:05	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	137	73¢	$100	0x287b72…
06-26 03:10:25	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	137	73¢	$100	0x67113b…
06-26 03:10:17	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0x2ccb33…
06-26 00:36:38	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026 458 893 534	No	BUY	278	29¢	$81	0x27f3bd…
06-25 05:54:40	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	66	39¢	$26	0xa945af…
06-23 13:22:28	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	211	32¢	$68	0x40a58a…