Elaborate-Temptation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$22

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$339

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 05-27 11:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 38% $-22

Politics

7% — —

Other

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	4	$55	110	0	+110	open	—	05-16 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	2	$29	29	29	+0	Down	+$9	05-09 10:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	2	$26	134	0	+134	open	—	05-25 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	2	$26	18	18	+0	Up	+$6	05-09 11:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	1	$25	36	0	+36	open	—	05-16 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	2	$15	63	0	+63	open	—	05-25 17:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	1	$10	188	0	+188	Up	$-10	05-09 11:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	1	$10	16	0	+16	Down	+$6	05-09 10:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	1	$10	48	0	+48	Down	$-10	05-10 10:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	05-20 11:22
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	1	$10	21	0	+21	open	—	05-09 20:22
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$10	83	0	+83	open	—	05-09 20:22
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	1	$10	31	0	+31	open	—	05-25 17:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	1	$10	21	0	+21	Down	+$11	05-10 10:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	1	$10	19	0	+19	Down	$-10	05-09 10:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-22 18:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	1	$10	28	0	+28	Down	$-10	05-09 20:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	1	$10	14	0	+14	Down	+$4	05-08 15:29
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	1	$5	85	0	+85	open	—	05-13 10:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	1	$5	167	0	+167	open	—	05-27 11:38
Will Trump say "Venezuela" during Coast Guard event?	1	$5	24	0	+24	open	—	05-20 14:19
Will Trump say "Mao" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$5	45	0	+45	open	—	05-13 15:34
Will Trump say "Autopen" or "Auto Pen" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$5	56	0	+56	open	—	05-13 15:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Down	$-5	05-11 19:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	1	$5	24	0	+24	Down	$-5	05-11 19:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	7	$5	167	0	+167	Up	$-5	05-09 11:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	open	—	05-27 11:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Up	$-1	05-11 19:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	1	$1	30	0	+30	open	—	05-25 17:14
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	1	$1	28	0	+28	open	—	05-25 17:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-27 11:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xa888c7…
05-27 11:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb5ac79…
05-25 17:14:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xb2b38e…
05-25 17:14:08	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0xfd7fa3…
05-25 17:06:35	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x85cc56…
05-25 17:01:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x5e1345…
05-25 17:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x4c79d6…
05-25 16:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc88409…
05-25 16:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0xb63676…
05-22 18:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xa81c93…
05-20 14:19:27	Will Trump say "Venezuela" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x925dfe…
05-20 11:22:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xb410ff…
05-16 20:39:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x219443…
05-16 20:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x735f12…
05-16 20:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x214d1b…
05-16 20:36:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x442070…
05-16 20:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x386450…
05-13 15:35:58	Will Trump say "Autopen" or "Auto Pen" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xeb4fd3…
05-13 15:34:55	Will Trump say "Mao" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xe0a1e6…
05-13 10:05:06	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	6¢	$5	0x563b2f…
05-11 19:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x3a74d8…
05-11 19:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xf7138c…
05-11 19:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe940d6…
05-10 10:38:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x8ddf3f…
05-10 10:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0xa7e8d5…
05-09 20:22:54	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xa68bb2…
05-09 20:22:06	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	No	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x66aee2…
05-09 20:15:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xd43317…
05-09 11:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	18	90¢	$16	0xc8eea2…
05-09 11:20:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xda059f…
05-09 11:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x1dc358…
05-09 11:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	65	3¢	$2	0x19c4c8…
05-09 11:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	19	3¢	$1	0x052838…
05-09 11:13:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xff9eca…
05-09 11:13:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	46	3¢	$1	0x94f5a3…
05-09 11:13:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x61a968…
05-09 11:13:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x46690d…
05-09 11:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	188	5¢	$10	0x3d0f92…
05-09 10:55:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x52587c…
05-09 10:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x6a20b1…
05-09 10:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	29	65¢	$19	0x70553d…
05-09 10:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x1e8388…
05-08 15:29:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x0965cd…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	24	$12.0K	2,011	05-27 11:39
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	23	$55.6K	1,296	06-01 05:55
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	22	$2.48K	213	05-27 11:38
(anonymous) 0x5d4a…55d3	22	$1.05K	135	05-27 11:38
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	21	$31.3K	1,641	05-27 11:38
Altruistic-Grief 0xa280…3343	21	$4.56K	797	05-27 11:38
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	21	$4.52K	1,359	05-27 11:37
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	21	$4.45K	875	05-27 11:37