Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$41

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

7.4%

Resolved

Trades

299

lifetime

Volume

$1.42K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-10-13

last 10-20 04:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

85% 14% -$30

Crypto

9% 43% -$9

Politics

5% 40% -$3

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 224 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No		+15	$3	24¢	$4	+$0	10-20 04:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	195	$908	1,862	1,843	+19	No	-$23	10-14 16:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	10	$107	110	110	+0	Yes	-$1	10-14 03:52
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	7	$87	222	222	+0	open	—	10-13 20:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 21:50 UTC	9	$58	105	15	+90	Down	+$19	10-13 21:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 15?	10	$34	80	17	+63	Yes	-$23	10-15 15:11
lol fox1 kt 2026 10 14 game1	4	$27	25	25	+0	BNK FEARX	$0	10-14 02:20
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?	6	$23	96	96	+0	No	-$5	10-18 23:59
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	3	$21	53	53	+0	open	—	10-13 17:22
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	2	$18	26	26	+0	open	—	10-13 17:22
crint ind wst 2026 10 14	5	$17	88	88	+0	West Indies	-$3	10-14 16:39
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	2	$16	20	20	+0	No	+$2	10-13 17:22
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	5	$11	8	8	+0	open	—	10-17 19:21
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	2	$11	23	23	+0	open	—	10-13 17:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 21:45 UTC	7	$10	42	0	+42	Up	-$10	10-13 21:48
Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by October 31, 2026?	2	$9	37	37	+0	open	—	10-13 17:23
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	2	$8	15	15	+0	Yes	-$1	10-13 17:23
Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	2	$8	23	23	+0	open	—	10-17 19:21
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	10-16 19:37
bitcoin above 85000 on october 14 2026 2am et	4	$5	108	0	+108	No	-$5	10-14 05:00
ethereum above 2420 on october 16 2026 5pm et	1	$5	6	0	+6	No	+$1	10-16 20:13
Will Florida Panthers be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	10-17 19:21
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?	1	$4	5	0	+5	No	+$1	10-19 23:44
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	2	$4	15	15	+0	Yes	+$2	10-16 19:37
bitcoin above 84000 on october 14 2026 5am et	4	$4	20	0	+20	No	-$4	10-14 08:35
ethereum above 2420 on october 14 2026 5pm et	2	$4	18	0	+18	No	+$14	10-14 20:56
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	1	$3	15	0	+15	open	—	10-20 04:11
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?	2	$3	9	9	+0	open	—	10-17 19:21
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	2	$2	10	10	+0	No	-$1	10-17 19:21
Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	2	$2	5	5	+0	Yes	-$2	10-17 19:21
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	1	$1	11	0	+11	Yes	-$1	10-13 04:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 04:11:12	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	15	23¢	$3	0x432242…
10-19 23:44:32	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x112d6d…
10-18 23:59:39	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?	Yes	SELL	96	9¢	$9	0xe77d4a…
10-18 06:31:02	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x83e6bc…
10-18 04:41:50	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x3078c2…
10-18 01:32:12	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?	Yes	BUY	59	14¢	$8	0xa781d4…
10-18 01:32:02	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x8d4241…
10-18 01:31:51	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x1e53dd…
10-17 19:21:23	Will Florida Panthers be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?	No	SELL	3	82¢	$2	0x7a83af…
10-17 19:21:21	Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x197122…
10-17 19:21:20	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	No	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0xf77617…
10-17 19:21:18	Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	17¢	$2	0xbe7076…
10-17 19:21:15	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x5dd026…
10-17 19:21:14	Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	16¢	$4	0xe84b5c…
10-17 15:07:15	Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0x9a4385…
10-17 15:07:14	Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	17¢	$4	0x1b1c2d…
10-16 20:13:35	ethereum above 2420 on october 16 2026 5pm et	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x04adb7…
10-16 19:37:29	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	SELL	15	19¢	$3	0x0329e1…
10-16 19:37:14	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x336283…
10-16 19:10:05	Will Florida Panthers be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?	No	BUY	3	83¢	$3	0xb70eff…
10-16 18:15:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x717520…
10-16 17:57:54	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x126373…
10-16 17:57:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x1abd91…
10-16 17:56:59	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xad7e28…
10-15 15:11:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 15?	No	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0x5642a2…
10-15 15:11:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 15?	No	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0x6397d4…
10-15 15:11:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 15?	No	BUY	10	34¢	$4	0xf4e322…
10-15 15:11:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 15?	No	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x3ab38a…
10-15 15:10:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 15?	No	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0xae5f91…
10-15 15:10:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 15?	No	SELL	7	35¢	$2	0x4119b6…
10-15 15:10:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 15?	No	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x87eb31…
10-15 15:10:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 15?	No	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x9aa0c6…
