Vibrant-Command-Gelatin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$42

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

99.1%

Resolved

113

Trades

148

lifetime

Volume

$18.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$123

Open exposure

$222

1 position

First seen

2026-05-06

last 10-26 11:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Other

73% 98% -$78

Crypto

20% 100% +$12

Tech

5% 100% +$14

Politics

2% 100% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No		+222	$220	100¢	$222	+$1	10-26 11:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on May 19?	1	$720	721	+721	Yes	+$1	05-16 09:20
Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets in May 2026?	1	$718	719	+719	No	+$1	05-25 10:29
Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on May 10?	1	$691	692	+692	No	+$1	05-09 15:55
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	1	$689	690	+690	No	+$1	05-06 07:07
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 5 above $10?	1	$605	606	+606	Yes	+$1	10-08 10:36
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $92.50 Week of May 11 2026?	2	$529	554	+554	No	+$25	05-11 10:13
Will Solana dip to $30 August 31-September 6?	1	$500	501	+501	No	+$1	09-01 10:35
open above 0pt5 on august 28 2026	1	$469	470	+470	Yes	+$1	08-22 09:12
open above 6pt5 on august 21 2026	1	$461	462	+462	No	+$1	08-17 10:59
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?	1	$333	334	+334	No	+$1	06-13 05:28
Will MiniMax have the second highest estimated revenue for May 18–May 24, 2026?	2	$325	325	+325	No	+$0	05-20 09:42
Trump out as President by September 30?	1	$319	322	+322	No	+$3	09-07 13:34
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	6	$279	282	+282	Yes	+$3	06-03 08:28
will solana dip to 10 august 10 16 2026	1	$271	271	+271	No	+$0	08-10 11:10
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of September 28 above $30?	1	$269	269	+269	Yes	+$0	10-02 01:54
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 12 above $30?	1	$239	239	+239	Yes	+$0	10-12 10:53
Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	1	$239	239	+239	No	+$0	10-10 03:40
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	2	$220	222	+222	open	—	10-26 11:30
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $5.00-$6.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?	2	$220	220	+220	No	+$0	10-10 03:35
Will xAI have the second highest estimated revenue for May 18–May 24, 2026?	1	$210	210	+210	No	+$0	05-20 09:43
Will Khamenei post 35-39 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	1	$200	201	+201	No	+$1	06-13 05:31
will solana dip to 20 august 10 16 2026	1	$200	200	+200	No	+$0	08-10 11:10
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $9.00-$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 26 – Oct 30?	1	$200	200	+200	open	—	10-26 08:21
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 26 – Oct 30?	1	$200	200	+200	open	—	10-26 08:21
Will Ethena reach $0.16 in May?	1	$199	200	+200	No	+$1	05-30 03:19
Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	1	$192	193	+193	No	+$1	06-17 06:37
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $146 in May?	7	$184	190	+190	No	+$6	05-27 08:15
Will Xiaomi have the second highest estimated revenue for May 18–May 24, 2026?	1	$180	180	+180	No	+$0	05-20 09:44
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $7.00-$8.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 20 – Jul 24?	2	$179	179	+179	No	+$1	07-17 23:22
will amzn reach 288 in july 2026	1	$177	179	+179	No	+$2	07-24 23:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 11:30:23	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	117	99¢	$116	0x9c5bd8…
10-26 09:40:41	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0x6b072a…
10-26 08:21:50	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $9.00-$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 26 – Oct 30?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x465cb0…
10-26 08:21:30	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 26 – Oct 30?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x2e91a4…
10-19 09:17:06	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at >$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 19 – Oct 23?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xdf30cb…
10-19 09:16:27	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $9.00-$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 19 – Oct 23?	No	BUY	176	100¢	$176	0x2bee54…
10-19 09:16:15	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 19 – Oct 23?	No	BUY	176	100¢	$176	0x8202b2…
10-19 09:15:26	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $0.50 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	156	100¢	$156	0x94fb67…
10-12 10:53:32	Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 12 above $30?	Yes	BUY	239	100¢	$239	0x2fb3f3…
10-10 03:40:38	Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	239	100¢	$239	0xced214…
10-10 03:37:12	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $0.75 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x41d28c…
10-10 03:36:57	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $0.50 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xb4e24c…
10-10 03:36:38	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xd64669…
10-10 03:35:53	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $5.00-$6.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5d4500…
10-10 03:35:39	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $5.00-$6.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xb46d7b…
10-10 03:35:21	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $6.00-$7.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x92022d…
10-08 10:36:14	Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 5 above $10?	Yes	BUY	606	100¢	$605	0xba01af…
10-08 10:35:29	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $1.25 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x34c66e…
10-08 10:35:15	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $1.25 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x27dda1…
10-02 01:54:53	Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of September 28 above $30?	Yes	BUY	269	100¢	$269	0x6c92b0…
10-02 01:53:56	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.90 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x603924…
10-02 01:53:39	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $4.25 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0xc6a8f6…
10-02 01:53:23	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $1.00 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xeb1864…
10-02 01:52:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe7c743…
10-02 01:52:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc08dc8…
10-01 05:27:59	open above 5pt5 on october 2 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x8c72e0…
10-01 05:27:33	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $8.00-$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 28 – Oct 2?	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x7b552e…
10-01 05:27:17	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $9.00-$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 28 – Oct 2?	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0xb81294…
09-19 14:40:42	Will XRP dip to $0.60 in September?	No	BUY	163	99¢	$162	0xe898ea…
09-19 14:35:33	Kash Patel out by September 30?	No	BUY	124	99¢	$123	0x76c462…
09-14 08:47:46	Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of September 14 above $20?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x253536…
09-14 08:47:31	Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of September 14 above $30?	Yes	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0xf8e13a…
