Scarce-Eve — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$1.13K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.8%

Resolved (90d)

118

Trades (90d)

311

1,892 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$13.4K

$101.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

$54

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-07

last 09-08 17:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 132 days

Categories

Other

85% 66% -$752

Politics

7% 59% +$377

Sports

6% 50% -$523

Tech

2% 70% -$236

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	8	$2.9K	1,764	1,764	+0	No	+$352	05-24 06:56
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	8	$2.7K	1,554	1,554	+0	No	+$414	04-13 07:41
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	11	$2.3K	964	1,877	-913	No	-$60	06-05 15:30
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	10	$2.1K	2,091	861	+1,231	Yes	+$411	04-12 14:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	4	$2.1K	1,120	1,115	+6	No	+$101	04-30 18:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	28	$1.9K	1,402	1,402	+0	No	+$464	08-31 19:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	7	$1.7K	1,038	1,038	+0	No	+$181	05-15 10:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	5	$1.6K	904	904	+0	No	+$174	04-23 08:16
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	12	$1.5K	501	1,297	-796	No	+$149	06-22 06:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?	17	$1.5K	2,610	95	+2,515	Yes	-$1,417	09-08 17:49
will tisza win 130 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	8	$1.4K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	-$88	04-09 18:42
wti closes above 83 on august 4 2026	3	$844	471	471	+0	No	+$91	08-04 18:56
wti closes above 97 on june 8 2026	3	$841	451	451	+0	No	+$50	06-08 16:32
will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	20	$836	1,010	0	+1,010	No	+$175	06-25 11:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	3	$782	450	446	+4	No	+$84	04-28 16:52
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	5	$776	412	412	+0	No	+$40	05-28 11:01
wti closes above 85 on august 18 2026	8	$747	597	597	+0	No	-$42	08-18 15:31
wti closes above 70 on july 10 2026	7	$673	633	100	+533	Yes	+$60	07-10 20:51
Will there be 4 or more ChatGPT outages in June 2026?	50	$668	928	908	+20	Yes	-$317	06-24 13:40
wti closes above 70 on july 1 2026	8	$636	682	0	+682	No	+$47	07-01 14:28
wti closes above 71 on july 7 2026	5	$627	682	0	+682	Yes	-$627	07-07 14:52
wti closes above 82 on august 10 2026	8	$623	770	0	+770	Yes	-$623	08-10 16:44
wti closes above 76 on july 13 2026	11	$615	710	26	+684	Yes	-$609	07-13 16:38
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on May 15?	2	$600	329	329	+0	Yes	+$47	05-15 20:24
wti closes above 76 on july 9 2026	9	$596	660	0	+660	No	+$64	07-09 07:59
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	5	$593	329	329	+0	Yes	+$53	06-25 18:57
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	5	$589	335	335	+0	Yes	+$77	06-22 06:44
ucl bog usg 2026 08 11 btts	2	$558	345	345	+0	Yes	+$131	08-11 17:39
wti closes above 75 on august 5 2026	5	$516	650	150	+500	Yes	+$142	08-05 20:48
wti closes above 72 on june 25 2026	5	$490	553	0	+553	No	+$63	06-25 18:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-08 17:50:21	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 8?	Down	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x988374…
09-08 17:49:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?	No	SELL	15	30¢	$4	0x735f86…
09-08 17:23:52	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 8?	Down	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0x96eed2…
09-08 17:22:21	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 8?	Down	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0x745f0c…
09-08 17:20:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?	No	SELL	80	30¢	$24	0x056775…
09-07 07:58:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?	No	BUY	138	35¢	$48	0x5a4ee5…
09-05 13:21:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?	No	BUY	53	41¢	$22	0xdc9cf7…
09-05 13:19:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?	No	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x60e395…
09-05 13:19:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?	No	BUY	90	40¢	$36	0xfda7bf…
09-03 05:09:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?	No	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x4c646b…
09-02 07:03:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?	No	BUY	521	38¢	$198	0x99c283…
09-02 07:02:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?	No	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x060486…