10-15 15:10:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 15?	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x9edb60…
10-15 15:10:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 15?	No	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0x24ddbd…
10-14 20:56:22	ethereum above 2420 on october 14 2026 5pm et	No	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0xb00946…
10-14 20:30:40	ethereum above 2420 on october 14 2026 5pm et	No	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0x8c07ab…
10-14 16:39:30	crint ind wst 2026 10 14	India	SELL	58	6¢	$3	0xf96e88…
10-14 16:36:40	crint ind wst 2026 10 14	India	BUY	28	13¢	$4	0x4a7d01…
10-14 16:36:30	crint ind wst 2026 10 14	India	SELL	30	12¢	$4	0xa36d1c…
10-14 16:36:30	crint ind wst 2026 10 14	India	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0x6ba10f…
10-14 16:36:25	crint ind wst 2026 10 14	India	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x930d93…
10-14 16:36:22	Will AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	19	24¢	$5	0xcb2f14…
10-14 16:36:21	Will AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0x441a76…
10-14 16:35:36	Will AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0x627908…
10-14 16:34:28	Will AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	19	24¢	$5	0xf6a7d5…
10-14 08:35:02	bitcoin above 84000 on october 14 2026 5am et	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xcca0e4…
10-14 08:34:56	bitcoin above 84000 on october 14 2026 5am et	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x58f2d2…
10-14 08:32:19	bitcoin above 84000 on october 14 2026 5am et	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x5d7023…
10-14 08:30:52	bitcoin above 84000 on october 14 2026 5am et	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x2a63df…
10-14 05:51:20	Will AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0xbcffbc…
10-14 05:51:20	Will AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	19	24¢	$5	0x5cabbe…
10-14 05:51:17	Will AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0xde5154…
10-14 05:51:17	Will AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	19	24¢	$5	0xa278a0…
10-14 05:51:14	Will AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0x57cc0c…
10-14 05:51:13	Will AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	19	24¢	$5	0xd211ad…
10-14 05:51:11	Will AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	19	24¢	$5	0xeb7b40…
10-14 05:51:11	Will AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0xa0b42d…
10-14 05:51:08	Will AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	19	24¢	$5	0x853745…
10-14 05:51:07	Will AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0x09f7af…
10-14 05:51:04	Will AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	19	24¢	$5	0xf002c7…
10-14 05:51:04	Will AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0x41fb5d…
10-14 05:51:01	Will AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0x4f5c08…
10-14 05:51:01	Will AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	19	24¢	$5	0x4844e1…
10-14 05:50:58	Will AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	19	24¢	$5	0x126207…
10-14 05:50:58	Will AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0x032939…
10-14 05:50:55	Will AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	19	24¢	$5	0x4d714d…
10-14 05:50:53	Will AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0x637974…
10-14 05:50:52	Will AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0x5ca684…
10-14 05:50:52	Will AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	19	24¢	$5	0x1dd755…
10-14 05:50:47	Will AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0x9ecee5…
10-14 05:50:47	Will AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	19	24¢	$5	0x40369e…
10-14 05:50:44	Will AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	19	24¢	$5	0xf43348…
10-14 05:50:44	Will AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0xb529a9…
10-14 05:50:41	Will AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	19	24¢	$5	0xe070d0…
10-14 05:50:40	Will AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0x297e2d…
10-14 05:50:38	Will AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0xe181f9…
10-14 05:50:38	Will AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	19	24¢	$5	0x664899…
10-14 05:50:34	Will AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	19	24¢	$5	0x772632…
10-14 05:50:34	Will AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0x15ee4a…
10-14 05:50:32	Will AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	19	24¢	$5	0x6e444f…
10-14 05:50:31	Will AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0x0557fb…
10-14 05:50:26	Will AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	19	24¢	$5	0x9c5ca3…
10-14 05:50:26	Will AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0x2c067b…
10-14 05:50:22	Will AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	19	24¢	$5	0x5fd969…
10-14 05:50:22	Will AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0x230a66…
10-14 05:50:20	Will AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	19	24¢	$5	0xb0de01…
10-14 05:50:19	Will AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0x599a63…
10-14 05:50:16	Will AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0xa8abaa…
10-14 05:50:16	Will AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	19	24¢	$5	0x3dbb29…
10-14 05:50:13	Will AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0xe3b9a8…
10-14 05:50:13	Will AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	19	24¢	$5	0x462264…
10-14 05:50:10	Will AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	19	24¢	$5	0xb16701…
10-14 05:50:08	Will AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0x3a2d75…
10-14 05:50:05	Will AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	19	24¢	$5	0x646c57…
10-14 05:50:05	Will AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0x00f11e…
10-14 05:50:01	Will AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	19	24¢	$5	0xd8d204…
10-14 05:50:01	Will AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0x8c7848…
10-14 05:49:59	Will AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	19	24¢	$5	0x8ab472…
10-14 05:49:58	Will AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0x90684a…
10-14 05:49:55	Will AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0x8ea3f4…