09-14 08:47:18	Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of September 14 above $40?	Yes	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x5b8083…
09-14 08:46:58	Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of September 14 above $130?	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0xe18166…
09-14 08:46:43	Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of September 14 above $140?	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0xc7db10…
09-07 13:34:37	Trump out as President by September 30?	No	BUY	322	99¢	$319	0x9d720a…
09-07 07:36:01	Will CZ post 200+ posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xbdf880…
09-07 07:35:28	Will NYC Mayor post 180-199 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd9fde4…
09-07 07:35:00	Will NYC Mayor post 200+ posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd1cf2f…
09-04 23:57:52	Will Solana reach $160 August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x3b27bb…
09-01 10:35:57	Will Solana dip to $30 August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	501	100¢	$500	0x88280b…
09-01 10:34:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 Week of August 31 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf956bf…
08-29 04:19:06	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $1.00 in August?	No	BUY	158	100¢	$158	0x87fa2a…
08-29 04:18:30	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.50 in August?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc82591…
08-29 04:17:40	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.00 in August?	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x9a3553…
08-29 04:17:06	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 in August?	No	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0xe4498a…
08-29 04:16:18	will wti dip to 50 by august 31 2026	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x1afca5…
08-22 09:12:18	open above 0pt5 on august 28 2026	Yes	BUY	470	100¢	$469	0x8f6137…
08-17 10:59:31	open above 6pt5 on august 21 2026	No	BUY	462	100¢	$461	0x9ab7ea…
08-10 11:10:33	will solana dip to 20 august 10 16 2026	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x1662ee…
08-10 11:10:12	will solana dip to 10 august 10 16 2026	No	BUY	271	100¢	$271	0x3ee93f…
08-01 07:58:21	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	139	99¢	$137	0x31f3e6…
08-01 06:14:17	open above 1pt5 on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x972ffe…
08-01 06:13:17	open above 7 on august 7 2026	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x948254…
08-01 06:12:57	open above 1 on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x66788c…
08-01 06:12:33	nflx above 30 on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x93bfd6…
07-24 23:50:01	will chainlink reach 12 in july	No	BUY	131	99¢	$129	0x9d7d83…
07-24 23:47:37	will aapl dip to 264 in july 2026	No	BUY	135	99¢	$134	0xeb1859…
07-24 23:42:55	will amzn reach 288 in july 2026	No	BUY	179	99¢	$177	0x9fba26…
07-24 23:42:15	will nvda reach 248 in july 2026	No	BUY	167	99¢	$165	0x6c0c1f…
07-17 23:22:49	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$20 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 20 – Jul 24?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x3f0bc4…
07-17 23:22:16	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $7.00-$8.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 20 – Jul 24?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x343526…
07-17 22:22:40	will wti dip to 50 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0xd1a842…
07-17 22:22:09	will wti dip to 50 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x011bb0…
07-17 22:21:06	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $1.00-$2.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 20 – Jul 24?	No	BUY	59	99¢	$59	0x150c7e…
07-17 22:20:37	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $7.00-$8.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 20 – Jul 24?	No	BUY	59	99¢	$59	0xcf86bf…
07-17 22:20:18	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $0-$1.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 20 – Jul 24?	No	BUY	59	99¢	$59	0xddb50c…
07-17 22:20:04	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at <$0 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 20 – Jul 24?	No	BUY	59	99¢	$59	0x55f9c3…
07-17 22:19:46	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $8.00-$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 20 – Jul 24?	No	BUY	59	99¢	$59	0xfb4f55…
07-17 22:19:33	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 20 – Jul 24?	No	BUY	59	99¢	$59	0x1b63b3…
07-12 08:05:07	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at >$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 13 – Jul 17?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x02f92e…
07-12 08:04:23	will wti dip to 40 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x0ad335…
07-12 08:04:01	will wti reach 105 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x5a73b3…
07-06 05:46:10	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $8.00-$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 6 – Jul 10?	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x3ff86e…
07-06 05:45:47	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $1.00-$2.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 6 – Jul 10?	No	BUY	169	100¢	$169	0xb8a12d…
07-06 05:44:43	will solana reach 150 july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x07be01…
07-06 05:44:13	will xrp dip to 0pt4 july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xadb65b…
07-06 05:43:59	will xrp reach 1pt8 july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xffdb73…
06-29 01:45:37	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x1e7d2a…
06-27 22:23:26	Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x56acc9…
06-27 22:23:07	Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0xd76db0…
06-27 22:15:05	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x5f8113…
06-27 22:14:11	Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$22	0x26eec5…
06-27 22:13:37	Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	98	98¢	$96	0xb54aec…
06-27 20:25:41	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0x6c5513…
06-27 19:34:13	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0x4a4e59…
06-20 10:25:01	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x3a8b73…
06-20 10:24:32	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $0-$1.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xb17492…
06-20 10:24:17	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at <$0 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xab485b…
06-20 10:23:40	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$30 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xbdc3aa…
06-20 10:22:58	will wti dip to 45 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xf321fb…
06-18 16:47:37	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x6d017e…
06-18 03:11:58	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xf40bb7…
06-18 03:11:58	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xdd43bc…
06-18 03:11:58	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x0986fe…
06-18 02:34:26	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x42a4bd…
06-17 23:08:11	Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 19?	Yes	BUY	33	94¢	$31	0xf22516…
06-17 06:37:08	Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	BUY	193	100¢	$192	0xc7b2d4…
06-16 06:46:13	open above 2 on june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0xcdab57…
06-13 05:31:13	Will Khamenei post 35-39 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0x17ee69…