09-02 07:02:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x92a08b…
09-01 04:18:24	will wti reach 95 in september 2026	No	BUY	466	60¢	$279	0x71a209…
08-31 19:55:34	FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: 2nd Half O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0xfc31c0…
08-31 19:54:48	FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0x6cd266…
08-31 19:53:36	will wti reach 95 in september 2026	No	BUY	300	68¢	$204	0x07744a…
08-31 19:08:28	will wti reach 95 in september 2026	No	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0x01f0ac…
08-31 19:08:22	will wti reach 95 in september 2026	No	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0x942008…
08-31 19:08:01	will wti reach 95 in september 2026	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x867904…
08-31 19:07:55	will wti reach 95 in september 2026	No	BUY	587	65¢	$382	0x132791…
08-31 19:06:13	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31?	Yes	BUY	70	66¢	$46	0x339b98…
08-31 19:05:27	will wti dip to 80 in august 2026 from august 26	Yes	SELL	165	0¢	$0	0x2b627a…
08-31 19:05:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	No	SELL	1,022	99¢	$1,017	0x5f1b97…
08-31 10:41:02	will wti reach 95 in september 2026	No	BUY	178	72¢	$128	0x793ec6…
08-30 18:57:51	Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)	FC Internazionale Milano	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xdef8aa…
08-30 18:57:18	FK Rubin Kazan vs. FK Dinamo Makhachkala: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	40	4¢	$2	0xe12613…
08-30 18:50:58	FK Rubin Kazan vs. FK Dinamo Makhachkala: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	40	85¢	$34	0xd19205…
08-30 18:49:25	Will Puskas Akademia FC Felcsut vs. Ferencvarosi Budapest end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	28	92¢	$26	0x37df60…
08-30 18:46:10	Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)	Fenerbahçe SK	BUY	30	64¢	$19	0xe30f01…
08-30 18:39:39	Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)	FC Internazionale Milano	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x92d32f…
08-30 17:33:43	FC Nordsjælland vs. Brøndby IF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	60	35¢	$21	0xdeaee6…
08-30 17:33:19	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	BUY	40	69¢	$28	0x9dca57…
08-30 17:30:30	Will PFC Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	BUY	60	45¢	$27	0xa34265…
08-30 17:30:19	Will PFC Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	BUY	40	45¢	$18	0xab86e0…
08-30 13:57:55	Will ADO Den Haag win on 2026-08-30?	No	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xd66cdd…
08-30 13:54:03	Will ADO Den Haag win on 2026-08-30?	No	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0xc6501c…
08-30 12:47:09	will wti dip to 80 in august 2026 from august 26	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x9487a9…
08-30 12:30:12	will wti dip to 80 in august 2026 from august 26	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x4fa2be…
08-30 12:30:00	will wti dip to 80 in august 2026 from august 26	Yes	BUY	125	18¢	$22	0xaff254…
08-29 21:36:57	Will CU Técnica de Cajamarca win on 2026-08-29?	No	BUY	60	53¢	$32	0x52029d…
08-29 20:37:51	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-08-29?	Yes	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0x957c5b…
08-29 19:42:51	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-08-29?	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x3a36ef…
08-29 19:25:09	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-08-29?	Yes	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0xa9f4dc…
08-29 18:43:30	Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-08-29?	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x236804…
08-29 18:42:27	Exact Score: Real Sociedad de Fútbol 2 - 1 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x0e4972…
08-29 18:38:15	Galatasaray SK leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xc58a4d…
08-29 18:38:06	Galatasaray SK leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	40	60¢	$24	0xf39b3a…
08-29 16:52:30	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-08-29?	No	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0x5ef8fa…
08-29 16:52:00	Will Torino FC win on 2026-08-29?	No	BUY	40	76¢	$30	0x6a24c2…
08-29 16:48:52	Will NK Istra 1961 win on 2026-08-29?	No	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0xac9ae7…
08-29 16:46:27	Will FK Krasnodar win on 2026-08-29?	Yes	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xd7b6a3…
08-29 16:45:31	Will Nyiregyhaza Spartacus FC vs. Paksi FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x50b6c7…
08-29 16:45:28	Will Levante UD win on 2026-08-29?	No	SELL	64	5¢	$3	0x9d48b1…
08-29 15:33:46	Will Levante UD win on 2026-08-29?	No	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0x17047c…
08-29 15:14:12	Will FK Krasnodar win on 2026-08-29?	Yes	BUY	40	76¢	$30	0xd3df08…
08-29 14:31:54	Will Nyiregyhaza Spartacus FC vs. Paksi FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	30	85¢	$25	0x96d4d5…
08-29 12:41:55	Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-08-29?	No	BUY	176	56¢	$99	0x305f1a…
08-29 11:09:42	Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xbe4690…
08-29 11:08:45	Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x335a6d…
08-29 11:07:42	Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0xc4c90a…
08-28 21:18:45	Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	25	7¢	$2	0xa40d11…
08-28 20:44:10	Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x34e9eb…
08-28 20:43:22	Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	83	72¢	$60	0x897479…
08-28 18:03:06	wti closes above 83 on august 28 2026	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x240b8d…
08-28 13:05:00	wti closes above 83 on august 28 2026	No	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0x0b9896…
08-28 12:26:18	Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)	Shanghai Shenhua FC	BUY	40	54¢	$22	0x950387…
08-28 11:53:36	Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-08-28?	No	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x56d4e4…
08-28 00:58:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x81ea02…
08-27 22:46:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x1fef82…
08-27 20:59:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?	No	SELL	224	97¢	$217	0xf23afb…
08-27 20:46:48	wti closes above 84 on august 27 2026	Yes	SELL	18	4¢	$1	0x9af75c…
08-27 18:08:19	wti closes above 84 on august 27 2026	Yes	BUY	18	52¢	$9	0xf24fb7…
08-27 18:06:03	wti closes above 83 on august 27 2026	No	SELL	101	10¢	$10	0x4801ce…
08-27 12:10:13	wti closes above 83 on august 27 2026	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x7f7f83…
08-27 12:09:45	wti closes above 83 on august 27 2026	No	BUY	80	67¢	$54	0x518a73…
08-27 12:09:10	wti closes above 83 on august 27 2026	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x3483de…
08-27 05:30:39	will wti dip to 80 in august 2026 from august 26	Yes	SELL	100	64¢	$64	0xed2638…
08-27 05:04:39	will wti dip to 80 in august 2026 from august 26	Yes	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0x916416…
08-26 20:06:55	wti closes above 82 on august 26 2026	No	BUY	13	63¢	$8	0xcc104e…
08-26 20:06:39	NK Celje vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: Team to Advance	ŠK Slovan Bratislava	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x088298…
08-26 20:05:37	wti closes above 82 on august 26 2026	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xf5e8a8…
08-26 20:05:09	wti closes above 82 on august 26 2026	No	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0xd8b0c7…
08-26 19:13:33	wti closes above 82 on august 26 2026	Yes	SELL	54	45¢	$24	0x39f074…
08-26 19:11:00	wti closes above 82 on august 26 2026	Yes	SELL	30	44¢	$13	0xc8fd60…
08-26 15:03:31	wti closes above 82 on august 26 2026	Yes	BUY	84	49¢	$41	0x01fd1c…
08-26 11:25:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x0f9d2f…
08-26 11:24:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xf3a251…
08-26 09:55:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?	No	BUY	44	78¢	$34	0x8f9830…
08-26 09:33:51	Viking FK vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: Team to Advance	GNK Dinamo Zagreb	SELL	40	47¢	$19	0x06f2a9…
08-26 09:18:18	wti up or down on august 26 2026	Down	SELL	50	82¢	$41	0xfe4261…
08-26 09:14:25	NK Celje vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: Team to Advance	ŠK Slovan Bratislava	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xc135b2…
08-26 09:13:33	Viking FK vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: Team to Advance	GNK Dinamo Zagreb	BUY	80	48¢	$38	0x2f1a79…
08-26 07:59:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?	No	BUY	40	78¢	$31	0x8f5f37…
08-26 07:59:01	wti up or down on august 26 2026	Down	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0x9ec2f8…
08-25 20:40:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?	No	BUY	14	78¢	$11	0xdef383…
08-25 20:40:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?	No	BUY	22	77¢	$17	0x4ecccb…
08-25 20:39:36	FK Bodø/Glimt vs. NEC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x66082f…
08-25 20:02:34	wti closes above 84 on august 25 2026	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x50d0c0…
08-25 19:57:45	wti closes above 84 on august 25 2026	No	SELL	41	99¢	$41	0x59e5fe…